Molde 5–1 Valerenga — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — April 26, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 6 April 26, 2026 14:30 Aker Stadion, Molde

Molde

#3 · 43 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Valerenga

#10 · 29 pts

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. E. Hestad) 21'

E. Breivik (ast. S. Kabini) 51'

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. S. Granaas) 55'

E. Hestad 57'

S. Granaas (ast. J. Abdullai) 86'

45'+1 (ast. M. Grundetjern) L. Haren

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 28%). The final result was Molde 5–1 Valerenga. In 1 previous meetings, Molde have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Valerenga.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.27

Actual xG

1.26

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. E. Hestad

21'

F. Gulbrandsen

38'

45'+1

ast. M. Grundetjern · L. Haren⚽

46'

P. Strand / E. Sorensen ↕

48'

H. Sjatil

⚽E. Breivik · ast. S. Kabini

51'

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. S. Granaas

55'

⚽E. Hestad

57'

↕ M. Daehli / J. Christensen

63'

↕ F. Gulbrandsen / J. Abdullai

63'

69'

O. T. Holm / H. Sjatil ↕

69'

G. Rajkovic / M. Grundetjern ↕

↕ E. Hestad / V. Bender

80'

⚽S. Granaas · ast. J. Abdullai

86'

88'

V. Hedenstad / L. Haren ↕

89'

K. Tshiembe / I. Nasberg ↕

↕ S. Granaas / T. Kone-Doherty

89'

↕ E. Breivik / O. Spiten-Nysaeter

89'

Pre-match prediction

38.57%

Molde ←

32.49%

28.94%

Valerenga

we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 38.57% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Molde

1.20

3.27

+2.07

Valerenga

0.70

1.26

+0.56

Molde dominated by xG (3.27 vs 1.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Molde 4-2-3-1

A. Posiadała G 7.20

S. Kabini 1 👟 D 7.50

B. Risa D 8.30

D 8.00

Halldor Stenevik D 6.70

M. Møller Dæhli 63' M 7.20

Vebjørn Hoff M 6.90

S. Granaas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 7.90

E. Breivik 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.70

E. Hestad 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' M 8.30

F. Gulbrandsen 2 ⚽ 63' F 7.90

Bench

J. Abdulai 1 👟 27' F 7.20

J. Christensen 27' M 7.00

M. Linnes D

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 1' F

V. Bender 10' M 6.90

Valerenga 4-4-2

G 5.20

K. Finnsson D 4.90

I. Näsberg 89' D 5.50

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.00

H. Sjåtil 69' D 5.60

E. Sørensen 45' M 6.20

C. Lange M 6.70

M. Westergaard M 6.20

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 88' M 6.90

M. Grundetjern 1 👟 69' F 7.30

H. Bjørdal F 6.90

Bench

V. Hedenstad 2' D

Best on the pitch

E. Breivik

M · Molde

8.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

B. Risa

D · Molde

8.30

· 95 pass

E. Hestad

M · Molde

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 37 pass

D · Molde

8.00

2 shots · 89 pass

S. Granaas

M · Molde

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 41 pass

F. Gulbrandsen

F · Molde

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Posiadała	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—
S. Kabini	D	90	7.50	—	1	—	50	45%	2	—	—
B. Risa	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	95	89%	—	—	—
	D	90	8.00	—	—	2	89	79%	5	—	—
Halldor Stenevik	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	45	38%	2	—	—
M. Møller Dæhli	M	63	7.20	—	—	—	55	52%	2	—	—
Vebjørn Hoff	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	50	43%	—	—	—
S. Granaas	M	89	7.90	1	1	1	41	36%	1	—	—
E. Breivik	M	89	8.70	1	—	3	27	25%	—	—	—
E. Hestad	M	80	8.30	1	1	5	37	30%	2	—	—
F. Gulbrandsen	F	63	7.90	2	—	3	16	9%	1	1	—
J. Abdulai	F	27	7.20	—	1	—	4	4%	—	—	—
J. Christensen	M	27	7.00	—	—	—	21	19%	1	—	—
Trent Toure Kone Doherty	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
V. Bender	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	3	3%	2	—	—

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	50	36%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	90	4.90	—	—	—	39	33%	—	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	89	5.50	—	—	—	39	36%	—	—	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	52%	2	—	—
H. Sjåtil	D	69	5.60	—	—	—	17	12%	3	1	—
E. Sørensen	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	13	8%	2	—	—
C. Lange	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	50	38%	4	—	—
M. Westergaard	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	3	—	—
L. Haren	M	88	6.90	1	—	1	23	14%	1	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	69	7.30	—	1	1	16	12%	—	—	—
H. Bjørdal	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	27%	2	—	—
V. Hedenstad	D	2	—	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Molde vs Valerenga?

The final score was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.

What did the model predict before Molde vs Valerenga?

The model assigned 38% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Valerenga win.