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Premier League · Regular Season - 31 May 13, 2026 21:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
#1 · 9 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Crystal Palace
#16 · 3 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
A. Semenyo (ast. P. Foden) 32'
O. Marmoush (ast. P. Foden) 40'
Savinho (ast. R. Cherki) 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 82% win probability (draw 10%, Crystal Palace 7%). The final result was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 2 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
1.43
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
25
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Semenyo · ast. P. Foden
32'
⚽O. Marmoush · ast. P. Foden
40'
52'
T. Mitchell
↕ M. Nunes / N. Ake
58'
↕ J. Gvardiol / J. Doku
58'
60'
A. Wharton / W. Hughes ↕
60'
J. S. Larsen / J. Mateta ↕
60'
I. Sarr / Y. Pino ↕
75'
D. Kamada / B. Johnson ↕
↕ O. Marmoush / R. Cherki
79'
↕ B. Silva / M. Kovacic
79'
81'
D. Kamada
82'
N. Clyne / D. Munoz ↕
↕ P. Foden / J. Stones
82'
⚽Savinho · ast. R. Cherki
84'
Pre-match prediction
82.67%
Manchester ←
10.11%
X
7.22%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 82.67% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
3.53
1.43
-2.1
Crystal
0.91
0.65
-0.26
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
2 Arsenal Arsenal 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
8 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
9 Everton Everton 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 3 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Fulham Fulham 4 1
18 Tottenham Tottenham 3 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-2-2
25 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 7.20
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol 58' D 6.90
15 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.90
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov D 7.20
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes 58' D 6.90
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva 79' M 6.60
47 P. Foden P. Foden 2 👟 82' M 9.00
21 R. Aït-Nouri R. Aït-Nouri M 6.60
26 Sávio Sávio 1 ⚽ M 7.70
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland F
11 J. Doku J. Doku 36' F 6.30
5 J. Stones J. Stones 12' D 6.30
1 J. Trafford J. Trafford G
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić 15' M 6.90
6 N. Aké N. Aké 36' D 6.60
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 1 👟 15' M 7.70
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D
4 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders M
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5-4-1
1 D. Henderson D. Henderson G 6.30
3 T. Mitchell T. Mitchell D 6.70
23 J. Canvot J. Canvot D 6.00
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix D 7.20
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.60
2 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz 82' D 6.20
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 60' M 6.20
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M 6.70
19 W. Hughes W. Hughes 60' M 7.30
11 B. Johnson B. Johnson 75' M 6.30
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 60' F 6.60
Bench
20 A. Wharton A. Wharton 34' M 6.90
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada 19' M 6.30
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr 34' F 6.20
55 J. Devenny J. Devenny M
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 34' F 6.50
17 Nathaniel Clyne Nathaniel Clyne 12' D 6.70
59 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines M
44 W. Benítez W. Benítez G
Best on the pitch
P. Foden
P. Foden
M · Manchester
9.00
2 👟
1 shots · 59 pass
M. Guéhi
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.90
2 shots · 130 pass
Sávio
Sávio
M · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 51 pass
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
· 14 pass
W. Hughes
W. Hughes
M · Crystal
7.30
· 14 pass
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
G · Manchester
7.20
· 22 pass
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 94 7.20 — — — 22 16% — — —
J. Gvardiol D 58 6.90 — — 1 35 28% — — —
M. Guéhi D 94 7.90 — — 2 130 123% 1 — —
A. Khusanov D 94 7.20 — — 1 98 92% — — —
Matheus Nunes D 58 6.90 — — — 61 51% — — —
Bernardo Silva M 79 6.60 — — 1 88 81% 1 — —
P. Foden M 82 9.00 — 2 1 59 54% 3 — —
R. Aït-Nouri M 94 6.60 — — 1 54 49% 2 — —
Sávio M 94 7.70 1 — 2 51 40% 2 — —
Omar Marmoush F 79 7.20 1 — 2 12 10% — — —
A. Semenyo F 94 6.90 1 — 1 18 15% 1 — —
J. Doku F 36 6.30 — — — 17 15% — — —
J. Stones D 12 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
M. Kovačić M 15 6.90 — — — 23 21% 1 — —
N. Aké D 36 6.60 — — — 28 25% — — —
R. Cherki M 15 7.70 — 1 — 14 12% — — —
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Henderson G 94 6.30 — — — 25 12% — — —
T. Mitchell D 94 6.70 — — 1 14 11% 7 1 —
J. Canvot D 94 6.00 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
M. Lacroix D 94 7.20 — — — 42 40% 3 — —
C. Richards D 94 5.60 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
D. Muñoz D 82 6.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
Yeremy Pino M 60 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
J. Lerma M 94 6.70 — — — 29 22% 5 — —
W. Hughes M 60 7.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
B. Johnson M 75 6.30 — — — 7 3% 2 — —
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 60 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
A. Wharton M 34 6.90 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
D. Kamada M 19 6.30 — — — — — 1 1 —
I. Sarr F 34 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
J. Strand Larsen F 34 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Nathaniel Clyne D 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 82% probability to a Manchester City win, 10% to a draw, and 7% to an Crystal Palace win.