Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 22, 2026 02:05
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Monterrey 30%). The final result was Monterrey 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
1.19
Actual xG
1.10
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
30.6%
Monterrey
23.28%
X
46.12%
Guadalajara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
46.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.19
+0.02
1.86
1.10
-0.76
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Monterrey 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Monterrey win, 23% to a draw, and 46% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.