J. Doku
(ast. T. Reijnders)
83'
Nico
(ast. J. Doku)
87'
79'
(ast. K. Matsuki)
F. Azaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 48% win probability (draw 21%, Southampton 30%). The final result was Manchester City 2–1 Southampton.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
3
3
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
P. Foden
/ J. Doku
58'
M. Kovacic
/ Savinho
58'
61'
C. Larin
/
R. Stewart
61'
S. Charles
/
C. Bragg
O. Marmoush
/ E. Haaland
71'
R. Ait-Nouri
/ N. O'Reilly
71'
77'
K. Matsuki
/
Welington
79'
ast. K. Matsuki ·
F. Azaz⚽
⚽J. Doku
· ast. T. Reijnders
83'
T. Reijnders
/ B. Silva
86'
⚽Nico
· ast. J. Doku
87'
89'
C. Archer
/
J. Bree
90'+3
T. Harwood-Bellis
Pre-match prediction
48.13%
Manchester ←
21.61%
X
30.27%
Southampton
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City)
48.13%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
—
—
1.64
—
—
Lineups
1
G
21
R. Aït-Nouri
71'
D
R. Aït-Nouri
71'
D
6
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
5
D
27
Matheus Nunes
D
Matheus Nunes
D
8
M. Kovačić
58'
M
M. Kovačić
58'
M
14
Nico González
1 ⚽
M
Nico González
1 ⚽
M
47
P. Foden
58'
M
P. Foden
58'
M
4
T. Reijnders
1 👟
85'
M
T. Reijnders
1 👟
85'
M
10
R. Cherki
M
R. Cherki
M
7
Omar Marmoush
71'
F
Omar Marmoush
71'
F
Bench
20
Bernardo Silva
9'
M
Bernardo Silva
9'
M
9
E. Haaland
23'
F
E. Haaland
23'
F
25
G. Donnarumma
G
G. Donnarumma
G
11
J. Doku
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
J. Doku
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
33
N. O'Reilly
23'
M
N. O'Reilly
23'
M
41
G
34
Welington
76'
D
Welington
76'
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
J. Bree
89'
D
J. Bree
89'
D
18
T. Fellows
89'
D
T. Fellows
89'
D
13
Léo Scienza
M
Léo Scienza
M
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
48
Cameron Bragg
61'
M
Cameron Bragg
61'
M
10
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
M
F. Azaz
1 ⚽
M
11
Ross Stewart
61'
F
Ross Stewart
61'
F
Bench
19
C. Archer
5'
F
C. Archer
5'
F
9
C. Larin
33'
F
C. Larin
33'
F
27
K. Matsuki
1 👟
18'
M
K. Matsuki
1 👟
18'
M
24
S. Charles
33'
M
S. Charles
33'
M
23
S. Edozie
5'
M
S. Edozie
5'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Doku
F · Manchester
10.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
Nico González
M · Manchester
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 82 pass
K. Matsuki
M · Southampton
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 2 pass
F. Azaz
M · Southampton
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
D · Manchester
7.50
· 75 pass
R. Aït-Nouri
D · Manchester
7.30
· 35 pass
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| R. Aït-Nouri | D | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| N. Aké | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 1 | — | — | |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Nico González | M | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 82 | 78% | — | — | — |
| P. Foden | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 68 | 65% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Doku | F | 36 | 10.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| Welington | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Bree | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 7 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Archer | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 18 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester City vs Southampton?
The final score was Manchester City 2–1 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Manchester City vs Southampton?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Manchester City win, 21% to a draw, and 30% to an Southampton win.