Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff — pre-match prediction — League One — May 02, 2026

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League One · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 16:00

Mansfield Town

#10 · 65 pts

5 – 4

Final score

Cardiff

#2 · 91 pts

R. Sweeney (ast. N. Moriah-Welsh) 2'

L. Akins (ast. L. Reed) 23'

L. Akins (ast. W. Evans) 26'

R. Oates (ast. L. Reed) 63'

O. Irow (ast. L. Reed) 79'

61' (ast. O. Tanner) I. Davies

66' (ast. R. Colwill) O. Kellyman

86' R. Kpakio

90'+3 (ast. I. Davies) O. Kellyman

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Mansfield Town 31%). The final result was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff. In 1 previous meetings, Mansfield Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cardiff.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

31%

Possession

69%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽R. Sweeney · ast. N. Moriah-Welsh

⚽L. Akins · ast. L. Reed

23'

⚽L. Akins · ast. W. Evans

26'

57'

O. Kellyman / J. Colwill ↕

57'

A. Robertson / D. Turnbull ↕

57'

I. Davies / C. Willock ↕

61'

ast. O. Tanner · I. Davies⚽

⚽R. Oates · ast. L. Reed

63'

65'

O. Kellyman

66'

ast. R. Colwill · O. Kellyman⚽

70'

N. Williams / J. Bagan ↕

↕ J. Bowery / S. McLaughlin

72'

↕ R. Oates / J. Gardner

76'

↕ N. Moriah-Welsh / O. Irow

76'

⚽O. Irow · ast. L. Reed

79'

R. Hendry

82'

↕ L. Reed / O. Taylor

84'

↕ R. Hendry / E. Hartmann

84'

86'

R. Kpakio⚽

88'

P. Moreno / R. Colwill ↕

O. Irow

90'+2

90'+3

ast. I. Davies · O. Kellyman⚽

Pre-match prediction

31.37%

Mansfield ←

27.82%

40.81%

Cardiff

we assigned to the actual result (Mansfield Town) 31.37% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Mansfield

1.05

—

Cardiff

1.27

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lincoln	46	103
2	Cardiff	46	91
3	Stockport County	46	77
4	Bradford	46	77
5	Bolton	46	75
6	Stevenage	46	75
7	Luton	46	74
8	Plymouth	46	73
9	Huddersfield	46	67
10	Mansfield Town	46	65
11	Wycombe	46	63
12	Reading	46	63
13	Blackpool	46	60
14	Doncaster	46	60
15	Barnsley	46	59
16	Wigan	46	56
17	Burton Albion	46	54
18	Peterborough	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	52
21	Exeter City	46	49
22	Port Vale	46	42
23	Rotherham	46	41
24	Northampton	46	35

Lineups

Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2

G 5.20

R. Sweeney 1 ⚽ D 7.20

J. Bowery 72' D 6.20

K. Knoyle D 5.60

L. Reed 3 👟 84' M 8.30

W. Evans 1 👟 M 6.50

R. Hendry 84' M 6.70

J. Russell M 6.00

N. Moriah-Welsh 1 👟 76' M 8.30

R. Oates 1 ⚽ 76' F 8.20

L. Akins 2 ⚽ F 8.90

Bench

D. Dwyer F

J. Gardner 17' F 6.50

O. Irow 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.70

S. McLaughlin 21' D 6.20

T. Roberts F

Cardiff 4-2-3-1

G 6.30

J. Bagan 70' D 6.20

D. Lawlor D 6.30

W. Fish D 6.50

R. Kpakio 1 ⚽ D 5.90

D. Turnbull 57' M 6.30

J. Colwill 57' M 6.20

C. Willock 57' M 6.30

R. Colwill 1 👟 88' M 6.50

O. Tanner 1 👟 M 7.20

Y. Salech F 5.90

Bench

Alex Robertson 36' M 6.90

I. Davies 1 ⚽ 1 👟 36' F 7.90

O. Kellyman 2 ⚽ 36' M 8.50

Paulo Cardoso 5' M

Best on the pitch

L. Akins

F · Mansfield

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

O. Kellyman

M · Cardiff

8.50

2 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

L. Reed

M · Mansfield

8.30

3 👟

1 shots · 20 pass

N. Moriah-Welsh

M · Mansfield

8.30

1 👟

· 29 pass

R. Oates

F · Mansfield

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 18 pass

I. Davies

F · Cardiff

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 5 pass

Mansfield Town — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	5.20	—	—	—	30	13%	—	—	—
R. Sweeney	D	93	7.20	1	—	1	11	8%	3	—	—
J. Bowery	D	72	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—
K. Knoyle	D	93	5.60	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
L. Reed	M	84	8.30	—	3	1	20	17%	3	—	—
W. Evans	M	93	6.50	—	1	1	19	14%	4	—	—
R. Hendry	M	84	6.70	—	—	—	28	24%	3	1	—
J. Russell	M	93	6.00	—	—	3	23	22%	1	—	—
N. Moriah-Welsh	M	76	8.30	—	1	—	29	23%	2	—	—
R. Oates	F	76	8.20	1	—	1	18	10%	1	—	—
L. Akins	F	93	8.90	2	—	3	20	12%	—	—	—
J. Gardner	F	17	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	2	—	—
O. Irow	F	17	7.70	1	—	1	2	—	—	1	—
S. McLaughlin	D	21	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—

Cardiff — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	27	22%	—	—	—
J. Bagan	D	70	6.20	—	—	—	63	59%	2	—	—
D. Lawlor	D	93	6.30	—	—	1	85	82%	—	—	—
W. Fish	D	93	6.50	—	—	1	62	57%	1	—	—
R. Kpakio	D	93	5.90	1	—	2	50	47%	2	—	—
D. Turnbull	M	57	6.30	—	—	1	48	44%	1	—	—
J. Colwill	M	57	6.20	—	—	—	20	20%	—	—	—
C. Willock	M	57	6.30	—	—	1	23	21%	—	—	—
R. Colwill	M	88	6.50	—	1	2	45	42%	—	—	—
O. Tanner	M	93	7.20	—	1	3	19	16%	4	—	—
Y. Salech	F	93	5.90	—	—	—	12	6%	—	—	—
Alex Robertson	M	36	6.90	—	—	—	34	25%	—	—	—
I. Davies	F	36	7.90	1	1	1	5	5%	—	—	—
O. Kellyman	M	36	8.50	2	—	3	16	14%	1	1	—
Paulo Cardoso	M	5	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?

The final score was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff.

What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?

The model assigned 31% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Cardiff win.