← AFC Champions League
AFC Champions League · Semi-finals April 21, 2026 18:15
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 17 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
#6 · 11 pts
Y. Soma 12'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shabab Al Ahli Dubai a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 32%). The final result was Machida Zelvia 1–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Match statistics
2
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
0.66
Actual xG
1.49
3
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
6
17
Tackles
4
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Soma
12'
49'
P. Sousa
↕ Erik / Na Sang-Ho
59'
60'
Mateus Henrique / B. Planic ↕
64'
67'
Mateusao / S. Adil ↕
67'
M. Seifi / Mateus Henrique ↕
67'
M. Al Mansouri / F. Cartabia ↕
↕ N. Lavi / H. Shimoda
68'
↕ Y. Soma / K. Sento
68'
↕ T. Yengi / S. Fujio
68'
S. Fujio
72'
83'
Joao Marcelo / S. Ezatolahi ↕
88'
F. Cartabia
↕ H. Nakamura / H. Mochizuki
90'+1
Y. Soma
90'+4
90'+7
90'+14
H. Al Meqebaali
90'+14
H. Al Meqebaali
Pre-match prediction
32.92%
Machida ←
31.06%
X
36.02%
Shabab
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 32.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Machida
1.01
0.66
-0.35
Shabab
1.49
1.49
+0.0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 8 17
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 8 22
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 8 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 8 16
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 15
3 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 8 17
4 Buriram United Buriram United 8 14
4 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 8 15
5 Melbourne City Melbourne City 8 14
5 Al Wahda FC Al Wahda FC 8 14
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 8 11
6 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 8 11
7 FC Seoul FC Seoul 8 10
7 Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC 8 8
8 Al Sadd Al Sadd 8 8
8 Gangwon FC Gangwon FC 8 9
9 Ulsan Hyundai FC Ulsan Hyundai FC 8 9
9 Sharjah FC Sharjah FC 8 8
10 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 8 6
10 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 8 6
11 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 8 4
11 Al Shorta Al Shorta 8 5
12 Nasaf Nasaf 8 4
12 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 8 4
Lineups
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 Kosei Tani Kosei Tani G 6.90
19 Yuta Nakayama Yuta Nakayama D 7.30
50 Daihachi Okamura Daihachi Okamura D 6.90
3 Gen Shoji Gen Shoji D 6.60
26 Kotaro Hayashi Kotaro Hayashi M 6.90
16 Hiroyuki Mae Hiroyuki Mae M 6.70
31
Neta Lavi 68' M 6.90
88 Hotaka Nakamura Hotaka Nakamura 89' M 6.70
7 Y. Soma Y. Soma 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.90
27 Erik Erik 59' F 7.50
99 Tete Yengi Tete Yengi 68' F 7.00
Bench
11 Asahi Masuyama Asahi Masuyama M
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura F
6
H. Mochizuki 13' D 6.90
18 Hokuto Shimoda Hokuto Shimoda 22' M 6.30
5 Ibrahim Drešević Ibrahim Drešević D
49 Kanji Kuwayama Kanji Kuwayama F
8 Keiya Sento Keiya Sento 22' M 6.30
10 Sang-Ho Na Sang-Ho Na 31' F 6.30
9 Shota Fujio Shota Fujio 22' F 6.30
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4-2-3-1
22
H. Al Meqebaali G 6.90
25
I. Gomes D 6.20
13
Renan D 6.90
4
B. Planic 60' D 5.90
31
Kauan Santos D 6.50
6
S. Ezatolahi 83' M 6.70
80 Breno Cascardo Breno Cascardo M 6.90
77 Guilherme Bala Guilherme Bala M 6.30
57
Yuri Cesar M 6.30
10 F. Cartabia F. Cartabia 67' M 6.90
21
S. Adil 67' F 6.90
Bench
19
Mateusao 23' F 6.30
75
Mateus Henrique 7' D
1
R. Al Menhali G
Best on the pitch
Y. Soma
Y. Soma
F · Machida
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Erik
Erik
F · Machida
7.50
1 shots · 11 pass
Yuta Nakayama
Yuta Nakayama
D · Machida
7.30
· 27 pass
Tete Yengi
Tete Yengi
F · Machida
7.00
· 9 pass
F. Cartabia
F. Cartabia
M · Shabab
6.90
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Adil
F · Shabab
6.90
2 shots · 22 pass
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosei Tani G 90 6.90 — — — 26 8% — — —
Yuta Nakayama D 90 7.30 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
Daihachi Okamura D 90 6.90 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Gen Shoji D 90 6.60 — — — 18 11% — — —
Kotaro Hayashi M 90 6.90 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Hiroyuki Mae M 90 6.70 — — — 23 15% 3 — —
Neta Lavi M 68 6.90 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Hotaka Nakamura M 89 6.70 — — — 14 6% 1 — —
Y. Soma F 68 7.90 1 — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
Erik F 59 7.50 — — 1 11 10% 5 — —
Tete Yengi F 68 7.00 — — — 9 6% — — —
H. Mochizuki D 13 6.90 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Hokuto Shimoda M 22 6.30 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Keiya Sento M 22 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Sang-Ho Na F 31 6.30 — — — 11 6% — — —
Shota Fujio F 22 6.30 — — — 5 3% — 1 —
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Al Meqebaali G 90 6.90 — — — 22 15% — — —
I. Gomes D 90 6.20 — — — 59 52% 1 — —
Renan D 90 6.90 — — — 81 71% 1 — —
B. Planic D 60 5.90 — — — 45 42% — — —
Kauan Santos D 90 6.50 — — 1 49 40% 1 — —
S. Ezatolahi M 83 6.70 — — 1 31 23% — — —
Breno Cascardo M 90 6.90 — — 1 51 46% — — —
Guilherme Bala M 90 6.30 — — 3 35 29% — — —
Yuri Cesar M 90 6.30 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
F. Cartabia M 67 6.90 — — 1 29 26% — 1 —
S. Adil F 67 6.90 — — 2 22 15% — — —
Mateusao F 23 6.30 — — 2 4 — — — —
Mateus Henrique D 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The final score was Machida Zelvia 1–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
What did the model predict before Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Machida Zelvia win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win.