Casemiro
(ast. H. Maguire)
11'
B. Sesko
(ast. B. Fernandes)
43'
87'
(ast. R. Nelson)
M. Jensen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Brentford 24%). The final result was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.27
Actual xG
1.43
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
8
30
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Shaw
6'
⚽Casemiro
· ast. H. Maguire
11'
40'
S. van den Berg
⚽B. Sesko
· ast. B. Fernandes
43'
A. Diallo
/ N. Mazraoui
46'
71'
D. Ouattara
73'
R. Nelson
/
K. Schade
L. Shaw
/ L. Yoro
73'
B. Mbeumo
/ M. Mount
74'
76'
I. Thiago
87'
ast. R. Nelson ·
M. Jensen⚽
B. Sesko
/ J. Zirkzee
88'
J. Zirkzee
90'+2
90'+6
N. Collins
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Manchester ←
26.31%
X
24.31%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United)
49.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.27
-0.37
1.13
1.43
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
23
L. Shaw
73'
D
L. Shaw
73'
D
26
D
5
1 👟
D
2
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
37
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
18
Casemiro
1 ⚽
M
Casemiro
1 ⚽
M
16
A. Diallo
45'
M
A. Diallo
45'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
19
B. Mbeumo
74'
M
B. Mbeumo
74'
M
30
B. Šeško
1 ⚽
88'
F
B. Šeško
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
11
Joshua Zirkzee
8'
F
Joshua Zirkzee
8'
F
7
Mason Mount
16'
M
Mason Mount
16'
M
3
Noussair Mazraoui
45'
D
Noussair Mazraoui
45'
D
1
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
Caoimhin Kelleher
G
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
Keane Lewis-Potter
D
22
Nathan Collins
D
Nathan Collins
D
4
Sepp van den Berg
D
Sepp van den Berg
D
33
Michael Kayode
D
Michael Kayode
D
8
Mathias Jensen
1 ⚽
M
Mathias Jensen
1 ⚽
M
18
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M
Yehor Yarmoliuk
M
7
K. Schade
73'
M
K. Schade
73'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
M
M. Damsgaard
M
19
D. Ouattara
M
D. Ouattara
M
9
Igor Thiago
F
Igor Thiago
F
Bench
2
Aaron Hickey
D
Aaron Hickey
D
20
Kristoffer Ajer
D
Kristoffer Ajer
D
Best on the pitch
Casemiro
M · Manchester
9.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 49 pass
D · Manchester
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
Kobbie Mainoo
M · Manchester
7.90
· 56 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Manchester
7.90
1 👟
· 47 pass
Mathias Jensen
M · Brentford
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 92 pass
G · Manchester
7.50
· 28 pass
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| L. Shaw | D | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 5 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — | |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Casemiro | M | 90 | 9.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 49 | 42% | 11 | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Šeško | F | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zirkzee | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mason Mount | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Collins | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| Michael Kayode | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 92 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 68% | — | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Thiago | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Manchester United vs Brentford?
The final score was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Manchester United vs Brentford?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Manchester United win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Brentford win.