AFC Champions League
· Semi-finals
April 21, 2026 18:15
Y. Soma
12'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shabab Al Ahli Dubai a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 32%). The final result was Machida Zelvia 1–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
0.66
Actual xG
1.49
3
Saves
1
30%
Possession
70%
5
Corners
6
17
Tackles
4
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Soma
12'
49'
P. Sousa
Erik
/ Na Sang-Ho
59'
60'
Mateus Henrique
/
B. Planic
64'
67'
Mateusao
/
S. Adil
67'
M. Seifi
/
Mateus Henrique
67'
M. Al Mansouri
/
F. Cartabia
N. Lavi
/ H. Shimoda
68'
Y. Soma
/ K. Sento
68'
T. Yengi
/ S. Fujio
68'
S. Fujio
72'
83'
Joao Marcelo
/
S. Ezatolahi
88'
F. Cartabia
H. Nakamura
/ H. Mochizuki
90'+1
Y. Soma
90'+4
90'+7
90'+14
H. Al Meqebaali
90'+14
H. Al Meqebaali
Pre-match prediction
32.92%
Machida ←
31.06%
X
36.02%
Shabab
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia)
32.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.66
-0.35
1.49
1.49
+0.0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Kosei Tani
G
Kosei Tani
G
19
Yuta Nakayama
D
Yuta Nakayama
D
50
D. Okamura
D
D. Okamura
D
3
Gen Shoji
D
Gen Shoji
D
26
Kotaro Hayashi
M
Kotaro Hayashi
M
16
H. Mae
M
H. Mae
M
31
Neta Lavi
68'
M
Neta Lavi
68'
M
88
Hotaka Nakamura
89'
M
Hotaka Nakamura
89'
M
7
Y. Soma
1 ⚽
68'
F
Y. Soma
1 ⚽
68'
F
27
Erik
59'
F
Erik
59'
F
99
T. Yengi
68'
F
T. Yengi
68'
F
Bench
11
Asahi Masuyama
M
Asahi Masuyama
M
34
Futa Tokumura
F
Futa Tokumura
F
6
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
13'
D
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
13'
D
18
Hokuto Shimoda
22'
M
Hokuto Shimoda
22'
M
5
Ibrahim Drešević
D
Ibrahim Drešević
D
49
Kanji Kuwayama
F
Kanji Kuwayama
F
8
Keiya Sento
22'
M
Keiya Sento
22'
M
10
Sang-Ho Na
31'
F
Sang-Ho Na
31'
F
9
Shota Fujio
22'
F
Shota Fujio
22'
F
22
H. Al Meqebaali
G
25
I. Gomes
D
13
Renan
D
4
B. Planic
60'
D
31
Kauan Santos
D
6
S. Ezatolahi
83'
M
S. Ezatolahi
83'
M
80
Breno Cascardo
M
Breno Cascardo
M
77
Guilherme Bala
M
Guilherme Bala
M
57
Yuri Cesar
M
10
F. Cartabia
67'
M
F. Cartabia
67'
M
21
S. Adil
67'
F
Bench
19
Mateusao
23'
F
75
Mateus Henrique
7'
D
1
R. Al Menhali
G
Best on the pitch
Y. Soma
F · Machida
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Erik
F · Machida
7.50
1 shots
· 11 pass
Yuta Nakayama
D · Machida
7.30
· 27 pass
T. Yengi
F · Machida
7.00
· 9 pass
F. Cartabia
M · Shabab
6.90
1 shots
· 29 pass
S. Adil
F · Shabab
6.90
2 shots
· 22 pass
Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosei Tani | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Yuta Nakayama | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Okamura | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Gen Shoji | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kotaro Hayashi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mae | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Neta Lavi | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Hotaka Nakamura | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Soma | F | 68 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Erik | F | 59 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Yengi | F | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Henry Heroki Mochizuki | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Hokuto Shimoda | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Keiya Sento | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Sang-Ho Na | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Shota Fujio | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Al Meqebaali | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Gomes | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Renan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Planic | D | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Santos | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ezatolahi | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Breno Cascardo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Bala | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Cesar | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Cartabia | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Adil | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mateusao | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Henrique | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The final score was Machida Zelvia 1–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
What did the model predict before Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Machida Zelvia win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win.