League One
· Regular Season - 41
April 03, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Luton
J. Richards
(ast. K. Naismith)
20'
J. Clark
(ast. E. Lawrence)
50'
75'
(ast. K. Lisbie)
J. Morgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Luton a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Peterborough 22%). The final result was Luton 2–1 Peterborough. In 1 previous meetings, Luton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Peterborough.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Richards
· ast. K. Naismith
20'
Josh Keeley
33'
⚽J. Clark
· ast. E. Lawrence
50'
60'
B. Woods
/
B. Khela
60'
D. Kamara
/
H. Leonard
61'
B. Shofowoke
/
C. Hayes
N. Wells
/ D. Cole
65'
E. Lawrence
/ G. Kodua
65'
72'
D. Okagbue
/
T. Lees
75'
ast. K. Lisbie ·
J. Morgan⚽
Kal Naismith
80'
80'
Kyrell Lisbie
D. van den Berg
/ G. Saville
83'
J. Clark
/ K. Palmer
83'
90'+3
David Kamara
Kasey Palmer
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
55.42%
Luton ←
22.13%
X
22.45%
Peterborough
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Luton)
55.42%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
—
—
1.37
—
—
Lineups
24
Josh Keeley
G
Josh Keeley
G
3
Kal Naismith
1 👟
D
16
H. Odoffin
D
17
N. Lonwijk
D
32
E. Lawrence
1 👟
65'
M
8
L. Walsh
M
L. Walsh
M
6
D. van den Berg
83'
M
25
M
18
J. Clark
1 ⚽
83'
F
J. Clark
1 ⚽
83'
F
27
J. Richards
1 ⚽
F
21
N. Wells
65'
F
Bench
54
Kasey Palmer
14'
M
14
S. Morris
F
1
G
23
H. Mills
D
12
T. Lees
72'
D
30
P. Kioso
D
33
J. Dornelly
D
8
B. Khela
60'
M
4
A. Collins
M
17
K. Lisbie
1 👟
M
K. Lisbie
1 👟
M
24
J. Morgan
1 ⚽
18
C. Hayes
61'
M
27
H. Leonard
60'
F
H. Leonard
60'
F
Bench
36
B. Shofowoke
29'
F
16
B. Woods
30'
M
34
D. Kamara
40
J. Mendy
D
Best on the pitch
J. Richards
F · Luton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
E. Lawrence
M · Luton
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
A. Collins
M · Peterborough
7.50
2 shots
· 40 pass
J. Clark
F · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
N. Lonwijk
D · Luton
7.30
· 42 pass
N. Wells
F · Luton
7.30
2 shots
· 12 pass
Luton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Keeley | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Kal Naismith | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Odoffin | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Lonwijk | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lawrence | M | 65 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Walsh | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Clark | F | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Richards | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Wells | F | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kasey Palmer | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| H. Mills | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lees | D | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Kioso | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dornelly | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Khela | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Collins | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lisbie | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Morgan | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Hayes | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Leonard | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Shofowoke | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Woods | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Luton vs Peterborough?
The final score was Luton 2–1 Peterborough.
What did the model predict before Luton vs Peterborough?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Luton win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Peterborough win.