✓Model correct — prediction Liverpool
A. Isak
(ast. A. Mac Allister)
35'
A. Robertson
(ast. C. Jones)
40'
F. Wirtz
(ast. A. Mac Allister)
90'+6
71'
D. Munoz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%). The final result was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.91
Actual xG
2.32
5
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
D. Munoz
32'
D. Henderson
⚽A. Isak
· ast. A. Mac Allister
35'
⚽A. Robertson
· ast. C. Jones
40'
46'
B. Sosa
/
T. Mitchell
M. Salah
/ J. Frimpong
59'
59'
Y. Pino
/
B. Johnson
70'
J. S. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
71'
D. Munoz⚽
A. Isak
/ R. Gravenberch
79'
A. Robertson
/ M. Kerkez
87'
C. Jones
/ J. Gomez
87'
90'+3
B. Sosa
⚽F. Wirtz
· ast. A. Mac Allister
90'+6
D. Szoboszlai
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.26%
Liverpool ←
23.82%
X
17.92%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool)
58.26%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
0.91
-1.0
0.97
2.32
+1.35
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
26
A. Robertson
1 ⚽
87'
D
A. Robertson
1 ⚽
87'
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
17
Curtis Jones
1 👟
87'
D
Curtis Jones
1 👟
87'
D
10
A. Mac Allister
2 👟
M
A. Mac Allister
2 👟
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
M
D. Szoboszlai
M
18
C. Gakpo
M
C. Gakpo
M
7
F. Wirtz
1 ⚽
M
F. Wirtz
1 ⚽
M
11
Mohamed Salah
59'
M
Mohamed Salah
59'
M
9
A. Isak
1 ⚽
79'
F
A. Isak
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
14
F. Chiesa
F
F. Chiesa
F
30
J. Frimpong
31'
D
J. Frimpong
31'
D
2
J. Gomez
11'
D
J. Gomez
11'
D
6
M. Kerkez
11'
D
M. Kerkez
11'
D
38
R. Gravenberch
11'
M
R. Gravenberch
11'
M
73
R. Ngumoha
F
R. Ngumoha
F
1
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
5
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
26
Chris Richards
D
Chris Richards
D
3
T. Mitchell
45'
M
T. Mitchell
45'
M
20
A. Wharton
M
A. Wharton
M
18
Daichi Kamada
M
Daichi Kamada
M
2
D. Muñoz
1 ⚽
M
D. Muñoz
1 ⚽
M
11
B. Johnson
59'
F
B. Johnson
59'
F
7
I. Sarr
F
I. Sarr
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
70'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
70'
F
Bench
24
B. Sosa
45'
D
B. Sosa
45'
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
22
J. Strand Larsen
20'
F
J. Strand Larsen
20'
F
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
10
Yeremy Pino
31'
M
Yeremy Pino
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Liverpool
8.20
· 35 pass
A. Robertson
D · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
I. Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.90
· 61 pass
A. Mac Allister
M · Liverpool
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
B. Johnson
F · Crystal
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| A. Robertson | D | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Curtis Jones | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Frimpong | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Sosa | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Crystal Palace win.