Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 35
May 01, 2026 20:45
J. Nouble
47'
R. Muirhead
78'
24'
(ast. D. Geiger)
M. Frame
(og)
71'
D. Finlayson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Livingston a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Aberdeen 26%). The final result was Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen. In 3 previous meetings, Livingston have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Aberdeen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1.53
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
24'
ast. D. Geiger ·
M. Frame⚽
S. May
/ S. Pittman
46'
D. Wilson
/ M. Tait
46'
S. Arfield
/ B. McKay
46'
⚽J. Nouble
47'
C. Montano
/ B. Fati
59'
66'
M. Knoester
/
J. Milne
B. Fati
70'
71'
(og)
D. Finlayson⚽
J. Nouble
/ R. Muirhead
73'
74'
T. Keskinen
/
D. Geiger
74'
A. Palaversa
/
T. Olusanya
⚽R. Muirhead
78'
D. Finlayson
81'
84'
E. Bwomono
/
M. Frame
84'
N. Milanovic
/
A. Jensen
90'+6
T. Keskinen
M. Tait
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.43%
Livingston
34.66%
X ←
26.91%
Aberdeen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
1.53
+0.59
0.73
0.73
+-0.0
Livingston dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
5
D
27
Danny Wilson
45'
D
Danny Wilson
45'
D
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
26
Cristian Montaño
59'
M
Cristian Montaño
59'
M
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
37
S. Arfield
45'
M
19
Danny Finlayson
1 ⚽
M
Danny Finlayson
1 ⚽
M
17
Stevie May
45'
F
Stevie May
45'
F
15
Lewis Smith
F
Lewis Smith
F
7
71'
F
Bench
3
Babacar Fati
37'
D
Babacar Fati
37'
D
10
Barrie McKay
51'
M
Barrie McKay
51'
M
25
Macaulay Tait
51'
M
Macaulay Tait
51'
M
9
Robbie Muirhead
1 ⚽
25'
F
Robbie Muirhead
1 ⚽
25'
F
8
Scott Pittman
51'
F
Scott Pittman
51'
F
1
G
21
D
23
Liam Morrison
D
Liam Morrison
D
22
Jack Milne
66'
D
Jack Milne
66'
D
3
Mitchel Frame
1 ⚽
84'
M
Mitchel Frame
1 ⚽
84'
M
32
Aremu Afeez
M
Aremu Afeez
M
8
Dennis Geiger
1 👟
74'
M
Dennis Geiger
1 👟
74'
M
28
A. Jensen
83'
M
16
S. Armstrong
F
S. Armstrong
F
15
Kevin Nisbet
F
Kevin Nisbet
F
20
Toyosi Olusanya
74'
F
Toyosi Olusanya
74'
F
Bench
4
Graeme Shinnie
M
Graeme Shinnie
M
25
Lyall Cameron
M
Lyall Cameron
M
27
Marko Lazetić
F
81
Topi Keskinen
22'
F
Topi Keskinen
22'
F
Best on the pitch
F · Livingston
7.90
3 shots
· 19 pass
Robbie Muirhead
F · Livingston
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Lewis Smith
F · Livingston
7.60
1 shots
· 26 pass
Mitchel Frame
M · Aberdeen
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D · Livingston
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
S. Armstrong
F · Aberdeen
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Danny Wilson | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Kabongolo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Montaño | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamad Sylla | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arfield | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Danny Finlayson | M | 96 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Stevie May | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | F | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 71 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Babacar Fati | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Barrie McKay | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Tait | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robbie Muirhead | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | F | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Liam Morrison | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jack Milne | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Mitchel Frame | M | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Dennis Geiger | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Jensen | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Armstrong | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Nisbet | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Toyosi Olusanya | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Topi Keskinen | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The final score was Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen.
What did the model predict before Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Livingston win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Aberdeen win.