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Championship · Regular Season - 41 April 06, 2026 14:00 The Den, London
Millwall
#11 · 11 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Norwich
#17 · 9 pts
M. Ivanovic (ast. C. De Norre) 56'
62' (ast. M. Toure) P. Mattsson
76' (ast. M. Toure) O. Schwartau
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Norwich 32%). The final result was Millwall 1–2 Norwich. In 2 previous meetings, Millwall have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.92
Actual xG
2.19
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
4
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
J. Cordoba
46'
M. Toure / M. Kvistgaarden ↕
↕ L. Cundle / M. Ivanovic
46'
⚽M. Ivanovic · ast. C. De Norre
56'
62'
ast. M. Toure · P. Mattsson⚽
67'
B. Chrisene / K. Fisher ↕
68'
O. Schwartau / A. Slimane ↕
76'
ast. M. Toure · O. Schwartau⚽
↕ C. De Norre / T. Watson
80'
↕ B. Bannan / D. Mazou-Sacko
86'
↕ Z. Sturge / J. Bryan
87'
J. Bryan
88'
88'
O. Schwartau
Pre-match prediction
41.07%
Millwall
26.49%
X
32.44%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich) 32.44% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.31
0.92
-0.39
Norwich
1.47
2.19
+0.72
Norwich dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.92). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-4-2
13
G 7.70
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge 87' D 6.50
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.30
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 7.70
4
D 6.20
24 C. De Norre C. De Norre 1 👟 80' M 7.90
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli M 6.70
67 B. Bannan B. Bannan 86' M 6.90
11 Femi Azeez Femi Azeez M 6.90
19 J. Coburn J. Coburn F 6.70
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 45' F 6.70
Bench
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko 11' M 6.30
2 D. McNamara D. McNamara D
23 J. Bryan J. Bryan 10' D 6.60
17 Macaulay Langstaff Macaulay Langstaff F
9 Mihailo Ivanović Mihailo Ivanović 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
7 T. Ballo T. Ballo F
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 6.20
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher 67' D 6.50
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 6.20
6 H. Darling H. Darling D 7.50
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey D 6.30
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson 1 ⚽ M 7.90
26 S. Field S. Field M 6.90
21 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed M 7.00
20 A. Slimane A. Slimane 68' M 6.50
23 K. McLean K. McLean M 7.20
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 45' F 6.30
Bench
18 A. Forson A. Forson M
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright M
5 J. Medić J. Medić D
8 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs M
37 M. Touré M. Touré 2 👟 45' F 7.20
29 O. Schwartau O. Schwartau 1 ⚽ 22' F 8.00
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma M
Best on the pitch
O. Schwartau
O. Schwartau
F · Norwich
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
C. De Norre
C. De Norre
M · Millwall
7.90
1 👟
· 29 pass
G · Millwall
7.70
· 40 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.70
1 shots · 35 pass
H. Darling
H. Darling
D · Norwich
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 40 21% — — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 87 6.50 — — — 25 18% — — —
J. Cooper D 90 6.30 — — — 51 33% — — —
C. Taylor D 90 7.70 — — 1 35 32% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — 2 20 12% 1 — —
C. De Norre M 80 7.90 — 1 — 29 22% 3 — —
C. Neghli M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 16% 1 — —
B. Bannan M 86 6.90 — — — 29 19% 3 — —
Femi Azeez M 90 6.90 — — 2 20 9% 1 — —
J. Coburn F 90 6.70 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
L. Cundle F 45 6.70 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 11 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
J. Bryan D 10 6.60 — — — 6 3% — 1 —
Mihailo Ivanović F 45 7.30 1 — 2 8 1% — — —
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 90 6.20 — — — 26 15% — — —
K. Fisher D 67 6.50 — — — 18 13% — — —
J. Córdoba D 90 6.20 — — — 39 28% — 1 —
H. Darling D 90 7.50 — — 1 52 44% — — —
J. Stacey D 90 6.30 — — 1 31 19% 1 — —
P. Mattsson M 90 7.90 1 — 2 45 32% 1 — —
S. Field M 90 6.90 — — — 49 41% — — —
Ali Ahmed M 90 7.00 — — — 28 25% — — —
A. Slimane M 68 6.50 — — — 16 10% — — —
K. McLean M 90 7.20 — — 2 36 27% — — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 45 6.30 — — 1 7 4% — — —
M. Touré F 45 7.20 — 2 — 9 7% — — —
O. Schwartau F 22 8.00 1 — 1 9 5% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Norwich?
The final score was Millwall 1–2 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Norwich?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Millwall win, 26% to a draw, and 32% to an Norwich win.