Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 35
May 01, 2026 20:45
J. Nouble
47'
R. Muirhead
78'
24'
(ast. D. Geiger)
M. Frame
(og)
71'
D. Finlayson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Livingston a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Aberdeen 26%). The final result was Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen. In 3 previous meetings, Livingston have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Aberdeen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1.53
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
24'
ast. D. Geiger ·
M. Frame⚽
S. May
/ S. Pittman
46'
D. Wilson
/ M. Tait
46'
S. Arfield
/ B. McKay
46'
⚽J. Nouble
47'
C. Montano
/ B. Fati
59'
66'
M. Knoester
/
J. Milne
B. Fati
70'
71'
(og)
D. Finlayson⚽
J. Nouble
/ R. Muirhead
73'
74'
T. Keskinen
/
D. Geiger
74'
A. Palaversa
/
T. Olusanya
⚽R. Muirhead
78'
D. Finlayson
81'
84'
E. Bwomono
/
M. Frame
84'
N. Milanovic
/
A. Jensen
90'+6
T. Keskinen
M. Tait
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.43%
Livingston
34.66%
X ←
26.91%
Aberdeen
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
1.53
+0.59
0.73
0.73
+-0.0
Livingston dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
5
D
27
Danny Wilson
45'
D
Danny Wilson
45'
D
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D
26
Cristian Montaño
59'
M
Cristian Montaño
59'
M
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
37
Scott Arfield
45'
M
Scott Arfield
45'
M
19
D. Finlayson
1 ⚽
M
D. Finlayson
1 ⚽
M
17
S. May
45'
F
15
L. Smith
F
L. Smith
F
7
71'
F
Bench
3
Babacar Fati
37'
D
Babacar Fati
37'
D
10
Barrie McKay
51'
M
Barrie McKay
51'
M
25
M. Tait
51'
M
M. Tait
51'
M
9
R. Muirhead
1 ⚽
25'
F
8
Scott Pittman
51'
F
Scott Pittman
51'
F
1
G
21
D
23
L. Morrison
D
L. Morrison
D
22
J. Milne
66'
D
J. Milne
66'
D
3
M. Frame
1 ⚽
84'
M
M. Frame
1 ⚽
84'
M
32
A. Aremu
M
A. Aremu
M
8
D. Geiger
1 👟
74'
M
D. Geiger
1 👟
74'
M
28
A. Jensen
83'
M
A. Jensen
83'
M
16
S. Armstrong
F
S. Armstrong
F
15
K. Nisbet
F
K. Nisbet
F
20
T. Olusanya
74'
F
T. Olusanya
74'
F
Bench
4
G. Shinnie
M
25
L. Cameron
M
L. Cameron
M
27
Marko Lazetić
F
Marko Lazetić
F
81
T. Keskinen
22'
F
T. Keskinen
22'
F
Best on the pitch
F · Livingston
7.90
3 shots
· 19 pass
R. Muirhead
F · Livingston
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
L. Smith
F · Livingston
7.60
1 shots
· 26 pass
M. Frame
M · Aberdeen
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D · Livingston
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
S. Armstrong
F · Aberdeen
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Danny Wilson | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Kabongolo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Montaño | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamad Sylla | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Scott Arfield | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Finlayson | M | 96 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| S. May | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Smith | F | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 71 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Babacar Fati | D | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Barrie McKay | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Tait | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Muirhead | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | F | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Aberdeen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Morrison | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Milne | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Frame | M | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Aremu | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Jensen | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Armstrong | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| K. Nisbet | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Olusanya | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Keskinen | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The final score was Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen.
What did the model predict before Livingston vs Aberdeen?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Livingston win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Aberdeen win.