Veikkausliiga
· Regular Season - 7
May 16, 2026 16:00
A. Huttunen
(ast. Y. Amankwah)
42'
35'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave KuPS a 36% win probability (draw 37%, Mariehamn 25%). The final result was Mariehamn 1–1 KuPS. In 4 previous meetings, Mariehamn have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for KuPS.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
10
0.65
Actual xG
2.55
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
9
Match Events
S. Dahlstrom
19'
35'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
/
C. Kabuye
35'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba⚽
⚽A. Huttunen
· ast. Y. Amankwah
42'
54'
V. R. Gasc
N. Dosis
/ J. Heyden
64'
L. Andersson
/ L. Pearce
64'
69'
S. Savolainen
/
S. Heiskanen
78'
A. Puukko
/
T. Hamalainen
S. Dahlstrom
/ A. Larsson
82'
A. Huttunen
/ A. Soiniemi
89'
Pre-match prediction
25.56%
Mariehamn
37.47%
X ←
36.97%
KuPS
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
0.65
+0.35
0.61
2.55
+1.94
KuPS dominated by xG (2.55 vs 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
Matias Riikonen
G
31
Samson Ngulube
D
Samson Ngulube
D
5
T. Koivisto
D
T. Koivisto
D
4
P. Lindgren
D
P. Lindgren
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
N. Nurmi
D
38
Y. Amankwah
1 👟
D
Y. Amankwah
1 👟
D
10
S. Dahlström
M
S. Dahlström
M
20
E. Patut
M
E. Patut
M
6
N. Dosis
M
N. Dosis
M
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
16
A. Huttunen
1 ⚽
M
A. Huttunen
1 ⚽
M
Bench
7
A. Larsson
F
A. Larsson
F
21
Arvid Lundberg
F
3
A. Soiniemi
D
A. Soiniemi
D
8
J. van der Heyden
M
J. van der Heyden
M
1
K. Lund
G
K. Lund
G
11
Luke Pearce
F
Luke Pearce
F
1
J. Kreidl
G
J. Kreidl
G
25
C. Antwi
D
C. Antwi
D
4
K. Adams
D
K. Adams
D
28
Brahima Magassa
D
33
T. Hämäläinen
D
T. Hämäläinen
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
N. Kujasalo
M
10
V. Gasc
M
V. Gasc
M
24
B. Armah
D
B. Armah
D
34
O. Ruoppi
M
O. Ruoppi
M
3
Saku Heiskanen
M
9
G. Engvall
F
G. Engvall
F
Bench
23
A. Lötjönen
D
A. Lötjönen
D
29
A. Puukko
D
A. Puukko
D
18
Eemil Tanninen
M
Eemil Tanninen
M
12
H. Riihimäki
G
H. Riihimäki
G
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
1 ⚽
F
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
1 ⚽
F
11
J. Moreno
F
J. Moreno
F
20
Souleymane Soumahoro
M
6
S. Savolainen
D
S. Savolainen
D
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Riikonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Koivisto | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lindgren | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Amankwah | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahlström | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Dosis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Andersson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
KuPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kreidl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Antwi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Adams | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahima Magassa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hämäläinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Kujasalo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gasc | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Armah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ruoppi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saku Heiskanen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Engvall | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mariehamn vs KuPS?
The final score was Mariehamn 1–1 KuPS.
What did the model predict before Mariehamn vs KuPS?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Mariehamn win, 37% to a draw, and 36% to an KuPS win.