M. Ivanovic
(ast. C. De Norre)
56'
62'
(ast. M. Toure)
P. Mattsson
76'
(ast. M. Toure)
O. Schwartau
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Norwich 32%). The final result was Millwall 1–2 Norwich. In 1 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.92
Actual xG
2.19
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
4
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
J. Cordoba
46'
M. Toure
/
M. Kvistgaarden
L. Cundle
/ M. Ivanovic
46'
⚽M. Ivanovic
· ast. C. De Norre
56'
62'
ast. M. Toure ·
P. Mattsson⚽
67'
B. Chrisene
/
K. Fisher
68'
O. Schwartau
/
A. Slimane
76'
ast. M. Toure ·
O. Schwartau⚽
C. De Norre
/ T. Watson
80'
B. Bannan
/ D. Mazou-Sacko
86'
Z. Sturge
/ J. Bryan
87'
J. Bryan
88'
88'
O. Schwartau
Pre-match prediction
41.07%
Millwall
26.49%
X
32.44%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich)
32.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
0.92
-0.39
1.47
2.19
+0.72
Norwich dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.92).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
87'
D
Zak Norton Sturge
87'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
6
C. Taylor
D
4
D
24
Casper De Norre
1 👟
80'
M
Casper De Norre
1 👟
80'
M
10
Camiel Neghli
M
Camiel Neghli
M
67
Barry Bannan
86'
M
Barry Bannan
86'
M
11
O. Azeez
M
O. Azeez
M
19
Josh Coburn
F
Josh Coburn
F
25
Luke Cundle
45'
F
Luke Cundle
45'
F
Bench
2
Danny McNamara
D
Danny McNamara
D
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
11'
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
11'
M
23
J. Bryan
10'
D
J. Bryan
10'
D
17
Macaulay Langstaff
F
Macaulay Langstaff
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
1 ⚽
45'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
1 ⚽
45'
F
7
Thierno Ballo
F
Thierno Ballo
F
1
V. Kovacevic
G
35
K. Fisher
67'
D
K. Fisher
67'
D
33
José Córdoba
D
José Córdoba
D
6
H. Darling
D
3
J. Stacey
D
7
Pelle Mattsson
1 ⚽
M
26
S. Field
M
21
Ali Ahmed
M
Ali Ahmed
M
20
A. Ben Slimane
68'
M
A. Ben Slimane
68'
M
23
K. McLean
M
K. McLean
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
45'
F
Bench
18
A. Forson
M
16
Jacob Wright
M
5
J. Medic
D
8
L. Gibbs
M
37
M. Touré
2 👟
45'
F
M. Touré
2 👟
45'
F
29
O. Schwartau
1 ⚽
22'
F
25
P. Maghoma
M
Best on the pitch
O. Schwartau
F · Norwich
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Pelle Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Casper De Norre
M · Millwall
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
G · Millwall
7.70
· 40 pass
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.70
1 shots
· 35 pass
H. Darling
D · Norwich
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 33% | — | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 80 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Bryan | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovacevic | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Darling | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | — | — | — |
| J. Stacey | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Field | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | F | 22 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Norwich?
The final score was Millwall 1–2 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Norwich?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Millwall win, 26% to a draw, and 32% to an Norwich win.