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Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana

1. SNL May 09, 2026 20:15 Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Maribor
#1 · 8 pts
vs
Olimpija Ljubljana
#8 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 16.5°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 48% · Maribor
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.2%
Win
Maribor
29.42%
Draw
36.38%
Win
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.03
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.4%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 29%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 38%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olimpija Ljubljana a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Maribor. Expected goals are 1.0 for Maribor and 1.2 for Olimpija Ljubljana (total 2.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Maribor have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Olimpija Ljubljana.

Season Stats

Maribor
6W 4D 5L
Olimpija Ljubljana
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.6
1.2
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
60%
47%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Maribor
6W 3D 1L · at home
Olimpija Ljubljana
3W 3D 4L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.0
0.9
Conceded
1.1
60%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Maribor Olimpija Ljubljana →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1% 13.0% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Maribor Maribor
W Koper 2–0
D Celje 1–1
W Brinje-Grosuplje 3–0
D Aluminij 0–0
W Aluminij 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana
L Celje 1–0
W Aluminij 1–0
L Mura 1–0
L Bravo 0–2
L Bravo 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Maribor Maribor
Attack
21
Defence
48
Form
38
Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana
Attack
21
Defence
47
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Maribor
2
Draw
1
Olimpija Ljubljana
8 Mar 2026 1. SNL 0–0
23 Nov 2025 1. SNL 1–1
31 Aug 2025 1. SNL 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maribor Maribor 4 8
2 Nafta Nafta 4 7
3 Bravo Bravo 4 7
4 Celje Celje 3 5
5 Koper Koper 4 5
6 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 4 5
7 Mura Mura 3 4
8 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4 3
9 Aluminij Aluminij 3 2
10 Radomlje Radomlje 3 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model gives Maribor a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Olimpija Ljubljana win.
How many goals are expected in Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Expected goals: Maribor 1.0, Olimpija Ljubljana 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.