Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo

Mantova

#3 · 11 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Cesena

#10 · 7 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Mantova

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Cesena 16%). The final result was Mantova 3–0 Cesena. In 2 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.68

Actual xG

0.77

48%

Possession

52%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

56.86%

Mantova ←

26.16%

X

16.98%

Cesena

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 56.86% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mantova

1.72

1.68

-0.04

Cesena

0.70

0.77

+0.07

Mantova dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	11
3	Mantova	5	11
4	Modena	5	10
5	Ascoli	5	10
6	Padova	5	7
7	Benevento	5	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	7
9	Avellino	5	7
10	Cesena	5	7
11	Pisa	5	7
12	Arezzo	5	6
13	Empoli	5	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	5
15	Cremonese	5	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	5
17	Sampdoria	5	4
18	Juve Stabia	5	3
19	Catanzaro	5	3
20	Carrarese	5	1