Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 32
May 02, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Monaco
J. Deminguet
(ast. G. Hein)
49'
61'
(ast. M. Akliouche)
F. Balogun
90'+1
(ast. Caio Henrique)
A. Fati
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Metz 20%). The final result was Metz 1–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monaco.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
1.05
1
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
9
10
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Deminguet
· ast. G. Hein
49'
58'
A. Bamba
/
P. Pogba
58'
A. Fati
/
S. Adingra
58'
M. Coulibaly
/
L. Camara
61'
ast. M. Akliouche ·
F. Balogun⚽
62'
M. Coulibaly
B. Stambouli
/ B. Munongo
73'
N. Mbala
/ G. Abuashvili
74'
74'
M. Biereth
/
A. Golovin
81'
C. Mawissa
J. Deminguet
/ J. Pandore
81'
G. Kvilitaia
/ H. Diallo
81'
84'
Caio Henrique
/
C. Mawissa
90'+1
ast. Caio Henrique ·
A. Fati⚽
Pre-match prediction
20.19%
Metz
20.48%
X
59.33%
Monaco ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco)
59.33%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.03
-0.55
2.64
1.05
-1.59
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 1.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
61
G
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
D
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
D
15
Terry Yegbe
D
Terry Yegbe
D
38
Sadibou Sané
D
Sadibou Sané
D
70
Bouna Sarr
D
Bouna Sarr
D
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
M
21
Benjamin Stambouli
73'
M
Benjamin Stambouli
73'
M
34
Nathan Mbala
74'
M
Nathan Mbala
74'
M
20
Jessy Deminguet
1 ⚽
81'
M
Jessy Deminguet
1 ⚽
81'
M
10
G. Hein
1 👟
M
G. Hein
1 👟
M
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
81'
F
Bench
33
Believe Munongo
26'
M
Believe Munongo
26'
M
9
Giorgi Abuashvili
25'
F
Giorgi Abuashvili
25'
F
30
Habibou Diallo
18'
F
Habibou Diallo
18'
F
35
Jahyann Pandore
18'
F
Jahyann Pandore
18'
F
2
Maxime Colin
D
Maxime Colin
D
4
Urie-Michel Mboula
D
Urie-Michel Mboula
D
1
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
13
Christian Mawissa
84'
D
Christian Mawissa
84'
D
5
T. Kehrer
D
T. Kehrer
D
6
D. Zakaria
D
D. Zakaria
D
24
Simon Adingra
58'
M
Simon Adingra
58'
M
8
Paul Pogba
58'
M
Paul Pogba
58'
M
15
L. Camara
58'
M
L. Camara
58'
M
4
J. Teze
M
J. Teze
M
10
A. Golovin
74'
F
A. Golovin
74'
F
11
Maghnes Akliouche
1 👟
F
Maghnes Akliouche
1 👟
F
9
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
F
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Aladji Bamba
41'
M
Aladji Bamba
41'
M
31
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
41'
F
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
41'
F
12
Caio Henrique
1 👟
15'
D
Caio Henrique
1 👟
15'
D
28
M. Coulibaly
41'
M
M. Coulibaly
41'
M
25
Wout Faes
D
Wout Faes
D
Best on the pitch
Jessy Deminguet
M · Metz
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Ansu Fati
F · Monaco
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Maghnes Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Sadibou Sané
D · Metz
7.30
· 36 pass
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.30
1 shots
· 75 pass
G. Hein
M · Metz
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
Metz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Bouna Sarr | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Stambouli | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Mbala | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jessy Deminguet | M | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Hein | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Believe Munongo | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Habibou Diallo | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jahyann Pandore | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Hrádecký | G | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mawissa | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Kehrer | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 67% | 4 | — | — |
| Simon Adingra | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Pogba | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Teze | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| A. Golovin | F | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Maghnes Akliouche | F | 99 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 99 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Aladji Bamba | M | 41 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 41 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Caio Henrique | D | 15 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Monaco?
The final score was Metz 1–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Monaco?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Metz win, 20% to a draw, and 59% to an Monaco win.