Premier League · Regular Season - 34 April 27, 2026 21:00 Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester United

#13 · 4 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Brentford

#5 · 6 pts

Casemiro (ast. H. Maguire) 11'

B. Sesko (ast. B. Fernandes) 43'

87' (ast. R. Nelson) M. Jensen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Brentford 24%). The final result was Manchester United 2–1 Brentford. In 1 previous meetings, Manchester United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

6

Shots on target

4

1.27

Actual xG

1.43

5

Saves

3

45%

Possession

55%

7

Corners

8

30

Tackles

7

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

L. Shaw

6'

⚽Casemiro · ast. H. Maguire

11'

40'

S. van den Berg

⚽B. Sesko · ast. B. Fernandes

43'

↕ A. Diallo / N. Mazraoui

46'

71'

D. Ouattara

73'

R. Nelson / K. Schade ↕

↕ L. Shaw / L. Yoro

73'

↕ B. Mbeumo / M. Mount

74'

76'

I. Thiago

87'

ast. R. Nelson · M. Jensen⚽

↕ B. Sesko / J. Zirkzee

88'

J. Zirkzee

90'+2

90'+6

N. Collins

Pre-match prediction

49.39%

Manchester ←

26.31%

X

24.31%

Brentford

we assigned to the actual result (Manchester United) 49.39% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Manchester

1.64

1.27

-0.37

Brentford

1.13

1.43

+0.3

xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	3	9
2	Arsenal	3	9
3	Hull City	4	8
4	Chelsea	4	7
5	Brentford	4	6
6	Liverpool	4	6
7	Ipswich	4	6
8	Newcastle	3	5
9	Everton	3	5
10	Leeds	3	5
11	Nottingham Forest	4	5
12	Brighton	3	4
13	Manchester United	3	4
14	Sunderland	3	4
15	Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace	4	3
17	Fulham	4	1
18	Tottenham	3	1
19	Aston Villa	4	1
20	Coventry	3	0

Lineups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

31

G 7.50

23 L. Shaw 73' D 7.30

26

D 7.20

5

1 👟 D 8.20

2 Diogo Dalot D 6.90

37 K. Mainoo M 7.90

18 Casemiro 1 ⚽ M 9.50

16 A. Diallo 45' M 6.60

8 Bruno Fernandes 1 👟 M 7.90

19 B. Mbeumo 74' M 6.60

30 B. Šeško 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30

Bench

11 J. Zirkzee 8' F 6.30

7 M. Mount 16' M 6.70

3 N. Mazraoui 45' D 6.60

Brentford 4-2-3-1

1 C. Kelleher G 6.90

23 K. Lewis-Potter D 5.60

22 N. Collins D 6.30

4 Sepp van den Berg D 6.90

33 M. Kayode D 6.50

8 Mathias Jensen 1 ⚽ M 7.90

18 Y. Yarmolyuk M 7.00

7 K. Schade 73' M 6.20

24 M. Damsgaard M 7.20

19 D. Ouattara M 6.20

9 Thiago F 5.90

Bench

2 A. Hickey D

20 K. Ajer D

Best on the pitch

Casemiro

M · Manchester

9.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 49 pass

D · Manchester

8.20

1 👟

2 shots · 37 pass

K. Mainoo

M · Manchester

7.90

· 56 pass

Bruno Fernandes

M · Manchester

7.90

1 👟

· 47 pass

Mathias Jensen

M · Brentford

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 92 pass

G · Manchester

7.50

· 28 pass

Manchester United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	28	17%	—	—	—
L. Shaw	D	73	7.30	—	—	2	26	22%	5	1	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	29%	1	—	—
	D	90	8.20	—	1	2	37	33%	2	—	—
Diogo Dalot	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	29%	3	—	—
K. Mainoo	M	90	7.90	—	—	—	56	48%	4	—	—
Casemiro	M	90	9.50	1	—	3	49	42%	11	—	—
A. Diallo	M	45	6.60	—	—	3	14	11%	—	—	—
Bruno Fernandes	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	47	40%	1	—	—
B. Mbeumo	M	74	6.60	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
B. Šeško	F	88	7.30	1	—	1	21	11%	—	—	—
J. Zirkzee	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	1	1	—
M. Mount	M	16	6.70	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—
N. Mazraoui	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	24	21%	1	—	—

Brentford — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Kelleher	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
K. Lewis-Potter	D	90	5.60	—	—	1	37	32%	—	—	—
N. Collins	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	45	41%	1	1	—
Sepp van den Berg	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	47	42%	—	1	—
M. Kayode	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	41	36%	1	—	—
Mathias Jensen	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	92	78%	—	—	—
Y. Yarmolyuk	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	65	59%	3	—	—
K. Schade	M	73	6.20	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
M. Damsgaard	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	77	68%	—	—	—
D. Ouattara	M	90	6.20	—	—	2	27	16%	1	1	—
Thiago	F	90	5.90	—	—	—	7	6%	1	1	—