F. Gulbrandsen
(ast. E. Hestad)
21'
E. Breivik
(ast. S. Kabini)
51'
F. Gulbrandsen
(ast. S. Granaas)
55'
E. Hestad
57'
S. Granaas
(ast. J. Abdullai)
86'
45'+1
(ast. M. Grundetjern)
L. Haren
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 28%). The final result was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
7
3.27
Actual xG
1.26
6
Saves
2
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
18
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Gulbrandsen
· ast. E. Hestad
21'
F. Gulbrandsen
38'
45'+1
ast. M. Grundetjern ·
L. Haren⚽
46'
P. Strand
/
E. Sorensen
48'
H. Sjatil
⚽E. Breivik
· ast. S. Kabini
51'
⚽F. Gulbrandsen
· ast. S. Granaas
55'
⚽E. Hestad
57'
M. Daehli
/ J. Christensen
63'
F. Gulbrandsen
/ J. Abdullai
63'
69'
O. T. Holm
/
H. Sjatil
69'
G. Rajkovic
/
M. Grundetjern
E. Hestad
/ V. Bender
80'
⚽S. Granaas
· ast. J. Abdullai
86'
88'
V. Hedenstad
/
L. Haren
89'
K. Tshiembe
/
I. Nasberg
S. Granaas
/ T. Kone-Doherty
89'
E. Breivik
/ O. Spiten-Nysaeter
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.57%
Molde ←
32.49%
X
28.94%
Valerenga
we assigned to the actual result (Molde)
38.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
3.27
+2.07
0.70
1.26
+0.56
Molde dominated by xG (3.27 vs 1.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Albert Posiadała
G
Albert Posiadała
G
26
Samukelo Kabini
1 👟
D
Samukelo Kabini
1 👟
D
33
Birk Risa
D
Birk Risa
D
4
D
18
Halldor Stenevik
D
Halldor Stenevik
D
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
63'
M
Mats Møller Dæhli
63'
M
15
Vebjørn Hoff
M
Vebjørn Hoff
M
23
Sondre Milian Granaas
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
Sondre Milian Granaas
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
10
Emil Breivik
1 ⚽
89'
M
Emil Breivik
1 ⚽
89'
M
5
Eirik Hestad
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
Eirik Hestad
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
8
F. Gulbrandsen
2 ⚽
63'
F
F. Gulbrandsen
2 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
14
Jacob Christensen
27'
M
Jacob Christensen
27'
M
9
Jalal Abdullai
1 👟
27'
F
Jalal Abdullai
1 👟
27'
F
25
Martin Linnes
D
Martin Linnes
D
24
Trent Kone Doherty
1'
F
Trent Kone Doherty
1'
F
28
Viktor Bender
10'
M
Viktor Bender
10'
M
1
G
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
D
Kolbeinn Finnsson
D
37
Ivan Näsberg
89'
D
Ivan Näsberg
89'
D
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
3
Hakon Sjatil
69'
D
Hakon Sjatil
69'
D
11
Elias Sørensen
45'
M
Elias Sørensen
45'
M
10
Carl Lange
M
Carl Lange
M
28
Magnus Westergaard
M
Magnus Westergaard
M
77
Lucas Haren
1 ⚽
88'
M
Lucas Haren
1 ⚽
88'
M
17
Mathias Grundetjern
1 👟
69'
F
Mathias Grundetjern
1 👟
69'
F
8
Henrik Bjørdal
F
Henrik Bjørdal
F
Bench
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
2'
D
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
2'
D
Best on the pitch
Emil Breivik
M · Molde
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Birk Risa
D · Molde
8.30
· 95 pass
Eirik Hestad
M · Molde
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 37 pass
D · Molde
8.00
2 shots
· 89 pass
Sondre Milian Granaas
M · Molde
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
F. Gulbrandsen
F · Molde
7.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Molde — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Posiadała | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Samukelo Kabini | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Birk Risa | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 89% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 89 | 79% | 5 | — | — | |
| Halldor Stenevik | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Mats Møller Dæhli | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Vebjørn Hoff | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Sondre Milian Granaas | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Emil Breivik | M | 89 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Eirik Hestad | M | 80 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen | F | 63 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Christensen | M | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jalal Abdullai | F | 27 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Trent Kone Doherty | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Bender | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Kolbeinn Finnsson | D | 90 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Näsberg | D | 89 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Kiil Olsen | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Hakon Sjatil | D | 69 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Elias Sørensen | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Carl Lange | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| Magnus Westergaard | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Haren | M | 88 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Grundetjern | F | 69 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Bjørdal | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Vegar Eggen Hedenstad | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Molde vs Valerenga?
The final score was Molde 5–1 Valerenga.
What did the model predict before Molde vs Valerenga?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Molde win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Valerenga win.