← Serie B
#9 · 46 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#11 · 46 pts
Model correct — prediction Mantova

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Cesena 16%). The final result was Mantova 3–0 Cesena. In 1 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
0.77
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
56.86%
Mantova ←
26.16%
X
16.98%
Cesena
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 56.86% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mantova
1.72
1.68
-0.04
Cesena
0.70
0.77
+0.07
Mantova dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mantova vs Cesena?
The final score was Mantova 3–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Mantova vs Cesena?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Mantova win, 26% to a draw, and 16% to an Cesena win.