← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 11, 2026 19:30
Monza
#3 · 76 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Bari
#17 · 40 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Monza
P. Obiang (ast. A. Petagna) 50'
M. Pessina (ast. G. Caso) 79'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Bari 11%). The final result was Monza 2–0 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bari.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
0
2.01
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽P. Obiang · ast. A. Petagna
50'
64'
Giulio Maggiore
↕ P. Obiang / L. Colombo
66'
66'
M. Verreth / G. Maggiore ↕
66'
M. Dorval / M. Mane ↕
↕ D. Mota / G. Caso
67'
↕ S. Birindelli / A. Bakoune
67'
Andrea Petagna
70'
⚽M. Pessina · ast. G. Caso
79'
82'
N. Cavuoti / K. Piscopo ↕
82'
M. Cuni / T. Esteves ↕
↕ A. Petagna / A. Alvarez
83'
83'
C. Gytkjaer / G. Moncini ↕
↕ L. Lucchesi / A. Carboni
89'
90'+4
Mehdi Dorval
Pre-match prediction
65.78%
Monza ←
22.58%
X
11.64%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Monza) 65.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Monza
2.08
2.01
-0.07
Bari
0.90
0.21
-0.69
Monza dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Monza Monza 3-4-2-1
20
G 6.70
3
L. Lucchesi 89' D 7.20
15
F. Delli Carri D 7.20
13
D 6.90
7 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi M 7.00
32
M. Pessina 1 ⚽ M 8.30
14
P. Obiang 1 ⚽ 66' M 8.60
19
S. Birindelli 67' M 7.70
47
D. Mota 67' F 6.20
28
A. Colpani F 7.90
37 A. Petagna A. Petagna 1 👟 83' F 7.20
Bench
24
A. Bakoune 29' D 7.30
30
G. Caso 1 👟 29' M 7.50
8
Hernani M
26
P. Ciurria F
Bari Bari 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.30
13
V. Mantovani D 7.00
26
C. Odenthal D 6.90
51
A. Cistana D 6.90
28
K. Piscopo 82' M 6.60
80
F. Artioli M 6.90
18
Giulio Maggiore 66' M 7.00
30
Balla Moussa Mane 66' M 6.60
17
F 6.20
19
T. Esteves 82' F 6.30
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini 83' F 6.70
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou D
66
D. Traore M
27
M. Braunoder M
90
M. Cuni 14' F 6.30
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval 30' D 7.20
29
M. Verreth 30' M 6.60
8
R. Pagano M
Best on the pitch
P. Obiang
M · Monza
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
M. Pessina
M · Monza
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 77 pass
A. Colpani
F · Monza
7.90
2 shots · 41 pass
S. Birindelli
M · Monza
7.70
2 shots · 30 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
A. Bakoune
D · Monza
7.30
· 4 pass
Monza Monza — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.70 — — — 45 32% — — —
L. Lucchesi D 89 7.20 — — — 78 74% — — —
F. Delli Carri D 96 7.20 — — 1 52 49% 5 — —
D 96 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 2 — —
Paulo Azzi M 96 7.00 — — 1 46 39% — — —
M. Pessina M 96 8.30 1 — 2 77 66% — — —
P. Obiang M 66 8.60 1 — 1 62 55% — — —
S. Birindelli M 67 7.70 — — 2 30 24% 2 — —
D. Mota F 67 6.20 — — — 26 26% — — —
A. Colpani F 96 7.90 — — 2 41 36% 5 — —
A. Petagna F 83 7.20 — 1 1 24 19% — 1 —
A. Bakoune D 29 7.30 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
G. Caso M 29 7.50 — 1 1 11 7% — — —
Bari Bari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.30 — — — 24 15% — — —
V. Mantovani D 96 7.00 — — — 34 25% 1 — —
C. Odenthal D 96 6.90 — — — 39 35% 5 — —
A. Cistana D 96 6.90 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
K. Piscopo M 82 6.60 — — — 15 11% 3 — —
F. Artioli M 96 6.90 — — 1 43 37% 2 — —
Giulio Maggiore M 66 7.00 — — — 23 20% 1 1 —
Balla Moussa Mane M 66 6.60 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
F 96 6.20 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
T. Esteves F 82 6.30 — — — 26 25% — — —
G. Moncini F 83 6.70 — — 1 14 10% — — —
M. Cuni F 14 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
M. Dorval D 30 7.20 — — — 13 11% — 1 —
M. Verreth M 30 6.60 — — 1 19 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Bari?
The final score was Monza 2–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Bari?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Monza win, 22% to a draw, and 11% to an Bari win.