Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana
1. SNL
May 09, 2026 20:15
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
16.5°C
💨 10 km/h
🌧️ 48%
· Maribor
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.2%
Win
Maribor
29.42%
Draw
36.38%
Win
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.03
1.17
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olimpija Ljubljana a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Maribor. Expected goals are 1.0 for Maribor and 1.2 for Olimpija Ljubljana (total 2.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Maribor have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Olimpija Ljubljana.
Score Matrix
↕ Maribor
Olimpija Ljubljana →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Maribor
Attack
25
Defence
66
Form
51
Olimpija Ljubljana
Attack
33
Defence
71
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celje
|
32 | 71 |
| 2 |
Koper
|
33 | 64 |
| 3 |
Bravo
|
33 | 59 |
| 4 |
Maribor
|
31 | 50 |
| 5 |
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
31 | 49 |
| 6 |
Radomlje
|
32 | 42 |
| 7 |
Aluminij
|
32 | 35 |
| 8 |
Mura
|
32 | 28 |
| 9 |
Primorje
|
32 | 21 |
| 10 |
NK Domzale
|
18 | 12 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model gives Maribor a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Olimpija Ljubljana win.
How many goals are expected in Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Expected goals: Maribor 1.0, Olimpija Ljubljana 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.