← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 15:00
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Auxerre
#15 · 31 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Monaco, result Pareggio
A. Fati (ast. M. Akliouche) 56'
F. Balogun 59' (pen.)
11' K. Danois
33' L. Sinayoko

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Auxerre 14%). The final result was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
7
2.30
Actual xG
0.75
5
Saves
4
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
3
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Akliouche
7'
11'
K. Danois⚽
33'
L. Sinayoko⚽
↕ A. Bamba / S. Adingra
46'
54'
J. Casimir / F. Oppegard ↕
⚽A. Fati · ast. M. Akliouche
56'
⚽F. Balogun (pen.)
59'
D. Zakaria
59'
68'
L. Sy / M. Senaya ↕
68'
N. Ahamada / D. Namaso ↕
72'
T. De Percin / D. Leon ↕
73'
L. Sinayoko
↕ J. Teze / M. Coulibaly
77'
↕ A. Fati / A. Golovin
78'
83'
L. Sy
↕ F. Balogun / M. Biereth
88'
90'+5
G. Mensah
Pre-match prediction
67.21%
Monaco
18.54%
X ←
14.25%
Auxerre
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
2.29
2.30
+0.01
Auxerre
0.87
0.75
-0.12
Monaco dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.00
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D 6.70
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 6.60
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa M 6.30
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba 45' M 6.30
4 J. Teze J. Teze 77' M 7.70
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta M 6.60
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.30
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 F 7.70
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.00
Bench
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 17' M 7.00
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 18' M 6.30
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 50' F 7.20
Auxerre Auxerre 4-2-3-1
16 Donovan Léon Donovan Léon 72' G 6.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 6.30
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh D 7.20
20 Sinaly Diomandé Sinaly Diomandé D 7.70
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya 68' D 7.30
5 Kévin Danois Kévin Danois 1 ⚽ M 7.90
42 Elisha Owusu Elisha Owusu M 7.20
22
F. Oppegard 54' M 6.50
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 68' M 6.30
28
R. Faivre M 6.90
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé M
7 Josué Casimir Josué Casimir 41' F 6.20
27 Lamine Sy Lamine Sy 27' D 6.70
8 Naouirou Ahamada Naouirou Ahamada 27' M 6.30
9 Sékou Mara Sékou Mara F
Best on the pitch
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois
M · Auxerre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
J. Teze
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.70
2 shots · 45 pass
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.70
1 shots · 14 pass
M. Akliouche
M. Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 43 pass
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya
D · Auxerre
7.30
1 shots · 14 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 95 6.00 — — — 27 22% — — —
Wout Faes D 95 6.70 — — — 67 59% — — —
D. Zakaria D 95 6.20 — — — 56 53% — 1 —
T. Kehrer D 95 6.60 — — — 75 70% 5 — —
Christian Mawissa M 95 6.30 — — — 69 60% 2 — —
Aladji Bamba M 45 6.30 — — — 32 23% — — —
J. Teze M 77 7.70 — — 2 45 39% — — —
Krépin Diatta M 95 6.60 — — 1 51 45% — — —
Ansu Fati F 78 7.30 1 — 2 20 18% 1 — —
M. Akliouche F 95 7.70 — 1 1 43 38% 1 1 —
F. Balogun F 88 7.00 1 — 3 10 7% — — —
A. Golovin M 17 7.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 18 6.30 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Simon Adingra F 50 7.20 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Donovan Léon G 72 6.90 — — — 20 3% — — —
G. Mensah D 95 6.30 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
Bryan Okoh D 95 7.20 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Sinaly Diomandé D 95 7.70 — — 1 14 12% 4 — —
Marvin Senaya D 68 7.30 — — 1 14 10% 7 — —
Kévin Danois M 95 7.90 1 — 1 38 29% 4 — —
Elisha Owusu M 95 7.20 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
F. Oppegard M 54 6.50 — — 1 13 10% — — —
D. Namaso M 68 6.30 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
R. Faivre M 95 6.90 — — 1 29 20% 1 — —
L. Sinayoko F 95 7.70 1 — 3 12 8% — 1 —
Josué Casimir F 41 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
Lamine Sy D 27 6.70 — — — 5 5% 1 1 —
Naouirou Ahamada M 27 6.30 — — — 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Auxerre?
The final score was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Monaco win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Auxerre win.