✓Model correct — prediction Liverpool
A. Isak
(ast. A. Mac Allister)
35'
A. Robertson
(ast. C. Jones)
40'
F. Wirtz
(ast. A. Mac Allister)
90'+6
71'
D. Munoz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%). The final result was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
0.91
Actual xG
2.32
5
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
8
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
D. Munoz
32'
D. Henderson
⚽A. Isak
· ast. A. Mac Allister
35'
⚽A. Robertson
· ast. C. Jones
40'
46'
B. Sosa
/
T. Mitchell
M. Salah
/ J. Frimpong
59'
59'
Y. Pino
/
B. Johnson
70'
J. S. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
71'
D. Munoz⚽
A. Isak
/ R. Gravenberch
79'
A. Robertson
/ M. Kerkez
87'
C. Jones
/ J. Gomez
87'
90'+3
B. Sosa
⚽F. Wirtz
· ast. A. Mac Allister
90'+6
D. Szoboszlai
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.26%
Liverpool ←
23.82%
X
17.92%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool)
58.26%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
0.91
-1.0
0.97
2.32
+1.35
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.32 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
26
Andy Robertson
1 ⚽
87'
D
Andy Robertson
1 ⚽
87'
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
Ibrahima Konaté
D
Ibrahima Konaté
D
17
C. Jones
1 👟
87'
D
C. Jones
1 👟
87'
D
10
A. Mac Allister
2 👟
M
A. Mac Allister
2 👟
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
M
D. Szoboszlai
M
18
C. Gakpo
M
C. Gakpo
M
7
F. Wirtz
1 ⚽
M
F. Wirtz
1 ⚽
M
11
Mohamed Salah
59'
M
Mohamed Salah
59'
M
9
A. Isak
1 ⚽
79'
F
A. Isak
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
14
F. Chiesa
F
F. Chiesa
F
30
Jeremie Frimpong
31'
D
Jeremie Frimpong
31'
D
2
Joe Gomez
11'
D
Joe Gomez
11'
D
6
Miloš Kerkez
11'
D
Miloš Kerkez
11'
D
38
R. Gravenberch
11'
M
R. Gravenberch
11'
M
73
Rio Ngumoha
F
Rio Ngumoha
F
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
45'
M
Tyrick Mitchell
45'
M
20
Adam Wharton
M
Adam Wharton
M
18
D. Kamada
M
D. Kamada
M
2
Daniel Muñoz
1 ⚽
M
Daniel Muñoz
1 ⚽
M
11
Brennan Johnson
59'
F
Brennan Johnson
59'
F
7
I. Sarr
F
I. Sarr
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
70'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
70'
F
Bench
24
Borna Sosa
45'
D
Borna Sosa
45'
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
J. Lerma
M
J. Lerma
M
22
J. Strand Larsen
20'
F
J. Strand Larsen
20'
F
19
Will Hughes
M
Will Hughes
M
10
Yéremy Pino
31'
M
Yéremy Pino
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Liverpool
8.20
· 35 pass
Andy Robertson
D · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Ibrahima Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.90
· 61 pass
A. Mac Allister
M · Liverpool
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Brennan Johnson
F · Crystal
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
F. Wirtz
M · Liverpool
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Andy Robertson | D | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| C. Jones | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | D | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Miloš Kerkez | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | M | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Crystal Palace win.