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#16 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#6 · 11 pts
Casemiro (ast. H. Maguire) 11'
B. Sesko (ast. B. Fernandes) 43'
87' (ast. R. Nelson) M. Jensen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Brentford 24%). The final result was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
8
30
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Shaw
6'
⚽Casemiro · ast. H. Maguire
11'
40'
S. van den Berg
⚽B. Sesko · ast. B. Fernandes
43'
↕ A. Diallo / N. Mazraoui
46'
71'
D. Ouattara
73'
R. Nelson / K. Schade ↕
↕ L. Shaw / L. Yoro
73'
↕ B. Mbeumo / M. Mount
74'
76'
I. Thiago
87'
ast. R. Nelson · M. Jensen⚽
↕ B. Sesko / J. Zirkzee
88'
J. Zirkzee
90'+2
90'+6
N. Collins
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Manchester ←
26.31%
X
24.31%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 49.39% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.64
1.27
-0.37
Brentford
1.13
1.43
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
31
G 7.50
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw 73' D 7.30
26
D 7.20
5
1 👟 D 8.20
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 6.90
37 K. Mainoo K. Mainoo M 7.90
18 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ M 9.50
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 45' M 6.60
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.90
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 74' M 6.60
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30
Bench
11 J. Zirkzee J. Zirkzee 8' F 6.30
7 M. Mount M. Mount 16' M 6.70
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui 45' D 6.60
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1 C. Kelleher C. Kelleher G 6.90
23 K. Lewis-Potter K. Lewis-Potter D 5.60
22 N. Collins N. Collins D 6.30
4 S. van den Berg S. van den Berg D 6.90
33 M. Kayode M. Kayode D 6.50
8 M. Jensen M. Jensen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18 Y. Yarmolyuk Y. Yarmolyuk M 7.00
7 K. Schade K. Schade 73' M 6.20
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard M 7.20
19 D. Ouattara D. Ouattara M 6.20
9 Thiago Thiago F 5.90
Bench
2 A. Hickey A. Hickey D
20 K. Ajer K. Ajer D
Best on the pitch
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Manchester
9.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
D · Manchester
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
K. Mainoo
K. Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 56 pass
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
7.90
1 👟
· 47 pass
M. Jensen
M. Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 92 pass
G · Manchester
7.50
· 28 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 28 17% — — —
L. Shaw D 73 7.30 — — 2 26 22% 5 1 —
D 90 7.20 — — — 32 29% 1 — —
D 90 8.20 — 1 2 37 33% 2 — —
Diogo Dalot D 90 6.90 — — — 33 29% 3 — —
K. Mainoo M 90 7.90 — — — 56 48% 4 — —
Casemiro M 90 9.50 1 — 3 49 42% 11 — —
A. Diallo M 45 6.60 — — 3 14 11% — — —
Bruno Fernandes M 90 7.90 — 1 — 47 40% 1 — —
B. Mbeumo M 74 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
B. Šeško F 88 7.30 1 — 1 21 11% — — —
J. Zirkzee F 8 6.30 — — — 4 2% 1 1 —
M. Mount M 16 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
N. Mazraoui D 45 6.60 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Kelleher G 90 6.90 — — — 22 18% — — —
K. Lewis-Potter D 90 5.60 — — 1 37 32% — — —
N. Collins D 90 6.30 — — — 45 41% 1 1 —
S. van den Berg D 90 6.90 — — — 47 42% — 1 —
M. Kayode D 90 6.50 — — 1 41 36% 1 — —
M. Jensen M 90 7.90 1 — 2 92 78% — — —
Y. Yarmolyuk M 90 7.00 — — — 65 59% 3 — —
K. Schade M 73 6.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
M. Damsgaard M 90 7.20 — — 2 77 68% — — —
D. Ouattara M 90 6.20 — — 2 27 16% 1 1 —
Thiago F 90 5.90 — — — 7 6% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Brentford?
The final score was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Brentford?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Brentford win.