Molde 5–1 Valerenga — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — April 26, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 6 April 26, 2026 16:30

Molde

#5 · 13 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Valerenga

#11 · 8 pts

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. E. Hestad) 21'

E. Breivik (ast. S. Kabini) 51'

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. S. Granaas) 55'

E. Hestad 57'

S. Granaas (ast. J. Abdullai) 86'

45'+1 (ast. M. Grundetjern) L. Haren

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 28%). The final result was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.27

Actual xG

1.26

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. E. Hestad

21'

F. Gulbrandsen

38'

45'+1

ast. M. Grundetjern · L. Haren⚽

46'

P. Strand / E. Sorensen ↕

48'

H. Sjatil

⚽E. Breivik · ast. S. Kabini

51'

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. S. Granaas

55'

⚽E. Hestad

57'

↕ M. Daehli / J. Christensen

63'

↕ F. Gulbrandsen / J. Abdullai

63'

69'

O. T. Holm / H. Sjatil ↕

69'

G. Rajkovic / M. Grundetjern ↕

↕ E. Hestad / V. Bender

80'

⚽S. Granaas · ast. J. Abdullai

86'

88'

V. Hedenstad / L. Haren ↕

89'

K. Tshiembe / I. Nasberg ↕

↕ S. Granaas / T. Kone-Doherty

89'

↕ E. Breivik / O. Spiten-Nysaeter

89'

Pre-match prediction

38.57%

Molde ←

32.49%

28.94%

Valerenga

we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 38.57% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Molde

1.20

3.27

+2.07

Valerenga

0.70

1.26

+0.56

Molde dominated by xG (3.27 vs 1.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tromso	10	23
2	Viking	8	21
3	Lillestrom	8	16
4	Bodo/Glimt	7	13
5	Molde	8	13
6	Ham-Kam	7	13
7	Sandefjord	8	13
8	Brann	8	10
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	8	8
10	Kristiansund BK	7	8
11	Valerenga	8	8
12	KFUM Oslo	8	8
13	Rosenborg	8	8
14	Fredrikstad	8	7
15	Start	8	4
16	Aalesund	7	3

Lineups

Molde 4-2-3-1

Albert Posiadała G 7.20

Samukelo Kabini 1 👟 D 7.50

Birk Risa D 8.30

D 8.00

Halldor Stenevik D 6.70

Mats Møller Dæhli 63' M 7.20

Vebjørn Hoff M 6.90

Sondre Milian Granaas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 7.90

E. Breivik 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.70

E. Hestad 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' M 8.30

F. Gulbrandsen 2 ⚽ 63' F 7.90

Bench

J. Abdullai 1 👟 27' F 7.20

Jacob Christensen 27' M 7.00

Martin Linnes D

Trent Kone Doherty 1' F

Viktor Bender 10' M 6.90

Valerenga 4-4-2

G 5.20

K. Finnsson D 4.90

I. Nasberg 89' D 5.50

A. Olsen D 6.00

H. Sjatil 69' D 5.60

Elias Sørensen 45' M 6.20

Carl Lange M 6.70

Magnus Westergaard M 6.20

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 88' M 6.90

Mathias Grundetjern 1 👟 69' F 7.30

H. Bjordal F 6.90

Bench

V. Hedenstad 2' D

Best on the pitch

E. Breivik

M · Molde

8.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

Birk Risa

D · Molde

8.30

· 95 pass

E. Hestad

M · Molde

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 37 pass

D · Molde

8.00

2 shots · 89 pass

Sondre Milian Granaas

M · Molde

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 41 pass

F. Gulbrandsen

F · Molde

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Albert Posiadała	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—
Samukelo Kabini	D	90	7.50	—	1	—	50	45%	2	—	—
Birk Risa	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	95	89%	—	—	—
	D	90	8.00	—	—	2	89	79%	5	—	—
Halldor Stenevik	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	45	38%	2	—	—
Mats Møller Dæhli	M	63	7.20	—	—	—	55	52%	2	—	—
Vebjørn Hoff	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	50	43%	—	—	—
Sondre Milian Granaas	M	89	7.90	1	1	1	41	36%	1	—	—
E. Breivik	M	89	8.70	1	—	3	27	25%	—	—	—
E. Hestad	M	80	8.30	1	1	5	37	30%	2	—	—
F. Gulbrandsen	F	63	7.90	2	—	3	16	9%	1	1	—
J. Abdullai	F	27	7.20	—	1	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Jacob Christensen	M	27	7.00	—	—	—	21	19%	1	—	—
Trent Kone Doherty	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Viktor Bender	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	3	3%	2	—	—

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	50	36%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	90	4.90	—	—	—	39	33%	—	—	—
I. Nasberg	D	89	5.50	—	—	—	39	36%	—	—	—
A. Olsen	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	52%	2	—	—
H. Sjatil	D	69	5.60	—	—	—	17	12%	3	1	—
Elias Sørensen	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	13	8%	2	—	—
Carl Lange	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	50	38%	4	—	—
Magnus Westergaard	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	3	—	—
L. Haren	M	88	6.90	1	—	1	23	14%	1	—	—
Mathias Grundetjern	F	69	7.30	—	1	1	16	12%	—	—	—
H. Bjordal	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	27%	2	—	—
V. Hedenstad	D	2	—	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Molde vs Valerenga?

The final score was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.

What did the model predict before Molde vs Valerenga?

The model assigned 38% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Valerenga win.