✗Model wrong — prediction Marseille, result Draw
P. Hojbjerg
(ast. T. Nnadi)
66'
(pen.)
88'
E. Wahi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 72% win probability (draw 15%, Nice 12%). The final result was Marseille 1–1 Nice. In 2 previous meetings, Marseille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nice.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.08
Actual xG
1.46
1
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Emerson
29'
Facundo Medina
44'
44'
Elye Wahi
46'
S. Diop
/
M. Sanson
Emerson
/ T. Mmadi
62'
A. Vermeeren
/ M. Greenwood
63'
⚽P. Hojbjerg
· ast. T. Nnadi
66'
67'
K. Boudache
/
M. Cho
T. Nnadi
/ N. Kamissoko
80'
Q. Timber
/ H. Abdelli
81'
81'
A. Abdi
/
M. Bard
81'
Kevin
/
S. Abdul Samed
Timothy Weah
86'
Geronimo Rulli
87'
88'
(pen.)
E. Wahi⚽
90'+1
C. Vanhoutte
/
E. Wahi
Pre-match prediction
72.07%
Marseille
15.82%
X ←
12.1%
Nice
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.64
2.08
-0.56
0.78
1.46
+0.68
Marseille dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
32
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
5
L. Balerdi
D
L. Balerdi
D
28
B. Pavard
D
B. Pavard
D
33
Emerson
62'
M
Emerson
62'
M
18
A. Vermeeren
63'
M
A. Vermeeren
63'
M
23
P. Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
P. Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
6
Tochukwu Nnadi
1 👟
80'
M
Tochukwu Nnadi
1 👟
80'
M
22
T. Weah
M
T. Weah
M
27
Q. Timber
81'
F
Q. Timber
81'
F
17
P. Aubameyang
F
P. Aubameyang
F
Bench
78
Ange Lago
F
Ange Lago
F
11
E. Nwaneri
M
E. Nwaneri
M
8
H. Abdelli
9'
M
H. Abdelli
9'
M
10
M. Greenwood
27'
F
M. Greenwood
27'
F
80
Y. Diouf
G
Y. Diouf
G
26
M. Bard
81'
D
M. Bard
81'
D
37
K. Peprah Oppong
D
K. Peprah Oppong
D
28
Abdulay Bah
D
Abdulay Bah
D
33
A. Mendy
D
A. Mendy
D
92
J. Clauss
D
J. Clauss
D
8
M. Sanson
45'
M
M. Sanson
45'
M
99
Salis Abdul Samed
81'
M
Salis Abdul Samed
81'
M
6
Hicham Boudaoui
M
Hicham Boudaoui
M
25
M. Cho
67'
M
M. Cho
67'
M
11
E. Wahi
1 ⚽
89'
F
E. Wahi
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
2
A. Abdi
9'
D
A. Abdi
9'
D
24
C. Vanhoutte
8'
M
C. Vanhoutte
8'
M
4
Dante
D
Dante
D
39
D. Coulibaly
M
D. Coulibaly
M
32
K. Boudache
23'
F
K. Boudache
23'
F
90
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
9'
F
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
9'
F
31
M. Dupé
G
M. Dupé
G
10
S. Diop
45'
M
S. Diop
45'
M
20
Tom Louchet
M
Best on the pitch
P. Højbjerg
M · Marseille
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 97 pass
T. Weah
M · Marseille
7.90
1 shots
· 52 pass
L. Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.50
6 shots
· 82 pass
Hicham Boudaoui
M · Nice
7.30
· 30 pass
Abdulay Bah
D · Nice
7.30
· 25 pass
Tochukwu Nnadi
M · Marseille
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Medina | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 78% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Balerdi | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 6 | 82 | 79% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Pavard | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Vermeeren | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 97 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Tochukwu Nnadi | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Weah | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Q. Timber | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Aubameyang | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Bard | D | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| K. Peprah Oppong | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mendy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clauss | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Cho | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Abdi | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. Boudache | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Nice?
The final score was Marseille 1–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Nice?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Marseille win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Nice win.