Molde 5–1 Valerenga — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — April 26, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 6 April 26, 2026 14:30 Aker Stadion, Molde

Molde

#4 · 33 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Valerenga

#11 · 22 pts

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. E. Hestad) 21'

E. Breivik (ast. S. Kabini) 51'

F. Gulbrandsen (ast. S. Granaas) 55'

E. Hestad 57'

S. Granaas (ast. J. Abdullai) 86'

45'+1 (ast. M. Grundetjern) L. Haren

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 28%). The final result was Molde 5–1 Valerenga. In 1 previous meetings, Molde have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Valerenga.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.27

Actual xG

1.26

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. E. Hestad

21'

F. Gulbrandsen

38'

45'+1

ast. M. Grundetjern · L. Haren⚽

46'

P. Strand / E. Sorensen ↕

48'

H. Sjatil

⚽E. Breivik · ast. S. Kabini

51'

⚽F. Gulbrandsen · ast. S. Granaas

55'

⚽E. Hestad

57'

↕ M. Daehli / J. Christensen

63'

↕ F. Gulbrandsen / J. Abdullai

63'

69'

O. T. Holm / H. Sjatil ↕

69'

G. Rajkovic / M. Grundetjern ↕

↕ E. Hestad / V. Bender

80'

⚽S. Granaas · ast. J. Abdullai

86'

88'

V. Hedenstad / L. Haren ↕

89'

K. Tshiembe / I. Nasberg ↕

↕ S. Granaas / T. Kone-Doherty

89'

↕ E. Breivik / O. Spiten-Nysaeter

89'

Pre-match prediction

38.57%

Molde ←

32.49%

28.94%

Valerenga

we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 38.57% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Molde

1.20

3.27

+2.07

Valerenga

0.70

1.26

+0.56

Molde dominated by xG (3.27 vs 1.26). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	20	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	20	30
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13

Lineups

Molde 4-2-3-1

A. Posiadała G 7.20

S. Kabini 1 👟 D 7.50

B. Risa D 8.30

D 8.00

Halldor Stenevik D 6.70

M. Møller Dæhli 63' M 7.20

Vebjørn Hoff M 6.90

S. Granaas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 7.90

E. Breivik 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.70

E. Hestad 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' M 8.30

F. Gulbrandsen 2 ⚽ 63' F 7.90

Bench

J. Abdulai 1 👟 27' F 7.20

J. Christensen 27' M 7.00

M. Linnes D

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 1' F

V. Bender 10' M 6.90

Valerenga 4-4-2

G 5.20

K. Finnsson D 4.90

I. Näsberg 89' D 5.50

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.00

H. Sjåtil 69' D 5.60

E. Sørensen 45' M 6.20

C. Lange M 6.70

M. Westergaard M 6.20

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 88' M 6.90

M. Grundetjern 1 👟 69' F 7.30

H. Bjørdal F 6.90

Bench

V. Hedenstad 2' D

Best on the pitch

E. Breivik

M · Molde

8.70

1 ⚽

3 shots · 27 pass

B. Risa

D · Molde

8.30

· 95 pass

E. Hestad

M · Molde

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 37 pass

D · Molde

8.00

2 shots · 89 pass

S. Granaas

M · Molde

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 41 pass

F. Gulbrandsen

F · Molde

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Posiadała	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—
S. Kabini	D	90	7.50	—	1	—	50	45%	2	—	—
B. Risa	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	95	89%	—	—	—
	D	90	8.00	—	—	2	89	79%	5	—	—
Halldor Stenevik	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	45	38%	2	—	—
M. Møller Dæhli	M	63	7.20	—	—	—	55	52%	2	—	—
Vebjørn Hoff	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	50	43%	—	—	—
S. Granaas	M	89	7.90	1	1	1	41	36%	1	—	—
E. Breivik	M	89	8.70	1	—	3	27	25%	—	—	—
E. Hestad	M	80	8.30	1	1	5	37	30%	2	—	—
F. Gulbrandsen	F	63	7.90	2	—	3	16	9%	1	1	—
J. Abdulai	F	27	7.20	—	1	—	4	4%	—	—	—
J. Christensen	M	27	7.00	—	—	—	21	19%	1	—	—
Trent Toure Kone Doherty	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
V. Bender	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	3	3%	2	—	—

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	50	36%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	90	4.90	—	—	—	39	33%	—	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	89	5.50	—	—	—	39	36%	—	—	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	52%	2	—	—
H. Sjåtil	D	69	5.60	—	—	—	17	12%	3	1	—
E. Sørensen	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	13	8%	2	—	—
C. Lange	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	50	38%	4	—	—
M. Westergaard	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	3	—	—
L. Haren	M	88	6.90	1	—	1	23	14%	1	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	69	7.30	—	1	1	16	12%	—	—	—
H. Bjørdal	F	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	27%	2	—	—
V. Hedenstad	D	2	—	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Molde vs Valerenga?

The final score was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.

What did the model predict before Molde vs Valerenga?

The model assigned 38% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Valerenga win.