← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 19:00
Metz
#18 · 16 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Monaco
J. Deminguet (ast. G. Hein) 49'
61' (ast. M. Akliouche) F. Balogun
90'+1 (ast. Caio Henrique) A. Fati

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Metz 20%). The final result was Metz 1–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
1.05
1
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
9
10
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Deminguet · ast. G. Hein
49'
58'
A. Bamba / P. Pogba ↕
58'
A. Fati / S. Adingra ↕
58'
M. Coulibaly / L. Camara ↕
61'
ast. M. Akliouche · F. Balogun⚽
62'
M. Coulibaly
↕ B. Stambouli / B. Munongo
73'
↕ N. Mbala / G. Abuashvili
74'
74'
M. Biereth / A. Golovin ↕
81'
C. Mawissa
↕ J. Deminguet / J. Pandore
81'
↕ G. Kvilitaia / H. Diallo
81'
84'
Caio Henrique / C. Mawissa ↕
90'+1
ast. Caio Henrique · A. Fati⚽
Pre-match prediction
20.19%
Metz
20.48%
X
59.33%
Monaco ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monaco) 59.33% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.58
1.03
-0.55
Monaco
2.64
1.05
-1.59
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61
G 6.20
7 Giorgi Tsitaishvili Giorgi Tsitaishvili D 7.20
15 Terry Yegbe Terry Yegbe D 6.00
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 7.30
70 Bouna Sarr Bouna Sarr D 7.00
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 6.60
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 73' M 6.20
34 Nathan Mbala Nathan Mbala 74' M 6.50
20 Jessy Deminguet Jessy Deminguet 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.30
10 G. Hein G. Hein 1 👟 M 7.30
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia Giorgi Kvilitaia 81' F 6.90
Bench
33 Believe Munongo Believe Munongo 26' M 6.50
9 Giorgi Abuashvili Giorgi Abuashvili 25' F 6.60
30 Habibou Diallo Habibou Diallo 18' F 6.70
35
J. Pandore 18' F 6.70
2 Maxime Colin Maxime Colin D
4 Urie-Michel Mboula Urie-Michel Mboula D
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.70
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa 84' D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 7.30
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 7.00
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 58' M 6.20
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 58' M 6.30
15 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara 58' M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze M 6.30
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 74' F 6.50
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 F 7.50
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba 41' M 6.60
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 1 ⚽ 41' F 7.60
12
Caio Henrique 1 👟 15' D 7.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 41' M 6.50
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D
Best on the pitch
Jessy Deminguet
Jessy Deminguet
M · Metz
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Ansu Fati
Ansu Fati
F · Monaco
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
M. Akliouche
M. Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Sadibou Sané
Sadibou Sané
D · Metz
7.30
· 36 pass
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.30
1 shots · 75 pass
G. Hein
G. Hein
M · Metz
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.20 — — — 24 17% — — —
Giorgi Tsitaishvili D 99 7.20 — — 1 20 15% — — —
Terry Yegbe D 99 6.00 — — 1 28 19% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 99 7.30 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
Bouna Sarr D 99 7.00 — — 2 26 21% 1 — —
Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 99 6.60 — — — 28 22% — — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 73 6.20 — — 1 20 15% 1 — —
Nathan Mbala M 74 6.50 — — 2 6 4% 1 — —
Jessy Deminguet M 81 8.30 1 — 2 16 15% 1 — —
G. Hein M 99 7.30 — 1 2 46 41% 2 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 81 6.90 — — — 15 8% 2 — —
Believe Munongo M 26 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
Giorgi Abuashvili F 25 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
Habibou Diallo F 18 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
J. Pandore F 18 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 99 6.70 — — — 21 18% — — —
Christian Mawissa D 84 6.20 — — — 61 55% 1 1 —
T. Kehrer D 99 7.30 — — 1 75 70% 2 — —
D. Zakaria D 99 7.00 — — 1 75 67% 4 — —
Simon Adingra M 58 6.20 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
Paul Pogba M 58 6.30 — — 1 46 36% 1 — —
Lamine Camara M 58 6.90 — — — 50 45% 1 — —
J. Teze M 99 6.30 — — — 42 37% — — —
A. Golovin F 74 6.50 — — 1 45 38% — — —
M. Akliouche F 99 7.50 — 1 2 46 40% — — —
F. Balogun F 99 6.90 1 — 2 25 17% — — —
Aladji Bamba M 41 6.60 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Ansu Fati F 41 7.60 1 — 1 16 13% — — —
Caio Henrique D 15 7.20 — 1 — 10 8% 1 — —
M. Coulibaly M 41 6.50 — — 1 13 9% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Monaco?
The final score was Metz 1–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Monaco?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Metz win, 20% to a draw, and 59% to an Monaco win.