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#6 · 9 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#15 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Liverpool
A. Isak (ast. A. Mac Allister) 35'
A. Robertson (ast. C. Jones) 40'
F. Wirtz (ast. A. Mac Allister) 90'+6
71' D. Munoz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%). The final result was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.91
Actual xG
2.32
5
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
D. Munoz
32'
D. Henderson
⚽A. Isak · ast. A. Mac Allister
35'
⚽A. Robertson · ast. C. Jones
40'
46'
B. Sosa / T. Mitchell ↕
↕ M. Salah / J. Frimpong
59'
59'
Y. Pino / B. Johnson ↕
70'
J. S. Larsen / J. Mateta ↕
71'
D. Munoz⚽
↕ A. Isak / R. Gravenberch
79'
↕ A. Robertson / M. Kerkez
87'
↕ C. Jones / J. Gomez
87'
90'+3
B. Sosa
⚽F. Wirtz · ast. A. Mac Allister
90'+6
D. Szoboszlai
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.26%
Liverpool ←
23.82%
X
17.92%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool) 58.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.91
0.91
-1.0
Crystal
0.97
2.32
+1.35
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
28
G 8.20
26 A. Robertson A. Robertson 1 ⚽ 87' D 8.20
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.90
5 I. Konaté I. Konaté D 7.90
17 Curtis Jones Curtis Jones 1 👟 87' D 6.90
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister 2 👟 M 7.30
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai M 6.90
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo M 6.90
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 ⚽ M 7.30
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah 59' M 6.20
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
Bench
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa F
30 J. Frimpong J. Frimpong 31' D 6.70
2 J. Gomez J. Gomez 11' D 6.90
6 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez 11' D 6.90
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch 11' M 6.50
73 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha F
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson D. Henderson G 6.20
23 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.70
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 6.30
26 Chris Richards Chris Richards D 5.70
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell 45' M 6.30
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton M 6.90
18 Daichi Kamada Daichi Kamada M 7.30
2 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz 1 ⚽ M 6.90
11 B. Johnson B. Johnson 59' F 7.30
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr F 6.90
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 70' F 6.20
Bench
24 B. Sosa B. Sosa 45' D 6.20
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 20' F 6.50
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes M
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 31' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
G · Liverpool
8.20
· 35 pass
A. Robertson
A. Robertson
D · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
I. Konaté
I. Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.90
· 61 pass
A. Mac Allister
A. Mac Allister
M · Liverpool
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 50 pass
B. Johnson
B. Johnson
F · Crystal
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 35 20% — — —
A. Robertson D 87 8.20 1 — 1 44 37% — — —
V. van Dijk D 90 6.90 — — — 51 48% — — —
I. Konaté D 90 7.90 — — — 61 58% — — —
Curtis Jones D 87 6.90 — 1 — 63 53% 3 — —
A. Mac Allister M 90 7.30 — 2 1 50 41% 2 — —
D. Szoboszlai M 90 6.90 — — — 50 44% 2 1 —
C. Gakpo M 90 6.90 — — — 24 15% — — —
F. Wirtz M 90 7.30 1 — 1 36 28% — — —
Mohamed Salah M 59 6.20 — — 1 18 14% — — —
A. Isak F 79 7.20 1 — 1 11 6% — — —
J. Frimpong D 31 6.70 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
J. Gomez D 11 6.90 — — — 1 — 1 — —
M. Kerkez D 11 6.90 — — — 2 1% — — —
R. Gravenberch M 11 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Henderson G 90 6.20 — — — 29 18% — 1 —
J. Canvot D 90 6.70 — — — 62 58% 3 — —
M. Lacroix D 90 6.30 — — 2 53 48% 1 — —
Chris Richards D 90 5.70 — — 1 45 38% — — —
T. Mitchell M 45 6.30 — — — 21 14% — — —
A. Wharton M 90 6.90 — — — 35 25% — — —
Daichi Kamada M 90 7.30 — — — 57 50% 4 — —
D. Muñoz M 90 6.90 1 — 2 25 21% 2 1 —
B. Johnson F 59 7.30 — — 1 18 11% 2 — —
I. Sarr F 90 6.90 — — 2 17 13% — — —
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 70 6.20 — — 2 7 6% — — —
B. Sosa D 45 6.20 — — 1 17 14% — 1 —
J. Strand Larsen F 20 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Yeremy Pino M 31 6.20 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Crystal Palace win.