Liga MX · Clausura - 12 March 22, 2026 02:05

Monterrey

#10 · 13 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Guadalajara Chivas

#3 · 18 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 46% win probability (draw 23%, Monterrey 30%). The final result was Monterrey 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas. In 1 previous meetings, Monterrey have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

5

1.19

Actual xG

1.10

63%

Possession

37%

9

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

30.6%

Monterrey

23.28%

X

46.12%

Guadalajara ←

we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas) 46.12% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Monterrey

1.17

1.19

+0.02

Guadalajara

1.86

1.10

-0.76

xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.10). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Toluca	10	20
2	Club America	9	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	18
4	Club Queretaro	9	17
5	Leon	10	17
6	Atlas	10	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	14
9	Puebla	10	14
10	Monterrey	9	13
11	CF Pachuca	10	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	10	12
13	Atletico San Luis	10	12
14	Atlante FC	10	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	10
17	Necaxa	10	8
18	FC Juarez	10	3