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#16 · 0 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#4 · 0 pts
Casemiro (ast. H. Maguire) 11'
B. Sesko (ast. B. Fernandes) 43'
87' (ast. R. Nelson) M. Jensen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Brentford 24%). The final result was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
8
30
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Shaw
6'
Casemiro · ast. H. Maguire
11'
40'
S. van den Berg
B. Sesko · ast. B. Fernandes
43'
A. Diallo / N. Mazraoui
46'
71'
D. Ouattara
73'
R. Nelson / K. Schade
L. Shaw / L. Yoro
73'
B. Mbeumo / M. Mount
74'
76'
I. Thiago
87'
ast. R. Nelson · M. Jensen
B. Sesko / J. Zirkzee
88'
J. Zirkzee
90'+2
90'+6
N. Collins
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Manchester ←
26.31%
X
24.31%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 49.39% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Manchester
1.64
1.27
-0.37
Brentford
1.13
1.43
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0 0
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
4 Brentford Brentford 0 0
5 Brighton Brighton 0 0
6 Chelsea Chelsea 0 0
7 Coventry Coventry 0 0
8 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
9 Everton Everton 0 0
10 Fulham Fulham 0 0
11 Hull City Hull City 0 0
12 Ipswich Ipswich 0 0
13 Leeds Leeds 0 0
14 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
15 Manchester City Manchester City 0 0
16 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
17 Newcastle Newcastle 0 0
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0 0
19 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
20 Tottenham Tottenham 0 0
Lineups
31
G 7.50
23 L. Shaw L. Shaw 73' D 7.30
26
D 7.20
5
1 👟 D 8.20
2 Diogo Dalot Diogo Dalot D 6.90
37 Kobbie Mainoo Kobbie Mainoo M 7.90
18 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ M 9.50
16 A. Diallo A. Diallo 45' M 6.60
8 Bruno Fernandes Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.90
19 B. Mbeumo B. Mbeumo 74' M 6.60
30 B. Šeško B. Šeško 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30
Bench
11 Joshua Zirkzee Joshua Zirkzee 8' F 6.30
7 Mason Mount Mason Mount 16' M 6.70
3 Noussair Mazraoui Noussair Mazraoui 45' D 6.60
Brentford Brentford 4-2-3-1
1 Caoimhin Kelleher Caoimhin Kelleher G 6.90
23 Keane Lewis-Potter Keane Lewis-Potter D 5.60
22 Nathan Collins Nathan Collins D 6.30
4 Sepp van den Berg Sepp van den Berg D 6.90
33 Michael Kayode Michael Kayode D 6.50
8 Mathias Jensen Mathias Jensen 1 ⚽ M 7.90
18 Yehor Yarmoliuk Yehor Yarmoliuk M 7.00
7 K. Schade K. Schade 73' M 6.20
24 M. Damsgaard M. Damsgaard M 7.20
19 D. Ouattara D. Ouattara M 6.20
9 Igor Thiago Igor Thiago F 5.90
Bench
2 Aaron Hickey Aaron Hickey D
20 Kristoffer Ajer Kristoffer Ajer D
Best on the pitch
Casemiro
Casemiro
M · Manchester
9.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
D · Manchester
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
Kobbie Mainoo
Kobbie Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 56 pass
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
7.90
1 👟
· 47 pass
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 92 pass
G · Manchester
7.50
· 28 pass
Manchester United Manchester United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 28 17%
L. Shaw D 73 7.30 2 26 22% 5 1
D 90 7.20 32 29% 1
D 90 8.20 1 2 37 33% 2
Diogo Dalot D 90 6.90 33 29% 3
Kobbie Mainoo M 90 7.90 56 48% 4
Casemiro M 90 9.50 1 3 49 42% 11
A. Diallo M 45 6.60 3 14 11%
Bruno Fernandes M 90 7.90 1 47 40% 1
B. Mbeumo M 74 6.60 21 18% 1
B. Šeško F 88 7.30 1 1 21 11%
Joshua Zirkzee F 8 6.30 4 2% 1 1
Mason Mount M 16 6.70 8 8%
Noussair Mazraoui D 45 6.60 24 21% 1
Brentford Brentford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Caoimhin Kelleher G 90 6.90 22 18%
Keane Lewis-Potter D 90 5.60 1 37 32%
Nathan Collins D 90 6.30 45 41% 1 1
Sepp van den Berg D 90 6.90 47 42% 1
Michael Kayode D 90 6.50 1 41 36% 1
Mathias Jensen M 90 7.90 1 2 92 78%
Yehor Yarmoliuk M 90 7.00 65 59% 3
K. Schade M 73 6.20 12 11%
M. Damsgaard M 90 7.20 2 77 68%
D. Ouattara M 90 6.20 2 27 16% 1 1
Igor Thiago F 90 5.90 7 6% 1 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Brentford?
The final score was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Brentford?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Brentford win.