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League One · Regular Season - 41 April 03, 2026 16:00
Luton
#12 · 8 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Peterborough
#21 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
J. Richards (ast. K. Naismith) 20'
J. Clark (ast. E. Lawrence) 50'
75' (ast. K. Lisbie) J. Morgan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Peterborough 22%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Peterborough. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Peterborough.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Richards · ast. K. Naismith
20'
Josh Keeley
33'
⚽J. Clark · ast. E. Lawrence
50'
60'
B. Woods / B. Khela ↕
60'
D. Kamara / H. Leonard ↕
61'
B. Shofowoke / C. Hayes ↕
↕ N. Wells / D. Cole
65'
↕ E. Lawrence / G. Kodua
65'
72'
D. Okagbue / T. Lees ↕
75'
ast. K. Lisbie · J. Morgan⚽
Kal Naismith
80'
80'
Kyrell Lisbie
↕ D. van den Berg / G. Saville
83'
↕ J. Clark / K. Palmer
83'
90'+3
David Kamara
Kasey Palmer
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.42%
Luton ←
22.13%
X
22.45%
Peterborough
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Luton) 55.42% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Luton
1.93
—
—
Peterborough
1.37
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 6 13
2 Huddersfield Huddersfield 6 12
3 Bradford Bradford 6 12
4 Cambridge United Cambridge United 6 11
5 Oxford United Oxford United 5 10
6 Plymouth Plymouth 6 10
7 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 6 10
8 Stockport County Stockport County 6 9
9 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
10 Blackpool Blackpool 6 8
11 Burton Albion Burton Albion 6 8
12 Luton Luton 6 8
13 Leicester Leicester 6 8
14 Reading Reading 5 7
15 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
16 Notts County Notts County 6 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 6 7
18 Barnsley Barnsley 6 7
19 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6 5
21 Peterborough Peterborough 6 5
22 Bromley Bromley 6 5
23 Wigan Wigan 6 4
24 Doncaster Doncaster 6 3
Lineups
Luton Luton 3-4-2-1
24 Joshua Keeley Joshua Keeley G 6.30
3 K. Naismith K. Naismith 1 👟 D 7.00
16 H. Odoffin H. Odoffin D 6.90
17 N. Lonwijk N. Lonwijk D 7.30
32 Emilio Lawrence Emilio Lawrence 1 👟 65' M 7.50
8 L. Walsh L. Walsh M 6.90
6 D. van den Berg D. van den Berg 83' M 6.30
25
M 6.60
18 J. Clark J. Clark 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.50
27 J. Richards J. Richards 1 ⚽ F 7.70
21 N. Wells N. Wells 65' F 7.30
Bench
54 K. Palmer K. Palmer 14' M 6.90
14 S. Morris S. Morris F
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
23 Harley Mills Harley Mills D 7.30
12
T. Lees 72' D 7.30
30 P. Kioso P. Kioso D 6.30
33 James Dornelly James Dornelly D 6.30
8 B. Khela B. Khela 60' M 6.70
4 A. Collins A. Collins M 7.50
17 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 1 👟 M 6.30
24 J. Morgan J. Morgan 1 ⚽
18 Cian Hayes Cian Hayes 61' M 6.30
27 H. Leonard H. Leonard 60' F 6.30
Bench
36 Bolu Shofowoke Bolu Shofowoke 29' F 6.60
16 B. Woods B. Woods 30' M 6.30
34
D. Kamara
40 J. Mendy J. Mendy D
Best on the pitch
J. Richards
J. Richards
F · Luton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Emilio Lawrence
Emilio Lawrence
M · Luton
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
A. Collins
A. Collins
M · Peterborough
7.50
2 shots · 40 pass
J. Clark
J. Clark
F · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
N. Lonwijk
N. Lonwijk
D · Luton
7.30
· 42 pass
N. Wells
N. Wells
F · Luton
7.30
2 shots · 12 pass
Luton Luton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joshua Keeley G 90 6.30 — — — 37 18% — 1 —
K. Naismith D 90 7.00 — 1 1 51 34% 4 1 —
H. Odoffin D 90 6.90 — — — 38 27% 3 — —
N. Lonwijk D 90 7.30 — — — 42 35% 2 — —
Emilio Lawrence M 65 7.50 — 1 1 7 7% — — —
L. Walsh M 90 6.90 — — — 60 50% 3 — —
D. van den Berg M 83 6.30 — — 1 35 29% 1 — —
M 90 6.60 — — — 27 19% 3 — —
J. Clark F 83 7.50 1 — 3 16 13% — — —
J. Richards F 90 7.70 1 — 1 16 15% — — —
N. Wells F 65 7.30 — — 2 12 10% — — —
K. Palmer M 14 6.90 — — 1 4 4% — 1 —
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 64 42% — — —
Harley Mills D 90 7.30 — — 1 46 38% 2 — —
T. Lees D 72 7.30 — — — 54 53% 2 — —
P. Kioso D 90 6.30 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
James Dornelly D 90 6.30 — — — 36 27% 4 — —
B. Khela M 60 6.70 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
A. Collins M 90 7.50 — — 2 40 37% 1 — —
K. Lisbie M 90 6.30 — 1 — 16 12% — 1 —
J. Morgan — — 1 — — — — — — —
Cian Hayes M 61 6.30 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
H. Leonard F 60 6.30 — — 1 10 5% — — —
Bolu Shofowoke F 29 6.60 — — — 9 5% 2 — —
B. Woods M 30 6.30 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Peterborough?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Luton win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Peterborough win.