League One
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 16:00
R. Sweeney
(ast. N. Moriah-Welsh)
2'
L. Akins
(ast. L. Reed)
23'
L. Akins
(ast. W. Evans)
26'
R. Oates
(ast. L. Reed)
63'
O. Irow
(ast. L. Reed)
79'
61'
(ast. O. Tanner)
I. Davies
66'
(ast. R. Colwill)
O. Kellyman
86'
R. Kpakio
90'+3
(ast. I. Davies)
O. Kellyman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Mansfield Town 31%). The final result was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff. In 1 previous meetings, Mansfield Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cardiff.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
15
10
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
4
31%
Possession
69%
6
Corners
8
22
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Sweeney
· ast. N. Moriah-Welsh
2'
⚽L. Akins
· ast. L. Reed
23'
⚽L. Akins
· ast. W. Evans
26'
57'
O. Kellyman
/
J. Colwill
57'
A. Robertson
/
D. Turnbull
57'
I. Davies
/
C. Willock
61'
ast. O. Tanner ·
I. Davies⚽
⚽R. Oates
· ast. L. Reed
63'
65'
O. Kellyman
66'
ast. R. Colwill ·
O. Kellyman⚽
70'
N. Williams
/
J. Bagan
J. Bowery
/ S. McLaughlin
72'
R. Oates
/ J. Gardner
76'
N. Moriah-Welsh
/ O. Irow
76'
⚽O. Irow
· ast. L. Reed
79'
R. Hendry
82'
L. Reed
/ O. Taylor
84'
R. Hendry
/ E. Hartmann
84'
86'
R. Kpakio⚽
88'
P. Moreno
/
R. Colwill
O. Irow
90'+2
90'+3
ast. I. Davies ·
O. Kellyman⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.37%
Mansfield ←
27.82%
X
40.81%
Cardiff
we assigned to the actual result (Mansfield Town)
31.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
—
—
1.27
—
—
Lineups
1
G
5
R. Sweeney
1 ⚽
D
R. Sweeney
1 ⚽
D
9
J. Bowery
72'
D
J. Bowery
72'
D
2
K. Knoyle
D
K. Knoyle
D
25
L. Reed
3 👟
84'
M
L. Reed
3 👟
84'
M
11
W. Evans
1 👟
M
W. Evans
1 👟
M
24
R. Hendry
84'
M
R. Hendry
84'
M
13
J. Russell
M
J. Russell
M
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
1 👟
76'
M
N. Moriah-Welsh
1 👟
76'
M
18
R. Oates
1 ⚽
76'
F
R. Oates
1 ⚽
76'
F
7
L. Akins
2 ⚽
F
L. Akins
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
D. Dwyer
F
28
Joseph Charles Gardner
17'
F
Joseph Charles Gardner
17'
F
44
O. Irow
1 ⚽
17'
F
O. Irow
1 ⚽
17'
F
3
S. McLaughlin
21'
D
S. McLaughlin
21'
D
29
T. Roberts
F
T. Roberts
F
30
G
3
J. Bagan
70'
D
J. Bagan
70'
D
48
D. Lawlor
D
D. Lawlor
D
2
W. Fish
D
44
R. Kpakio
1 ⚽
D
R. Kpakio
1 ⚽
D
14
D. Turnbull
57'
M
D. Turnbull
57'
M
27
J. Colwill
57'
M
J. Colwill
57'
M
16
C. Willock
57'
M
C. Willock
57'
M
10
R. Colwill
1 👟
88'
M
R. Colwill
1 👟
88'
M
11
O. Tanner
1 👟
M
O. Tanner
1 👟
M
22
Y. Salech
F
Y. Salech
F
Bench
18
A. Robertson
36'
M
A. Robertson
36'
M
39
I. Davies
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
I. Davies
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
F
8
O. Kellyman
2 ⚽
36'
M
O. Kellyman
2 ⚽
36'
M
71
Paulo Cardoso
5'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Akins
F · Mansfield
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
O. Kellyman
M · Cardiff
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
L. Reed
M · Mansfield
8.30
3 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
N. Moriah-Welsh
M · Mansfield
8.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
R. Oates
F · Mansfield
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
I. Davies
F · Cardiff
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 5 pass
Mansfield Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| R. Sweeney | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bowery | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Knoyle | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Reed | M | 84 | 8.30 | — | 3 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Evans | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Hendry | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Russell | M | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Moriah-Welsh | M | 76 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Oates | F | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Akins | F | 93 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Charles Gardner | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Irow | F | 17 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. McLaughlin | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| J. Bagan | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lawlor | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 82% | — | — | — |
| W. Fish | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 93 | 5.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Turnbull | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| O. Tanner | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Robertson | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| I. Davies | F | 36 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | M | 36 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Cardoso | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?
The final score was Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff.
What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Cardiff?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Cardiff win.