← Premier League
#3 · 65 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#8 · 51 pts
Casemiro (ast. H. Maguire) 11'
B. Sesko (ast. B. Fernandes) 43'
87' (ast. R. Nelson) M. Jensen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Brentford 24%). The final result was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
8
30
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Shaw
6'
Casemiro · ast. H. Maguire
11'
40'
S. van den Berg
B. Sesko · ast. B. Fernandes
43'
A. Diallo / N. Mazraoui
46'
71'
D. Ouattara
73'
R. Nelson / K. Schade
L. Shaw / L. Yoro
73'
B. Mbeumo / M. Mount
74'
76'
I. Thiago
87'
ast. R. Nelson · M. Jensen
B. Sesko / J. Zirkzee
88'
J. Zirkzee
90'+2
90'+6
N. Collins
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Manchester ←
26.31%
X
24.31%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 49.39% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.64
1.27
-0.37
Brentford
1.13
1.43
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 36 79
2 Manchester City Manchester City 36 77
3 Manchester United Manchester United 36 65
4 Liverpool Liverpool 36 59
5 Aston Villa Aston Villa 36 59
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 36 55
7 Brighton Brighton 36 53
8 Brentford Brentford 36 51
9 Chelsea Chelsea 36 49
10 Everton Everton 36 49
11 Fulham Fulham 36 48
12 Sunderland Sunderland 36 48
13 Newcastle Newcastle 36 46
14 Leeds Leeds 36 44
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 36 44
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 36 43
17 Tottenham Tottenham 36 38
18 West Ham West Ham 36 36
19 Burnley Burnley 36 21
20 Wolves Wolves 36 18
Lineups
31
G 7.50
23
L. Shaw 73' D 7.30
26
D 7.20
5
1 👟 D 8.20
2
D. Dalot D 6.90
37
K. Mainoo M 7.90
18 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ M 9.50
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 45' M 6.60
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.90
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 74' M 6.60
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30
Bench
11
J. Zirkzee 8' F 6.30
7
Mason Mount 16' M 6.70
3
N. Mazraoui 45' D 6.60
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1
C. Kelleher G 6.90
23
K. Lewis-Potter D 5.60
22
N. Collins D 6.30
4
S. van den Berg D 6.90
33
M. Kayode D 6.50
8
M. Jensen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18
Y. Yarmolyuk M 7.00
7
K. Schade 73' M 6.20
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard M 7.20
19
D. Ouattara M 6.20
9 Thiago Thiago F 5.90
Bench
2
A. Hickey D
20
K. Ajer D
Best on the pitch
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Manchester
9.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
D · Manchester
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 56 pass
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
7.90
1 👟
· 47 pass
M. Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 92 pass
G · Manchester
7.50
· 28 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 28 17%
L. Shaw D 73 7.30 2 26 22% 5 1
D 90 7.20 32 29% 1
D 90 8.20 1 2 37 33% 2
D. Dalot D 90 6.90 33 29% 3
K. Mainoo M 90 7.90 56 48% 4
Casemiro M 90 9.50 1 3 49 42% 11
A. Diallo M 45 6.60 3 14 11%
Bruno Fernandes M 90 7.90 1 47 40% 1
B. Mbeumo M 74 6.60 21 18% 1
B. Šeško F 88 7.30 1 1 21 11%
J. Zirkzee F 8 6.30 4 2% 1 1
Mason Mount M 16 6.70 8 8%
N. Mazraoui D 45 6.60 24 21% 1
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Kelleher G 90 6.90 22 18%
K. Lewis-Potter D 90 5.60 1 37 32%
N. Collins D 90 6.30 45 41% 1 1
S. van den Berg D 90 6.90 47 42% 1
M. Kayode D 90 6.50 1 41 36% 1
M. Jensen M 90 7.90 1 2 92 78%
Y. Yarmolyuk M 90 7.00 65 59% 3
K. Schade M 73 6.20 12 11%
M. Damsgaard M 90 7.20 2 77 68%
D. Ouattara M 90 6.20 2 27 16% 1 1
Thiago F 90 5.90 7 6% 1 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Brentford?
The final score was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Brentford?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Brentford win.