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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 19:00
Metz
1 – 2
Final score
Monaco
#1 · 10 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Monaco
J. Deminguet (ast. G. Hein) 49'
61' (ast. M. Akliouche) F. Balogun
90'+1 (ast. Caio Henrique) A. Fati
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Metz 20%). The final result was Metz 1–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
1.05
1
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
9
10
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Deminguet · ast. G. Hein
49'
58'
A. Bamba / P. Pogba ↕
58'
A. Fati / S. Adingra ↕
58'
M. Coulibaly / L. Camara ↕
61'
ast. M. Akliouche · F. Balogun⚽
62'
M. Coulibaly
↕ B. Stambouli / B. Munongo
73'
↕ N. Mbala / G. Abuashvili
74'
74'
M. Biereth / A. Golovin ↕
81'
C. Mawissa
↕ J. Deminguet / J. Pandore
81'
↕ G. Kvilitaia / H. Diallo
81'
84'
Caio Henrique / C. Mawissa ↕
90'+1
ast. Caio Henrique · A. Fati⚽
Pre-match prediction
20.19%
Metz
20.48%
X
59.33%
Monaco ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monaco) 59.33% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.58
1.03
-0.55
Monaco
2.64
1.05
-1.59
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61
G 6.20
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili D 7.20
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe D 6.00
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 7.30
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr D 7.00
5
J. Gbamin M 6.60
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 73' M 6.20
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 74' M 6.50
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.30
10 G. Hein G. Hein 1 👟 M 7.30
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia 81' F 6.90
Bench
33 B. Munongo B. Munongo 26' M 6.50
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 25' F 6.60
30 H. Diallo H. Diallo 18' F 6.70
35 J. Pandore J. Pandore 18' F 6.70
2 M. Colin M. Colin D
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula D
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.70
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi 84' D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 7.30
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 7.00
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 58' M 6.20
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 58' M 6.30
15 L. Camara L. Camara 58' M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze M 6.30
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 74' F 6.50
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 F 7.50
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba 41' M 6.60
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 1 ⚽ 41' F 7.60
12 Caio Henrique Caio Henrique 1 👟 15' D 7.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 41' M 6.50
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D
Best on the pitch
J. Deminguet
J. Deminguet
M · Metz
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Ansu Fati
Ansu Fati
F · Monaco
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
M. Akliouche
M. Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Sadibou Sané
Sadibou Sané
D · Metz
7.30
· 36 pass
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.30
1 shots · 75 pass
G. Hein
G. Hein
M · Metz
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.20 — — — 24 17% — — —
G. Tsitaishvili D 99 7.20 — — 1 20 15% — — —
T. Yegbe D 99 6.00 — — 1 28 19% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 99 7.30 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
B. Sarr D 99 7.00 — — 2 26 21% 1 — —
J. Gbamin M 99 6.60 — — — 28 22% — — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 73 6.20 — — 1 20 15% 1 — —
N. Mbala M 74 6.50 — — 2 6 4% 1 — —
J. Deminguet M 81 8.30 1 — 2 16 15% 1 — —
G. Hein M 99 7.30 — 1 2 46 41% 2 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 81 6.90 — — — 15 8% 2 — —
B. Munongo M 26 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
G. Abuashvili F 25 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
H. Diallo F 18 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
J. Pandore F 18 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 99 6.70 — — — 21 18% — — —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 84 6.20 — — — 61 55% 1 1 —
T. Kehrer D 99 7.30 — — 1 75 70% 2 — —
D. Zakaria D 99 7.00 — — 1 75 67% 4 — —
Simon Adingra M 58 6.20 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
Paul Pogba M 58 6.30 — — 1 46 36% 1 — —
L. Camara M 58 6.90 — — — 50 45% 1 — —
J. Teze M 99 6.30 — — — 42 37% — — —
A. Golovin F 74 6.50 — — 1 45 38% — — —
M. Akliouche F 99 7.50 — 1 2 46 40% — — —
F. Balogun F 99 6.90 1 — 2 25 17% — — —
A. Bamba M 41 6.60 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Ansu Fati F 41 7.60 1 — 1 16 13% — — —
Caio Henrique D 15 7.20 — 1 — 10 8% 1 — —
M. Coulibaly M 41 6.50 — — 1 13 9% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Monaco?
The final score was Metz 1–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Monaco?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Metz win, 20% to a draw, and 59% to an Monaco win.