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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 20:45
Marseille
#6 · 56 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Nice
#16 · 31 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Marseille, result Pareggio
P. Hojbjerg (ast. T. Nnadi) 66'
(pen.) 88' E. Wahi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 72% win probability (draw 15%, Nice 12%). The final result was Marseille 1–1 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Marseille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.08
Actual xG
1.46
1
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Emerson
29'
Facundo Medina
44'
44'
Elye Wahi
46'
S. Diop / M. Sanson ↕
↕ Emerson / T. Mmadi
62'
↕ A. Vermeeren / M. Greenwood
63'
⚽P. Hojbjerg · ast. T. Nnadi
66'
67'
K. Boudache / M. Cho ↕
↕ T. Nnadi / N. Kamissoko
80'
↕ Q. Timber / H. Abdelli
81'
81'
A. Abdi / M. Bard ↕
81'
Kevin / S. Abdul Samed ↕
Timothy Weah
86'
Geronimo Rulli
87'
88'
(pen.) E. Wahi⚽
90'+1
C. Vanhoutte / E. Wahi ↕
Pre-match prediction
72.07%
Marseille
15.82%
X ←
12.1%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Marseille
2.64
2.08
-0.56
Nice
0.78
1.46
+0.68
Marseille dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Marseille Marseille 3-5-1-1
1 Gerónimo Rulli Gerónimo Rulli G 6.20
32 Facundo Medina Facundo Medina D 6.90
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi D 7.50
28 Benjamin Pavard Benjamin Pavard D 6.60
33 Emerson Emerson 62' M 6.60
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren 63' M 6.70
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 1 ⚽ M 8.30
6 Tochukwu Nnadi Tochukwu Nnadi 1 👟 80' M 7.20
22
Timothy Weah M 7.90
27 Quinten Timber Quinten Timber 81' F 6.90
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang F 6.60
Bench
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago F
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri M
8
H. Abdelli 9' M 6.50
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood 27' F 6.70
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G 6.50
26 Melvin Bard Melvin Bard 81' D 6.90
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.60
28 Abdulay Juma Bah Abdulay Juma Bah D 7.30
33 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D 6.20
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss D 6.90
8 Morgan Sanson Morgan Sanson 45' M 6.20
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 81' M 6.20
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui M 7.30
25 M. Cho M. Cho 67' M 6.50
11 Elye Wahi Elye Wahi 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90
Bench
2 Ali Abdi Ali Abdi 9' D 6.90
24 Charles Vanhoutte Charles Vanhoutte 8' M 6.70
4 Dante Dante D
39
D. Coulibaly M
32 Kaïl Boudache Kaïl Boudache 23' F 6.70
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 9' F 6.30
31 Maxime Dupé Maxime Dupé G
10 S. Diop S. Diop 45' M 6.60
20 Tom Louchet Tom Louchet M
Best on the pitch
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M · Marseille
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 97 pass
Timothy Weah
M · Marseille
7.90
1 shots · 52 pass
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.50
6 shots · 82 pass
H. Boudaoui
H. Boudaoui
M · Nice
7.30
· 30 pass
Abdulay Juma Bah
Abdulay Juma Bah
D · Nice
7.30
· 25 pass
Tochukwu Nnadi
Tochukwu Nnadi
M · Marseille
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 54 pass
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gerónimo Rulli G 90 6.20 — — 1 20 15% — 1 —
Facundo Medina D 90 6.90 — — — 86 78% — 1 —
Leonardo Balerdi D 90 7.50 — — 6 82 79% 4 — —
Benjamin Pavard D 90 6.60 — — — 81 75% 1 — —
Emerson M 62 6.60 — — — 39 34% — 1 —
Arthur Vermeeren M 63 6.70 — — 1 34 29% 2 — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 90 8.30 1 — 2 97 80% 2 — —
Tochukwu Nnadi M 80 7.20 — 1 1 54 47% 1 — —
Timothy Weah M 90 7.90 — — 1 52 44% 2 1 —
Quinten Timber F 81 6.90 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 90 6.60 — — 2 27 19% 1 — —
H. Abdelli M 9 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Greenwood F 27 6.70 — — 2 13 13% — — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yehvann Diouf G 90 6.50 — — — 33 12% — — —
Melvin Bard D 81 6.90 — — — 26 19% — — —
Kojo Peprah Oppong D 90 6.60 — — — 36 34% 1 — —
Abdulay Juma Bah D 90 7.30 — — — 25 24% 3 — —
Antoine Mendy D 90 6.20 — — — 36 25% 1 — —
J. Clauss D 90 6.90 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Morgan Sanson M 45 6.20 — — 1 9 6% — — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 81 6.20 — — — 20 15% — — —
H. Boudaoui M 90 7.30 — — — 30 23% 2 — —
M. Cho M 67 6.50 — — — 12 8% — — —
Elye Wahi F 89 6.90 1 — 2 13 11% — 1 —
Ali Abdi D 9 6.90 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Charles Vanhoutte M 8 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Kaïl Boudache F 23 6.70 — — 1 8 6% 2 — —
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 9 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
S. Diop M 45 6.60 — — — 18 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Nice?
The final score was Marseille 1–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Nice?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Marseille win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Nice win.