League One
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 16:00
R. Sweeney
(ast. N. Moriah-Welsh)
2'
L. Akins
(ast. L. Reed)
23'
L. Akins
(ast. W. Evans)
26'
R. Oates
(ast. L. Reed)
63'
O. Irow
(ast. L. Reed)
79'
61'
(ast. O. Tanner)
I. Davies
66'
(ast. R. Colwill)
O. Kellyman
86'
R. Kpakio
90'+3
(ast. I. Davies)
O. Kellyman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Mansfield Town 31%). The final result was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff. In 1 previous meetings, Mansfield Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cardiff.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
15
10
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
4
31%
Possession
69%
6
Corners
8
22
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Sweeney
· ast. N. Moriah-Welsh
2'
⚽L. Akins
· ast. L. Reed
23'
⚽L. Akins
· ast. W. Evans
26'
57'
O. Kellyman
/
J. Colwill
57'
A. Robertson
/
D. Turnbull
57'
I. Davies
/
C. Willock
61'
ast. O. Tanner ·
I. Davies⚽
⚽R. Oates
· ast. L. Reed
63'
65'
O. Kellyman
66'
ast. R. Colwill ·
O. Kellyman⚽
70'
N. Williams
/
J. Bagan
J. Bowery
/ S. McLaughlin
72'
R. Oates
/ J. Gardner
76'
N. Moriah-Welsh
/ O. Irow
76'
⚽O. Irow
· ast. L. Reed
79'
R. Hendry
82'
L. Reed
/ O. Taylor
84'
R. Hendry
/ E. Hartmann
84'
86'
R. Kpakio⚽
88'
P. Moreno
/
R. Colwill
O. Irow
90'+2
90'+3
ast. I. Davies ·
O. Kellyman⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.37%
Mansfield ←
27.82%
X
40.81%
Cardiff
we assigned to the actual result (Mansfield Town)
31.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
—
—
1.27
—
—
Lineups
1
G
5
Ryan Sweeney
1 ⚽
D
Ryan Sweeney
1 ⚽
D
9
J. Bowery
72'
D
2
Kyle Knoyle
D
Kyle Knoyle
D
25
Louis Reed
3 👟
84'
M
Louis Reed
3 👟
84'
M
11
Will Evans
1 👟
M
Will Evans
1 👟
M
24
Regan Hendry
84'
M
Regan Hendry
84'
M
13
Jon Russell
M
Jon Russell
M
22
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
1 👟
76'
M
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
1 👟
76'
M
18
Rhys Oates
1 ⚽
76'
F
Rhys Oates
1 ⚽
76'
F
7
Lucas Akins
2 ⚽
F
Lucas Akins
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
D. Dwyer
F
28
Joe Gardner
17'
F
Joe Gardner
17'
F
44
O. Irow
1 ⚽
17'
F
3
Stephen McLaughlin
21'
D
Stephen McLaughlin
21'
D
29
Tyler Roberts
F
Tyler Roberts
F
30
G
3
Joel Bagan
70'
D
Joel Bagan
70'
D
48
Dylan Lawlor
D
Dylan Lawlor
D
2
W. Fish
D
44
Ronan Kpakio
1 ⚽
D
Ronan Kpakio
1 ⚽
D
14
David Turnbull
57'
M
David Turnbull
57'
M
27
J. Colwill
57'
M
J. Colwill
57'
M
16
Chris Willock
57'
M
Chris Willock
57'
M
10
R. Colwill
1 👟
88'
M
R. Colwill
1 👟
88'
M
11
Ollie Tanner
1 👟
M
Ollie Tanner
1 👟
M
22
Y. Salech
F
Y. Salech
F
Bench
18
Alex Robertson
36'
M
Alex Robertson
36'
M
39
Isaak Davies
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
Isaak Davies
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
8
O. Kellyman
2 ⚽
36'
M
71
Paulo Cardoso
5'
M
Paulo Cardoso
5'
M
Best on the pitch
Lucas Akins
F · Mansfield
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
O. Kellyman
M · Cardiff
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Louis Reed
M · Mansfield
8.30
3 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
M · Mansfield
8.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
Rhys Oates
F · Mansfield
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Isaak Davies
F · Cardiff
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
Mansfield Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Sweeney | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bowery | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Knoyle | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Reed | M | 84 | 8.30 | — | 3 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Will Evans | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Regan Hendry | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jon Russell | M | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Moriah-Welsh | M | 76 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Rhys Oates | F | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Akins | F | 93 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Joe Gardner | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Irow | F | 17 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stephen McLaughlin | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Joel Bagan | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 82% | — | — | — |
| W. Fish | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | D | 93 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| David Turnbull | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Chris Willock | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Ollie Tanner | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alex Robertson | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Isaak Davies | F | 36 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | M | 36 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Cardoso | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?
The final score was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff.
What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Cardiff win.