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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00
Luton
#7 · 74 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Peterborough
#18 · 53 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
J. Richards (ast. K. Naismith) 20'
J. Clark (ast. E. Lawrence) 50'
75' (ast. K. Lisbie) J. Morgan

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Peterborough 22%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Peterborough. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Peterborough.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Richards · ast. K. Naismith
20'
Josh Keeley
33'
⚽J. Clark · ast. E. Lawrence
50'
60'
B. Woods / B. Khela ↕
60'
D. Kamara / H. Leonard ↕
61'
B. Shofowoke / C. Hayes ↕
↕ N. Wells / D. Cole
65'
↕ E. Lawrence / G. Kodua
65'
72'
D. Okagbue / T. Lees ↕
75'
ast. K. Lisbie · J. Morgan⚽
Kal Naismith
80'
80'
Kyrell Lisbie
↕ D. van den Berg / G. Saville
83'
↕ J. Clark / K. Palmer
83'
90'+3
David Kamara
Kasey Palmer
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.42%
Luton ←
22.13%
X
22.45%
Peterborough
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Luton) 55.42% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luton
1.93
—
—
Peterborough
1.37
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Luton Luton 3-4-2-1
24
J. Keeley G 6.30
3
Kal Naismith 1 👟 D 7.00
16
H. Odoffin D 6.90
17
N. Lonwijk D 7.30
32
E. Lawrence 1 👟 65' M 7.50
8 L. Walsh L. Walsh M 6.90
6
D. van den Berg 83' M 6.30
25
M 6.60
18 J. Clark J. Clark 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.50
27
J. Richards 1 ⚽ F 7.70
21
N. Wells 65' F 7.30
Bench
54
Kasey Palmer 14' M 6.90
14
S. Morris F
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
23
H. Mills D 7.30
12
T. Lees 72' D 7.30
30
P. Kioso D 6.30
33
J. Dornelly D 6.30
8
B. Khela 60' M 6.70
4
A. Collins M 7.50
17 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 1 👟 M 6.30
24
J. Morgan 1 ⚽
18
C. Hayes 61' M 6.30
27 H. Leonard H. Leonard 60' F 6.30
Bench
36
B. Shofowoke 29' F 6.60
16
B. Woods 30' M 6.30
34
D. Kamara
40
J. Mendy D
Best on the pitch
J. Richards
F · Luton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
E. Lawrence
M · Luton
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
A. Collins
M · Peterborough
7.50
2 shots · 40 pass
J. Clark
J. Clark
F · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
N. Lonwijk
D · Luton
7.30
· 42 pass
N. Wells
F · Luton
7.30
2 shots · 12 pass
Luton Luton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Keeley G 90 6.30 — — — 37 18% — 1 —
Kal Naismith D 90 7.00 — 1 1 51 34% 4 1 —
H. Odoffin D 90 6.90 — — — 38 27% 3 — —
N. Lonwijk D 90 7.30 — — — 42 35% 2 — —
E. Lawrence M 65 7.50 — 1 1 7 7% — — —
L. Walsh M 90 6.90 — — — 60 50% 3 — —
D. van den Berg M 83 6.30 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
M 90 6.60 — — — 27 19% 3 — —
J. Clark F 83 7.50 1 — 3 16 13% — — —
J. Richards F 90 7.70 1 — 1 16 15% — — —
N. Wells F 65 7.30 — — 2 12 10% — — —
Kasey Palmer M 14 6.90 — — 1 4 4% — 1 —
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 64 42% — — —
H. Mills D 90 7.30 — — 1 46 38% 2 — —
T. Lees D 72 7.30 — — — 54 53% 2 — —
P. Kioso D 90 6.30 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
J. Dornelly D 90 6.30 — — — 36 27% 4 — —
B. Khela M 60 6.70 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
A. Collins M 90 7.50 — — 2 40 37% 1 — —
K. Lisbie M 90 6.30 — 1 — 16 12% — 1 —
J. Morgan — — 1 — — — — — — —
C. Hayes M 61 6.30 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
H. Leonard F 60 6.30 — — 1 10 5% — — —
B. Shofowoke F 29 6.60 — — — 9 5% 2 — —
B. Woods M 30 6.30 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Peterborough?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Luton win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Peterborough win.