Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
May 13, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
A. Semenyo
(ast. P. Foden)
32'
O. Marmoush
(ast. P. Foden)
40'
Savinho
(ast. R. Cherki)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 82% win probability (draw 10%, Crystal Palace 7%). The final result was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
1.43
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
25
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Semenyo
· ast. P. Foden
32'
⚽O. Marmoush
· ast. P. Foden
40'
52'
T. Mitchell
M. Nunes
/ N. Ake
58'
J. Gvardiol
/ J. Doku
58'
60'
A. Wharton
/
W. Hughes
60'
J. S. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
60'
I. Sarr
/
Y. Pino
75'
D. Kamada
/
B. Johnson
O. Marmoush
/ R. Cherki
79'
B. Silva
/ M. Kovacic
79'
81'
D. Kamada
82'
N. Clyne
/
D. Munoz
P. Foden
/ J. Stones
82'
⚽Savinho
· ast. R. Cherki
84'
Pre-match prediction
82.67%
Manchester ←
10.11%
X
7.22%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
82.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.53
1.43
-2.1
0.91
0.65
-0.26
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
24
Joško Gvardiol
58'
D
Joško Gvardiol
58'
D
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
D
Abdukodir Khusanov
D
27
Matheus Nunes
58'
D
Matheus Nunes
58'
D
20
Bernardo Silva
79'
M
Bernardo Silva
79'
M
47
Phil Foden
2 👟
82'
M
Phil Foden
2 👟
82'
M
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
M
Rayan Aït-Nouri
M
26
Savinho
1 ⚽
M
Savinho
1 ⚽
M
7
Omar Marmoush
1 ⚽
79'
F
Omar Marmoush
1 ⚽
79'
F
42
Antoine Semenyo
1 ⚽
F
Antoine Semenyo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Erling Haaland
F
Erling Haaland
F
1
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
11
Jérémy Doku
36'
F
Jérémy Doku
36'
F
5
John Stones
12'
D
John Stones
12'
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
15'
M
Mateo Kovačić
15'
M
6
Nathan Aké
36'
D
Nathan Aké
36'
D
10
Rayan Cherki
1 👟
15'
M
Rayan Cherki
1 👟
15'
M
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
4
Tijjani Reijnders
M
Tijjani Reijnders
M
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
3
Tyrick Mitchell
D
Tyrick Mitchell
D
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
26
Chris Richards
D
Chris Richards
D
2
Daniel Muñoz
82'
D
Daniel Muñoz
82'
D
10
Yéremy Pino
60'
M
Yéremy Pino
60'
M
8
Jefferson Lerma
M
Jefferson Lerma
M
19
Will Hughes
60'
M
Will Hughes
60'
M
11
Brennan Johnson
75'
M
Brennan Johnson
75'
M
14
Jean Philippe Mateta
60'
F
Jean Philippe Mateta
60'
F
Bench
20
Adam Wharton
34'
M
Adam Wharton
34'
M
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
18
Daichi Kamada
19'
M
Daichi Kamada
19'
M
7
Ismaïla Sarr
34'
F
Ismaïla Sarr
34'
F
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
34'
F
Jørgen Strand Larsen
34'
F
55
Justin Devenny
M
Justin Devenny
M
17
Nathaniel Clyne
12'
D
Nathaniel Clyne
12'
D
59
Rio Cardines
M
Rio Cardines
M
44
Walter Benítez
G
Walter Benítez
G
Best on the pitch
Phil Foden
M · Manchester
9.00
2 👟
1 shots
· 59 pass
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.90
2 shots
· 130 pass
Savinho
M · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 51 pass
Rayan Cherki
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
· 14 pass
Will Hughes
M · Crystal
7.30
· 14 pass
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G · Manchester
7.20
· 22 pass
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 130 | 123% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 92% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Phil Foden | M | 82 | 9.00 | — | 2 | 1 | 59 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Savinho | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 79 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Semenyo | F | 94 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jérémy Doku | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | D | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Cherki | M | 15 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Will Hughes | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Philippe Mateta | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 82% probability to a Manchester City win, 10% to a draw, and 7% to an Crystal Palace win.