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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 15:00 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Monaco
#4 · 15 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Auxerre
#12 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Monaco, result Draw
A. Fati (ast. M. Akliouche) 56'
F. Balogun 59' (pen.)
11' K. Danois
33' L. Sinayoko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Auxerre 14%). The final result was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
7
2.30
Actual xG
0.75
5
Saves
4
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
3
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Akliouche
7'
11'
K. Danois⚽
33'
L. Sinayoko⚽
↕ A. Bamba / S. Adingra
46'
54'
J. Casimir / F. Oppegard ↕
⚽A. Fati · ast. M. Akliouche
56'
⚽F. Balogun (pen.)
59'
D. Zakaria
59'
68'
L. Sy / M. Senaya ↕
68'
N. Ahamada / D. Namaso ↕
72'
T. De Percin / D. Leon ↕
73'
L. Sinayoko
↕ J. Teze / M. Coulibaly
77'
↕ A. Fati / A. Golovin
78'
83'
L. Sy
↕ F. Balogun / M. Biereth
88'
90'+5
G. Mensah
Pre-match prediction
67.21%
Monaco
18.54%
X ←
14.25%
Auxerre
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
2.29
2.30
+0.01
Auxerre
0.87
0.75
-0.12
Monaco dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.00
25 W. Faes W. Faes D 6.70
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 6.20
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 6.60
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi M 6.30
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba 45' M 6.30
4 J. Teze J. Teze 77' M 7.70
27 K. Diatta K. Diatta M 6.60
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.30
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 F 7.70
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.00
Bench
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 17' M 7.00
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 18' M 6.30
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
24 S. Adingra S. Adingra 50' F 7.20
Auxerre Auxerre 4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon D. Léon 72' G 6.90
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 6.30
24 Bryan Okoh Bryan Okoh D 7.20
20 S. Diomandé S. Diomandé D 7.70
29 Marvin Senaya Marvin Senaya 68' D 7.30
5 K. Danois K. Danois 1 ⚽ M 7.90
42 Elisha Owusu Elisha Owusu M 7.20
22 F. Oppegård F. Oppegård 54' M 6.50
19 D. Namaso D. Namaso 68' M 6.30
28 R. Faivre R. Faivre M 6.90
10 L. Sinayoko L. Sinayoko 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
18 Assane Dioussé Assane Dioussé M
7 J. Casimir J. Casimir 41' F 6.20
27 L. Sy L. Sy 27' D 6.70
8 N. Ahamada N. Ahamada 27' M 6.30
9 S. Mara S. Mara F
Best on the pitch
K. Danois
K. Danois
M · Auxerre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
J. Teze
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.70
2 shots · 45 pass
S. Diomandé
S. Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.70
1 shots · 14 pass
M. Akliouche
M. Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 43 pass
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya
D · Auxerre
7.30
1 shots · 14 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 95 6.00 — — — 27 22% — — —
W. Faes D 95 6.70 — — — 67 59% — — —
D. Zakaria D 95 6.20 — — — 56 53% — 1 —
T. Kehrer D 95 6.60 — — — 75 70% 5 — —
C. Mawissa Elebi M 95 6.30 — — — 69 60% 2 — —
A. Bamba M 45 6.30 — — — 32 23% — — —
J. Teze M 77 7.70 — — 2 45 39% — — —
K. Diatta M 95 6.60 — — 1 51 45% — — —
Ansu Fati F 78 7.30 1 — 2 20 18% 1 — —
M. Akliouche F 95 7.70 — 1 1 43 38% 1 1 —
F. Balogun F 88 7.00 1 — 3 10 7% — — —
A. Golovin M 17 7.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Coulibaly M 18 6.30 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
S. Adingra F 50 7.20 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
Auxerre Auxerre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Léon G 72 6.90 — — — 20 3% — — —
G. Mensah D 95 6.30 — — — 28 23% 2 — —
Bryan Okoh D 95 7.20 — — 1 14 11% — — —
S. Diomandé D 95 7.70 — — 1 14 12% 4 — —
Marvin Senaya D 68 7.30 — — 1 14 10% 7 — —
K. Danois M 95 7.90 1 — 1 38 29% 4 — —
Elisha Owusu M 95 7.20 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
F. Oppegård M 54 6.50 — — 1 13 10% — — —
D. Namaso M 68 6.30 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
R. Faivre M 95 6.90 — — 1 29 20% 1 — —
L. Sinayoko F 95 7.70 1 — 3 12 8% — 1 —
J. Casimir F 41 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
L. Sy D 27 6.70 — — — 5 5% 1 1 —
N. Ahamada M 27 6.30 — — — 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Auxerre?
The final score was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Monaco win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Auxerre win.