← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 20:45
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Marseille
#6 · 56 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Monaco
A. Golovin (ast. J. Teze) 59'
F. Balogun 74'
85' (ast. F. Medina) A. Gouiri

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Marseille 19%). The final result was Monaco 2–1 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
9
1.17
Actual xG
2.11
7
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
0
Corners
8
22
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Lamine Camara
8'
34'
Facundo Medina
⚽A. Golovin · ast. J. Teze
59'
↕ C. Mawissa / K. Diatta
65'
↕ M. Coulibaly / A. Bamba
65'
Thilo Kehrer
71'
73'
E. Nwaneri / H. J. Traore ↕
⚽F. Balogun
74'
↕ A. Golovin / A. Fati
75'
77'
L. Balerdi / C. Egan-Riley ↕
↕ F. Balogun / M. Biereth
84'
↕ M. Akliouche / S. Adingra
84'
85'
ast. F. Medina · A. Gouiri⚽
87'
Leonardo Balerdi
89'
Emerson / T. Weah ↕
89'
H. Abdelli / P. Hojbjerg ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.14%
Monaco ←
15.7%
X
19.15%
Marseille
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monaco) 65.14% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monaco
2.72
1.17
-1.55
Marseille
1.09
2.11
+1.02
Marseille dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.17). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G 7.90
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D 6.50
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 7.00
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 7.50
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa 65' M 6.60
15 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara M 6.60
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 65' M 6.60
4 J. Teze J. Teze 1 👟 M 7.90
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.90
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 84' F 6.60
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.90
Bench
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba 25' M 6.90
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 15' F 6.70
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta 25' M 6.60
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba M
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo S. Idumbo-Muzambo M
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 13' F 6.60
Marseille Marseille 3-4-1-2
1 Gerónimo Rulli Gerónimo Rulli G 6.60
32 Facundo Medina Facundo Medina 1 👟 D 6.90
4
C. Egan-Riley 77' D 6.50
28 Benjamin Pavard Benjamin Pavard D 5.60
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão M 6.60
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 89' M 7.20
27 Quinten Timber Quinten Timber M 6.60
22
Timothy Weah 89' M 6.60
20
Hamed Junior Traorè 73' F 6.30
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 1 ⚽ F 8.30
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang F 6.50
Bench
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago F
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren M
26
Bilal Nadir M
33 Emerson Emerson 8' D 6.30
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri 17' M 6.30
8
H. Abdelli 8' M 6.30
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi 13' D 6.60
6 Tochukwu Nnadi Tochukwu Nnadi M
Best on the pitch
A. Gouiri
A. Gouiri
F · Marseille
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Lukáš Hrádecký
Lukáš Hrádecký
G · Monaco
7.90
· 29 pass
J. Teze
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.90
1 👟
· 27 pass
A. Golovin
A. Golovin
F · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
F. Balogun
F. Balogun
F · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.50
· 47 pass
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 90 7.90 — — — 29 12% — — —
Wout Faes D 90 6.50 — — — 56 48% 1 — —
D. Zakaria D 90 7.00 — — 1 42 41% 1 — —
T. Kehrer D 90 7.50 — — — 47 44% 4 1 —
Christian Mawissa M 65 6.60 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
Lamine Camara M 90 6.60 — — — 69 65% 3 1 —
M. Coulibaly M 65 6.60 — — — 25 18% 1 — —
J. Teze M 90 7.90 — 1 — 27 25% 6 — —
A. Golovin F 75 7.90 1 — 1 27 25% 1 — —
M. Akliouche F 84 6.60 — — 2 28 23% — — —
F. Balogun F 84 7.90 1 — 1 11 6% — — —
Aladji Bamba M 25 6.90 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
Ansu Fati F 15 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Krépin Diatta M 25 6.60 — — — 7 4% 2 — —
Simon Adingra F 13 6.60 — — 1 1 — — — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gerónimo Rulli G 90 6.60 — — — 26 19% — — —
Facundo Medina D 90 6.90 — 1 1 51 45% 1 1 —
C. Egan-Riley D 77 6.50 — — — 28 24% 3 — —
Benjamin Pavard D 90 5.60 — — — 48 38% 1 — —
Igor Paixão M 90 6.60 — — 4 30 24% — — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 89 7.20 — — 2 57 51% — — —
Quinten Timber M 90 6.60 — — 2 54 44% 4 — —
Timothy Weah M 89 6.60 — — 1 41 36% 2 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè F 73 6.30 — — 1 20 13% 1 — —
A. Gouiri F 90 8.30 1 — 1 31 26% — — —
P. Aubameyang F 90 6.50 — — 2 13 10% — — —
Emerson D 8 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Ethan Nwaneri M 17 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
H. Abdelli M 8 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
Leonardo Balerdi D 13 6.60 — — — 13 13% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Marseille?
The final score was Monaco 2–1 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Marseille?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Monaco win, 15% to a draw, and 19% to an Marseille win.