Skip to main content
← Premier League
Premier League · Regular Season - 31 May 13, 2026 21:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
#15 · 0 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Crystal Palace
#8 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
A. Semenyo (ast. P. Foden) 32'
O. Marmoush (ast. P. Foden) 40'
Savinho (ast. R. Cherki) 84'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 82% win probability (draw 10%, Crystal Palace 7%). The final result was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
1.43
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
1
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
25
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Semenyo · ast. P. Foden
32'
⚽O. Marmoush · ast. P. Foden
40'
52'
T. Mitchell
↕ M. Nunes / N. Ake
58'
↕ J. Gvardiol / J. Doku
58'
60'
A. Wharton / W. Hughes ↕
60'
J. S. Larsen / J. Mateta ↕
60'
I. Sarr / Y. Pino ↕
75'
D. Kamada / B. Johnson ↕
↕ O. Marmoush / R. Cherki
79'
↕ B. Silva / M. Kovacic
79'
81'
D. Kamada
82'
N. Clyne / D. Munoz ↕
↕ P. Foden / J. Stones
82'
⚽Savinho · ast. R. Cherki
84'
Pre-match prediction
82.67%
Manchester ←
10.11%
X
7.22%
Crystal
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 82.67% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
3.53
1.43
-2.1
Crystal
0.91
0.65
-0.26
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0 0
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
4 Brentford Brentford 0 0
5 Brighton Brighton 0 0
6 Chelsea Chelsea 0 0
7 Coventry Coventry 0 0
8 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
9 Everton Everton 0 0
10 Fulham Fulham 0 0
11 Hull City Hull City 0 0
12 Ipswich Ipswich 0 0
13 Leeds Leeds 0 0
14 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
15 Manchester City Manchester City 0 0
16 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
17 Newcastle Newcastle 0 0
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0 0
19 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
20 Tottenham Tottenham 0 0
Lineups
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-2-2
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma Gianluigi Donnarumma G 7.20
24 Joško Gvardiol Joško Gvardiol 58' D 6.90
15 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.90
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov D 7.20
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes 58' D 6.90
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva 79' M 6.60
47 P. Foden P. Foden 2 👟 82' M 9.00
21 Rayan Aït-Nouri Rayan Aït-Nouri M 6.60
26 Savinho Savinho 1 ⚽ M 7.70
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.20
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland F
1 James Trafford James Trafford G
11 J. Doku J. Doku 36' F 6.30
5 John Stones John Stones 12' D 6.30
8 Mateo Kovačić Mateo Kovačić 15' M 6.90
6 Nathan Aké Nathan Aké 36' D 6.60
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 1 👟 15' M 7.70
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D
4 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders M
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5-4-1
1 Dean Henderson Dean Henderson G 6.30
3 Tyrick Mitchell Tyrick Mitchell D 6.70
23 Jaydee Canvot Jaydee Canvot D 6.00
5 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D 7.20
26 C. Richards C. Richards D 5.60
2 D. Muñoz D. Muñoz 82' D 6.20
10 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino 60' M 6.20
8 J. Lerma J. Lerma M 6.70
19 Will Hughes Will Hughes 60' M 7.30
11 Brennan Johnson Brennan Johnson 75' M 6.30
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 60' F 6.60
Bench
20 Adam Wharton Adam Wharton 34' M 6.90
34 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
18 D. Kamada D. Kamada 19' M 6.30
7 I. Sarr I. Sarr 34' F 6.20
22 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen 34' F 6.50
55 Justin Devenny Justin Devenny M
17 Nathaniel Clyne Nathaniel Clyne 12' D 6.70
59 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines M
44 Walter Benítez Walter Benítez G
Best on the pitch
P. Foden
P. Foden
M · Manchester
9.00
2 👟
1 shots · 59 pass
M. Guéhi
M. Guéhi
D · Manchester
7.90
2 shots · 130 pass
Savinho
Savinho
M · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 51 pass
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
· 14 pass
Will Hughes
Will Hughes
M · Crystal
7.30
· 14 pass
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G · Manchester
7.20
· 22 pass
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gianluigi Donnarumma G 94 7.20 — — — 22 16% — — —
Joško Gvardiol D 58 6.90 — — 1 35 28% — — —
M. Guéhi D 94 7.90 — — 2 130 123% 1 — —
A. Khusanov D 94 7.20 — — 1 98 92% — — —
Matheus Nunes D 58 6.90 — — — 61 51% — — —
Bernardo Silva M 79 6.60 — — 1 88 81% 1 — —
P. Foden M 82 9.00 — 2 1 59 54% 3 — —
Rayan Aït-Nouri M 94 6.60 — — 1 54 49% 2 — —
Savinho M 94 7.70 1 — 2 51 40% 2 — —
Omar Marmoush F 79 7.20 1 — 2 12 10% — — —
A. Semenyo F 94 6.90 1 — 1 18 15% 1 — —
J. Doku F 36 6.30 — — — 17 15% — — —
John Stones D 12 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Mateo Kovačić M 15 6.90 — — — 23 21% 1 — —
Nathan Aké D 36 6.60 — — — 28 25% — — —
R. Cherki M 15 7.70 — 1 — 14 12% — — —
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dean Henderson G 94 6.30 — — — 25 12% — — —
Tyrick Mitchell D 94 6.70 — — 1 14 11% 7 1 —
Jaydee Canvot D 94 6.00 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
Maxence Lacroix D 94 7.20 — — — 42 40% 3 — —
C. Richards D 94 5.60 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
D. Muñoz D 82 6.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
Yeremy Pino M 60 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
J. Lerma M 94 6.70 — — — 29 22% 5 — —
Will Hughes M 60 7.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
Brennan Johnson M 75 6.30 — — — 7 3% 2 — —
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 60 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
Adam Wharton M 34 6.90 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
D. Kamada M 19 6.30 — — — — — 1 1 —
I. Sarr F 34 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
J. Strand Larsen F 34 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Nathaniel Clyne D 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 82% probability to a Manchester City win, 10% to a draw, and 7% to an Crystal Palace win.