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Mariehamn - KuPS

Veikkausliiga May 16, 2026 16:00
#12 · 3 pts
vs
#4 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.67%
Win
Mariehamn
36.96%
Draw
37.37%
Win
KuPS
0.31
Expected xG
0.64

The ForzaPitch prediction gives KuPS a 37% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 25% for Mariehamn. Expected goals are 0.3 for Mariehamn and 0.6 for KuPS (total 1.0), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 38.4% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Mariehamn KuPS →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 38.4% 24.7% 7.9% 1.7% 0.3%
1 12.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.1%
4
5
Recent form
D Lahti 1–1
L VPS 0–1
L Inter Turku 1–0
D Ilves 2–2
L SJK 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 18%
D SJK 0–0
L AC Oulu 2–0
D HJK Helsinki 1–1
W AC Oulu 3–2
D FF Jaro 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 16%
Playing profile
Mariehamn Mariehamn
Attack
16
Defence
59
Form
29
KuPS KuPS
Attack
31
Defence
75
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Inter Turku Inter Turku 7 14
2 AC Oulu AC Oulu 7 12
3 Turku PS Turku PS 6 12
4 KuPS KuPS 7 12
5 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 7 11
6 VPS VPS 6 9
7 Lahti Lahti 6 7
8 SJK SJK 6 6
9 Ilves Ilves 6 5
10 Gnistan Gnistan 6 5
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 6 4
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 6 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mariehamn vs KuPS?
The model gives Mariehamn a 25% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 37% for an KuPS win.
How many goals are expected in Mariehamn vs KuPS?
Expected goals: Mariehamn 0.3, KuPS 0.6 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Mariehamn vs KuPS?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 38.4%.