FA Cup
· Semi-finals
April 25, 2026 18:15
J. Doku
(ast. T. Reijnders)
83'
Nico
(ast. J. Doku)
87'
79'
(ast. K. Matsuki)
F. Azaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 48% win probability (draw 21%, Southampton 30%). The final result was Manchester City 2–1 Southampton.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
3
3
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
P. Foden
/ J. Doku
58'
M. Kovacic
/ Savinho
58'
61'
C. Larin
/
R. Stewart
61'
S. Charles
/
C. Bragg
O. Marmoush
/ E. Haaland
71'
R. Ait-Nouri
/ N. O'Reilly
71'
77'
K. Matsuki
/
Welington
79'
ast. K. Matsuki ·
F. Azaz⚽
⚽J. Doku
· ast. T. Reijnders
83'
T. Reijnders
/ B. Silva
86'
⚽Nico
· ast. J. Doku
87'
89'
C. Archer
/
J. Bree
90'+3
T. Harwood-Bellis
Pre-match prediction
48.13%
Manchester ←
21.61%
X
30.27%
Southampton
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
48.13%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
—
—
1.64
—
—
Lineups
1
G
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
71'
D
Rayan Aït-Nouri
71'
D
6
Nathan Aké
D
Nathan Aké
D
5
D
27
Matheus Nunes
D
Matheus Nunes
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
58'
M
Mateo Kovačić
58'
M
14
Nico
1 ⚽
M
47
Phil Foden
58'
M
Phil Foden
58'
M
4
Tijjani Reijnders
1 👟
85'
M
Tijjani Reijnders
1 👟
85'
M
10
Rayan Cherki
M
Rayan Cherki
M
7
Omar Marmoush
71'
F
Omar Marmoush
71'
F
Bench
20
Bernardo Silva
9'
M
Bernardo Silva
9'
M
9
Erling Haaland
23'
F
Erling Haaland
23'
F
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
11
Jérémy Doku
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
Jérémy Doku
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
33
Nico O'Reilly
23'
M
41
G
34
Welington
76'
D
Welington
76'
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
89'
D
James Bree
89'
D
18
Tom Fellows
89'
D
Tom Fellows
89'
D
13
Léo Scienza
M
Léo Scienza
M
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
48
Cameron Bragg
61'
M
Cameron Bragg
61'
M
10
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
M
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
M
11
Ross Stewart
61'
F
Ross Stewart
61'
F
Bench
19
Cameron Archer
5'
F
Cameron Archer
5'
F
9
C. Larin
33'
F
C. Larin
33'
F
27
Kuryu Matsuki
1 👟
18'
M
Kuryu Matsuki
1 👟
18'
M
23
Samuel Edozie
5'
M
Samuel Edozie
5'
M
24
Shea Charles
33'
M
Shea Charles
33'
M
Best on the pitch
Jérémy Doku
F · Manchester
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
Nico
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 82 pass
Kuryu Matsuki
M · Southampton
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 2 pass
F. Azaz
M · Southampton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
D · Manchester
7.50
· 75 pass
Rayan Aït-Nouri
D · Manchester
7.30
· 35 pass
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | D | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 1 | — | — | |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Nico | M | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 82 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Phil Foden | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Cherki | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Erling Haaland | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jérémy Doku | F | 36 | 10.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| Welington | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| James Bree | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 7 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | M | 18 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Southampton?
The final score was Manchester City 2–1 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Southampton?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Manchester City win, 21% to a draw, and 30% to an Southampton win.