Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova

Mantova

#4 · 19 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Cesena

#11 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Mantova

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Cesena 16%). The final result was Mantova 3–0 Cesena. In 2 previous meetings, Mantova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.68

Actual xG

0.77

48%

Possession

52%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

56.86%

Mantova ←

26.16%

X

16.98%

Cesena

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 56.86% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mantova

1.72

1.68

-0.04

Cesena

0.70

0.77

+0.07

Mantova dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	11	27
2	Modena	11	23
3	Ascoli	11	20
4	Mantova	11	19
5	Avellino	11	16
6	Benevento	11	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	16
8	Pisa	11	16
9	Cremonese	11	15
10	Padova	11	15
11	Cesena	11	15
12	Sudtirol	11	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	12
14	Arezzo	11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	10
17	Carrarese	11	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	9
19	Empoli	11	9
20	Catanzaro	11	6