← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 4 May 08, 2026 00:00
Mirassol
#1 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
LDU de Quito
#3 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Mirassol
Lucas Oliveira 47'
Reinaldo 61' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 57% win probability (draw 25%, LDU de Quito 16%). The final result was Mirassol 2–0 LDU de Quito. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for LDU de Quito.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
2
2.16
Actual xG
0.28
2
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
0
5
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
44'
Gian Franco Allala
⚽Lucas Oliveira
47'
55'
Yerlin Quinonez
⚽Reinaldo (pen.)
61'
71'
Michael Estrada / Deyverson ↕
71'
Alejandro Tobar / Gabriel Villamil ↕
71'
Ricardo Adé / José Quintero ↕
↕ Everton Galdino / André Luis
74'
↕ Carlos Eduardo / Antonio Galeano
74'
75'
Luis Segovia
↕ Denilson / Yuri
83'
↕ Shaylon / Eduardo
83'
85'
Rodney Redes / Jeison Medina ↕
85'
Kevin Minda / Fernando Cornejo ↕
↕ Edson Carioca / Rodrigues
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.47%
Mirassol ←
25.95%
X
16.58%
LDU
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol) 57.47% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mirassol
1.42
2.16
+0.74
LDU
0.55
0.28
-0.27
Mirassol dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Mirassol Mirassol 4-2-3-1
22 Walter Walter G 7.20
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo 1 ⚽ D 7.60
3
D 6.70
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira 1 ⚽ D 7.50
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga D 7.20
8 Denilson Denilson 83' M 7.30
25
Neto Moura M 7.20
95
Edson Carioca M 6.70
7 Shaylon Shaylon 83' M 7.00
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 74' M 7.30
17 Everton Galdino Everton Galdino 74' F 7.20
Bench
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
99 André Luis André Luis 23' F 6.20
27 Antonio Galeano Antonio Galeano 23' F 6.50
33 Eduardo Eduardo 14' M 6.60
21 José Aldo José Aldo M
26
Lucas Mugni M
9 Nathan Fogaça Nathan Fogaça F
12 Victor Luis Victor Luis D
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 5-3-2
1 Gonzalo Valle Gonzalo Valle G 7.20
23 Yerlin Quinonez Yerlin Quinonez D 5.90
33 Leonel Quiñónez Leonel Quiñónez D 6.30
44 Luis Segovia Luis Segovia D 6.60
30 Gian Franco Allala Gian Franco Allala D 6.00
14 José Quintero José Quintero 71' D 5.90
15 G. Villamíl G. Villamíl 71' M 6.20
8 Jesús Pretell Jesús Pretell M 7.00
20 Fernando Cornejo Fernando Cornejo 85' M 6.20
16 Deyverson Deyverson 71' F 6.90
9 Jeison Medina Jeison Medina 85' F 6.70
Bench
99 Alejandro Tobar Alejandro Tobar 26' M 6.70
10 Alexander Alvarado Alexander Alvarado M
32 Edison Gomez Edison Gomez M
26 Josue Caicedo Josue Caicedo D
5 Kevin Minda Kevin Minda 12' M 6.30
11 Michael Estrada Michael Estrada 26' F 6.50
4 Ricardo Adé Ricardo Adé 26' D 7.00
7 Rodney Redes Rodney Redes 12' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Reinaldo
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 36 pass
Lucas Oliveira
Lucas Oliveira
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
M · Mirassol
7.30
2 shots · 15 pass
Denilson
Denilson
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 45 pass
Gonzalo Valle
Gonzalo Valle
G · LDU
7.20
· 45 pass
Everton Galdino
Everton Galdino
F · Mirassol
7.20
2 shots · 17 pass
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 97 7.20 — — — 25 20% — — —
Reinaldo D 97 7.60 1 — 3 36 26% — — —
D 97 6.70 — — — 44 36% — — —
Lucas Oliveira D 97 7.50 1 — 2 57 47% — — —
Igor Formiga D 97 7.20 — — — 27 20% 1 — —
Denilson M 83 7.30 — — — 45 40% 2 — —
Neto Moura M 97 7.20 — — 2 54 47% 1 — —
Edson Carioca M 90 6.70 — — 2 18 14% — — —
Shaylon M 83 7.00 — — — 35 29% — — —
Carlos Eduardo M 74 7.30 — — 2 15 14% — — —
Everton Galdino F 74 7.20 — — 2 17 16% — — —
André Luis F 23 6.20 — — — 7 4% — — —
Antonio Galeano F 23 6.50 — — 2 4 2% 1 — —
Eduardo M 14 6.60 — — — 5 2% — — —
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gonzalo Valle G 97 7.20 — — — 45 35% — — —
Yerlin Quinonez D 97 5.90 — — 1 29 23% 1 1 —
Leonel Quiñónez D 97 6.30 — — 1 52 45% 1 — —
Luis Segovia D 97 6.60 — — — 50 47% 1 1 —
Gian Franco Allala D 97 6.00 — — — 42 37% — 1 —
José Quintero D 71 5.90 — — 1 13 6% 1 — —
G. Villamíl M 71 6.20 — — — 18 10% — — —
Jesús Pretell M 97 7.00 — — — 34 25% 3 — —
Fernando Cornejo M 85 6.20 — — 1 27 14% — — —
Deyverson F 71 6.90 — — — 14 10% — — —
Jeison Medina F 85 6.70 — — — 14 11% — — —
Alejandro Tobar M 26 6.70 — — 1 7 4% — — —
Kevin Minda M 12 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
Michael Estrada F 26 6.50 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Ricardo Adé D 26 7.00 — — — 10 10% — — —
Rodney Redes F 12 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The final score was Mirassol 2–0 LDU de Quito.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Mirassol win, 25% to a draw, and 16% to an LDU de Quito win.