✓Model correct — prediction Monaco
A. Golovin
(ast. J. Teze)
59'
F. Balogun
74'
85'
(ast. F. Medina)
A. Gouiri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 65% win probability (draw 15%, Marseille 19%). The final result was Monaco 2–1 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Monaco have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marseille.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
9
1.17
Actual xG
2.11
7
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
0
Corners
8
22
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Lamine Camara
8'
34'
Facundo Medina
⚽A. Golovin
· ast. J. Teze
59'
C. Mawissa
/ K. Diatta
65'
M. Coulibaly
/ A. Bamba
65'
Thilo Kehrer
71'
73'
E. Nwaneri
/
H. J. Traore
⚽F. Balogun
74'
A. Golovin
/ A. Fati
75'
77'
L. Balerdi
/
C. Egan-Riley
F. Balogun
/ M. Biereth
84'
M. Akliouche
/ S. Adingra
84'
85'
ast. F. Medina ·
A. Gouiri⚽
87'
Leonardo Balerdi
89'
Emerson
/
T. Weah
89'
H. Abdelli
/
P. Hojbjerg
Pre-match prediction
65.14%
Monaco ←
15.7%
X
19.15%
Marseille
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco)
65.14%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.72
1.17
-1.55
1.09
2.11
+1.02
Marseille dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
Lukáš Hrádecký
G
25
Wout Faes
D
Wout Faes
D
6
D. Zakaria
D
D. Zakaria
D
5
T. Kehrer
D
T. Kehrer
D
13
Christian Mawissa
65'
M
Christian Mawissa
65'
M
15
L. Camara
M
L. Camara
M
28
M. Coulibaly
65'
M
M. Coulibaly
65'
M
4
J. Teze
1 👟
M
J. Teze
1 👟
M
10
A. Golovin
1 ⚽
75'
F
A. Golovin
1 ⚽
75'
F
11
Maghnes Akliouche
84'
F
Maghnes Akliouche
84'
F
9
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
84'
F
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
23
Aladji Bamba
25'
M
Aladji Bamba
25'
M
31
Ansu Fati
15'
F
Ansu Fati
15'
F
27
Krépin Diatta
25'
M
Krépin Diatta
25'
M
8
Paul Pogba
M
Paul Pogba
M
17
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
M
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
M
24
Simon Adingra
13'
F
Simon Adingra
13'
F
1
G. Rulli
G
G. Rulli
G
32
F. Medina
1 👟
D
F. Medina
1 👟
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
77'
D
28
Benjamin Pavard
D
Benjamin Pavard
D
14
Igor Paixão
M
Igor Paixão
M
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
89'
M
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
89'
M
27
Quinten Timber
M
Quinten Timber
M
22
T. Weah
89'
M
T. Weah
89'
M
20
Hamed Junior Traorè
73'
F
9
A. Gouiri
1 ⚽
F
A. Gouiri
1 ⚽
F
17
P. Aubameyang
F
P. Aubameyang
F
Bench
78
Ange Lago
F
Ange Lago
F
18
Arthur Vermeeren
M
Arthur Vermeeren
M
26
Bilal Nadir
M
Bilal Nadir
M
33
Emerson
8'
D
Emerson
8'
D
11
Ethan Nwaneri
17'
M
Ethan Nwaneri
17'
M
8
H. Abdelli
8'
M
5
Leonardo Balerdi
13'
D
Leonardo Balerdi
13'
D
6
T. Nnadi
M
T. Nnadi
M
Best on the pitch
A. Gouiri
F · Marseille
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Lukáš Hrádecký
G · Monaco
7.90
· 29 pass
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.90
1 👟
· 27 pass
A. Golovin
F · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
F. Balogun
F · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.50
· 47 pass
Monaco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Hrádecký | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Wout Faes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Kehrer | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Christian Mawissa | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 65% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Teze | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Golovin | F | 75 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Maghnes Akliouche | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Aladji Bamba | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Krépin Diatta | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Adingra | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rulli | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Quinten Timber | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Weah | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Hamed Junior Traorè | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| P. Aubameyang | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Nwaneri | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monaco vs Marseille?
The final score was Monaco 2–1 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Monaco vs Marseille?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Monaco win, 15% to a draw, and 19% to an Marseille win.