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#5 · 60 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#15 · 45 pts
Model correct — prediction Liverpool
A. Isak (ast. A. Mac Allister) 35'
A. Robertson (ast. C. Jones) 40'
F. Wirtz (ast. A. Mac Allister) 90'+6
71' D. Munoz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%). The final result was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.91
Actual xG
2.32
5
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
D. Munoz
32'
D. Henderson
A. Isak · ast. A. Mac Allister
35'
A. Robertson · ast. C. Jones
40'
46'
B. Sosa / T. Mitchell
M. Salah / J. Frimpong
59'
59'
Y. Pino / B. Johnson
70'
J. S. Larsen / J. Mateta
71'
D. Munoz
A. Isak / R. Gravenberch
79'
A. Robertson / M. Kerkez
87'
C. Jones / J. Gomez
87'
90'+3
B. Sosa
F. Wirtz · ast. A. Mac Allister
90'+6
D. Szoboszlai
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.26%
Liverpool ←
23.82%
X
17.92%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool) 58.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.91
0.91
-1.0
Crystal
0.97
2.32
+1.35
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 38 85
2 Manchester City Manchester City 38 78
3 Manchester United Manchester United 38 71
4 Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 65
5 Liverpool Liverpool 38 60
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 57
7 Sunderland Sunderland 38 54
8 Brighton Brighton 38 53
9 Brentford Brentford 38 53
10 Chelsea Chelsea 38 52
11 Fulham Fulham 38 52
12 Newcastle Newcastle 38 49
13 Everton Everton 38 49
14 Leeds Leeds 38 47
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 38 45
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 38 44
17 Tottenham Tottenham 38 41
18 West Ham West Ham 38 39
19 Burnley Burnley 38 22
20 Wolves Wolves 38 20
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
28
G 8.20
26 Andy Robertson Andy Robertson 1 ⚽ 87' D 8.20
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.90
5 Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté D 7.90
17 C. Jones C. Jones 1 👟 87' D 6.90
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister 2 👟 M 7.30
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai M 6.90
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo M 6.90
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 ⚽ M 7.30
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah 59' M 6.20
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
Bench
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa F
30 Jeremie Frimpong Jeremie Frimpong 31' D 6.70
2 Joe Gomez Joe Gomez 11' D 6.90
6 Miloš Kerkez Miloš Kerkez 11' D 6.90
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch 11' M 6.50
73 Rio Ngumoha Rio Ngumoha F
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
1 Dean Henderson Dean Henderson G 6.20
23 Jaydee Canvot Jaydee Canvot D 6.70
5 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D 6.30
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.70
3 Tyrick Mitchell Tyrick Mitchell 45' M 6.30
20 Adam Wharton Adam Wharton M 6.90
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada M 7.30
2 Daniel Muñoz Daniel Muñoz 1 ⚽ M 6.90
11 Brennan Johnson Brennan Johnson 59' F 7.30
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr F 6.90
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 70' F 6.20
Bench
24 Borna Sosa Borna Sosa 45' D 6.20
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 20' F 6.50
19 Will Hughes Will Hughes M
10 Yéremy Pino Yéremy Pino 31' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
G · Liverpool
8.20
· 35 pass
Andy Robertson
Andy Robertson
D · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.90
· 61 pass
A. Mac Allister
A. Mac Allister
M · Liverpool
7.30
2 👟
1 shots · 50 pass
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson
F · Crystal
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 35 20%
Andy Robertson D 87 8.20 1 1 44 37%
V. van Dijk D 90 6.90 51 48%
Ibrahima Konaté D 90 7.90 61 58%
C. Jones D 87 6.90 1 63 53% 3
A. Mac Allister M 90 7.30 2 1 50 41% 2
D. Szoboszlai M 90 6.90 50 44% 2 1
C. Gakpo M 90 6.90 24 15%
F. Wirtz M 90 7.30 1 1 36 28%
Mohamed Salah M 59 6.20 1 18 14%
A. Isak F 79 7.20 1 1 11 6%
Jeremie Frimpong D 31 6.70 9 7% 1
Joe Gomez D 11 6.90 1 1
Miloš Kerkez D 11 6.90 2 1%
R. Gravenberch M 11 6.50 4 3%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dean Henderson G 90 6.20 29 18% 1
Jaydee Canvot D 90 6.70 62 58% 3
Maxence Lacroix D 90 6.30 2 53 48% 1
C. Richards D 90 5.70 1 45 38%
Tyrick Mitchell M 45 6.30 21 14%
Adam Wharton M 90 6.90 35 25%
D. Kamada M 90 7.30 57 50% 4
Daniel Muñoz M 90 6.90 1 2 25 21% 2 1
Brennan Johnson F 59 7.30 1 18 11% 2
I. Sarr F 90 6.90 2 17 13%
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 70 6.20 2 7 6%
Borna Sosa D 45 6.20 1 17 14% 1
J. Strand Larsen F 20 6.50 1 1 1%
Yéremy Pino M 31 6.20 1 13 10% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Crystal Palace win.