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Championship · Regular Season - 41 April 06, 2026 14:00
Millwall
#3 · 83 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Norwich
#9 · 65 pts
M. Ivanovic (ast. C. De Norre) 56'
62' (ast. M. Toure) P. Mattsson
76' (ast. M. Toure) O. Schwartau

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Norwich 32%). The final result was Millwall 1–2 Norwich. In 1 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.92
Actual xG
2.19
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
4
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
J. Cordoba
46'
M. Toure / M. Kvistgaarden ↕
↕ L. Cundle / M. Ivanovic
46'
⚽M. Ivanovic · ast. C. De Norre
56'
62'
ast. M. Toure · P. Mattsson⚽
67'
B. Chrisene / K. Fisher ↕
68'
O. Schwartau / A. Slimane ↕
76'
ast. M. Toure · O. Schwartau⚽
↕ C. De Norre / T. Watson
80'
↕ B. Bannan / D. Mazou-Sacko
86'
↕ Z. Sturge / J. Bryan
87'
J. Bryan
88'
88'
O. Schwartau
Pre-match prediction
41.07%
Millwall
26.49%
X
32.44%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich) 32.44% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.31
0.92
-0.39
Norwich
1.47
2.19
+0.72
Norwich dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.92). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-4-2
13
G 7.70
3 Zak Sturge Zak Sturge 87' D 6.50
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.30
6
C. Taylor D 7.70
4
D 6.20
24 Casper De Norre Casper De Norre 1 👟 80' M 7.90
10 Camiel Neghli Camiel Neghli M 6.70
67 Barry Bannan Barry Bannan 86' M 6.90
11 O. Azeez O. Azeez M 6.90
19 Josh Coburn Josh Coburn F 6.70
25 Luke Cundle Luke Cundle 45' F 6.70
Bench
2 Danny McNamara Danny McNamara D
49 Derek Mazou-Sacko Derek Mazou-Sacko 11' M 6.30
23
J. Bryan 10' D 6.60
17 Macaulay Langstaff Macaulay Langstaff F
9 Mihailo Ivanović Mihailo Ivanović 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
7 Thierno Ballo Thierno Ballo F
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1
V. Kovacevic G 6.20
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher 67' D 6.50
33
J. Cordoba D 6.20
6
H. Darling D 7.50
3
J. Stacey D 6.30
7
Pelle Mattsson 1 ⚽ M 7.90
26
S. Field M 6.90
21
A. Ahmed M 7.00
20
A. Slimane 68' M 6.50
23
K. McLean M 7.20
30
M. Kvistgaarden 45' F 6.30
Bench
18
A. Forson M
16
Jacob Wright M
5
J. Medic D
8
L. Gibbs M
37
M. Toure 2 👟 45' F 7.20
29
O. Schwartau 1 ⚽ 22' F 8.00
25
P. Maghoma M
Best on the pitch
O. Schwartau
F · Norwich
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Pelle Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Casper De Norre
Casper De Norre
M · Millwall
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
G · Millwall
7.70
· 40 pass
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.70
1 shots · 35 pass
H. Darling
D · Norwich
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 40 21% — — —
Zak Sturge D 87 6.50 — — — 25 18% — — —
J. Cooper D 90 6.30 — — — 51 33% — — —
C. Taylor D 90 7.70 — — 1 35 32% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
Casper De Norre M 80 7.90 — 1 — 29 22% 3 — —
Camiel Neghli M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 16% 1 — —
Barry Bannan M 86 6.90 — — — 29 19% 3 — —
O. Azeez M 90 6.90 — — 2 20 9% 1 — —
Josh Coburn F 90 6.70 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
Luke Cundle F 45 6.70 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Derek Mazou-Sacko M 11 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
J. Bryan D 10 6.60 — — — 6 3% — 1 —
Mihailo Ivanović F 45 7.30 1 — 2 8 1% — — —
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovacevic G 90 6.20 — — — 26 15% — — —
K. Fisher D 67 6.50 — — — 18 13% — — —
J. Cordoba D 90 6.20 — — — 39 28% — 1 —
H. Darling D 90 7.50 — — 1 52 44% — — —
J. Stacey D 90 6.30 — — 1 31 19% 1 — —
Pelle Mattsson M 90 7.90 1 — 2 45 32% 1 — —
S. Field M 90 6.90 — — — 49 41% — — —
A. Ahmed M 90 7.00 — — — 28 25% — — —
A. Slimane M 68 6.50 — — — 16 10% — — —
K. McLean M 90 7.20 — — 2 36 27% — — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 45 6.30 — — 1 7 4% — — —
M. Toure F 45 7.20 — 2 — 9 7% — — —
O. Schwartau F 22 8.00 1 — 1 9 5% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Norwich?
The final score was Millwall 1–2 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Norwich?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Millwall win, 26% to a draw, and 32% to an Norwich win.