✗Model wrong — prediction Monaco, result Draw
A. Fati
(ast. M. Akliouche)
56'
F. Balogun
59'
(pen.)
11'
K. Danois
33'
L. Sinayoko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Auxerre 14%). The final result was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre. In 2 previous meetings, Monaco have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
7
2.30
Actual xG
0.75
5
Saves
4
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
3
12
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Akliouche
7'
11'
K. Danois⚽
33'
L. Sinayoko⚽
A. Bamba
/ S. Adingra
46'
54'
J. Casimir
/
F. Oppegard
⚽A. Fati
· ast. M. Akliouche
56'
⚽F. Balogun
(pen.)
59'
D. Zakaria
59'
68'
L. Sy
/
M. Senaya
68'
N. Ahamada
/
D. Namaso
72'
T. De Percin
/
D. Leon
73'
L. Sinayoko
J. Teze
/ M. Coulibaly
77'
A. Fati
/ A. Golovin
78'
83'
L. Sy
F. Balogun
/ M. Biereth
88'
90'+5
G. Mensah
Pre-match prediction
67.21%
Monaco
18.54%
X ←
14.25%
Auxerre
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
2.30
+0.01
0.87
0.75
-0.12
Monaco dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
25
Wout Faes
D
Wout Faes
D
6
D. Zakaria
D
D. Zakaria
D
5
T. Kehrer
D
T. Kehrer
D
13
Christian Mawissa
M
Christian Mawissa
M
23
Aladji Bamba
45'
M
Aladji Bamba
45'
M
4
J. Teze
77'
M
J. Teze
77'
M
27
Krépin Diatta
M
Krépin Diatta
M
31
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
78'
F
Ansu Fati
1 ⚽
78'
F
11
Maghnes Akliouche
1 👟
F
Maghnes Akliouche
1 👟
F
9
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
88'
F
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
10
A. Golovin
17'
M
A. Golovin
17'
M
28
M. Coulibaly
18'
M
M. Coulibaly
18'
M
8
Paul Pogba
M
Paul Pogba
M
24
Simon Adingra
50'
F
Simon Adingra
50'
F
16
D. Léon
72'
G
D. Léon
72'
G
14
Gideon Mensah
D
Gideon Mensah
D
24
Bryan Okoh
D
Bryan Okoh
D
20
Sinaly Diomandé
D
Sinaly Diomandé
D
29
Marvin Senaya
68'
D
Marvin Senaya
68'
D
5
Kévin Danois
1 ⚽
M
Kévin Danois
1 ⚽
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
22
F. Oppegard
54'
M
19
D. Namaso
68'
M
D. Namaso
68'
M
28
R. Faivre
M
10
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
F
L. Sinayoko
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
7
J. Casimir
41'
F
J. Casimir
41'
F
27
Lamine Sy
27'
D
Lamine Sy
27'
D
8
Naouirou Ahamada
27'
M
Naouirou Ahamada
27'
M
9
Sékou Mara
F
Sékou Mara
F
Best on the pitch
Kévin Danois
M · Auxerre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
L. Sinayoko
F · Auxerre
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.70
2 shots
· 45 pass
Sinaly Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.70
1 shots
· 14 pass
Maghnes Akliouche
F · Monaco
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
Marvin Senaya
D · Auxerre
7.30
1 shots
· 14 pass
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Hrádecký | G | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Wout Faes | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Kehrer | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | 5 | — | — |
| Christian Mawissa | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Aladji Bamba | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Teze | M | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Krépin Diatta | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Maghnes Akliouche | F | 95 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 88 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Golovin | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Adingra | F | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Léon | G | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gideon Mensah | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Okoh | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 7 | — | — |
| Kévin Danois | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Oppegard | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Naouirou Ahamada | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Auxerre?
The final score was Monaco 2–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Monaco win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Auxerre win.