✗Model wrong — prediction Marseille, result Draw
P. Hojbjerg
(ast. T. Nnadi)
66'
(pen.)
88'
E. Wahi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 72% win probability (draw 15%, Nice 12%). The final result was Marseille 1–1 Nice. In 1 previous meetings, Marseille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nice.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.08
Actual xG
1.46
1
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Emerson
29'
Facundo Medina
44'
44'
Elye Wahi
46'
S. Diop
/
M. Sanson
Emerson
/ T. Mmadi
62'
A. Vermeeren
/ M. Greenwood
63'
⚽P. Hojbjerg
· ast. T. Nnadi
66'
67'
K. Boudache
/
M. Cho
T. Nnadi
/ N. Kamissoko
80'
Q. Timber
/ H. Abdelli
81'
81'
A. Abdi
/
M. Bard
81'
Kevin
/
S. Abdul Samed
Timothy Weah
86'
Geronimo Rulli
87'
88'
(pen.)
E. Wahi⚽
90'+1
C. Vanhoutte
/
E. Wahi
Pre-match prediction
72.07%
Marseille
15.82%
X ←
12.1%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.64
2.08
-0.56
0.78
1.46
+0.68
Marseille dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
32
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
5
Leonardo Balerdi
D
Leonardo Balerdi
D
28
Benjamin Pavard
D
Benjamin Pavard
D
33
Emerson
62'
M
Emerson
62'
M
18
Arthur Vermeeren
63'
M
Arthur Vermeeren
63'
M
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
6
T. Nnadi
1 👟
80'
M
T. Nnadi
1 👟
80'
M
22
T. Weah
M
T. Weah
M
27
Quinten Timber
81'
F
Quinten Timber
81'
F
17
P. Aubameyang
F
P. Aubameyang
F
Bench
78
Ange Lago
F
Ange Lago
F
11
Ethan Nwaneri
M
Ethan Nwaneri
M
8
H. Abdelli
9'
M
10
M. Greenwood
27'
F
M. Greenwood
27'
F
80
Yehvann Diouf
G
Yehvann Diouf
G
26
Melvin Bard
81'
D
Melvin Bard
81'
D
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
28
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
33
Antoine Mendy
D
Antoine Mendy
D
92
J. Clauss
D
J. Clauss
D
8
M. Sanson
45'
M
M. Sanson
45'
M
99
Salis Abdul Samed
81'
M
Salis Abdul Samed
81'
M
6
Hicham Boudaoui
M
Hicham Boudaoui
M
25
M. Cho
67'
M
M. Cho
67'
M
11
Elye Wahi
1 ⚽
89'
F
Elye Wahi
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
2
A. Abdi
9'
D
A. Abdi
9'
D
24
Charles Vanhoutte
8'
M
Charles Vanhoutte
8'
M
4
Dante
D
Dante
D
39
Djibril Coulibaly
M
Djibril Coulibaly
M
32
Kaïl Boudache
23'
F
Kaïl Boudache
23'
F
90
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
9'
F
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
9'
F
31
Maxime Dupé
G
Maxime Dupé
G
10
S. Diop
45'
M
S. Diop
45'
M
20
Tom Louchet
M
Tom Louchet
M
Best on the pitch
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M · Marseille
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 97 pass
T. Weah
M · Marseille
7.90
1 shots
· 52 pass
Leonardo Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.50
6 shots
· 82 pass
Hicham Boudaoui
M · Nice
7.30
· 30 pass
Abdulay Juma Bah
D · Nice
7.30
· 25 pass
T. Nnadi
M · Marseille
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Medina | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 6 | 82 | 79% | 4 | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Vermeeren | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 97 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Nnadi | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Weah | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Quinten Timber | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Aubameyang | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann Diouf | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Melvin Bard | D | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulay Juma Bah | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Antoine Mendy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clauss | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Cho | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Elye Wahi | F | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Abdi | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles Vanhoutte | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kaïl Boudache | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Nice?
The final score was Marseille 1–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Nice?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Marseille win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Nice win.