✓Model correct — prediction Monza
P. Obiang
(ast. A. Petagna)
50'
M. Pessina
(ast. G. Caso)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Bari 11%). The final result was Monza 2–0 Bari. In 1 previous meetings, Monza have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bari.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
0
2.01
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽P. Obiang
· ast. A. Petagna
50'
64'
Giulio Maggiore
P. Obiang
/ L. Colombo
66'
66'
M. Verreth
/
G. Maggiore
66'
M. Dorval
/
M. Mane
D. Mota
/ G. Caso
67'
S. Birindelli
/ A. Bakoune
67'
Andrea Petagna
70'
⚽M. Pessina
· ast. G. Caso
79'
82'
N. Cavuoti
/
K. Piscopo
82'
M. Cuni
/
T. Esteves
A. Petagna
/ A. Alvarez
83'
83'
C. Gytkjaer
/
G. Moncini
L. Lucchesi
/ A. Carboni
89'
90'+4
Mehdi Dorval
Pre-match prediction
65.78%
Monza ←
22.58%
X
11.64%
Bari
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
65.78%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
2.01
-0.07
0.90
0.21
-0.69
Monza dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
3
L. Lucchesi
89'
D
L. Lucchesi
89'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
F. Delli Carri
D
13
D
7
Paulo Azzi
M
Paulo Azzi
M
32
M. Pessina
1 ⚽
M
M. Pessina
1 ⚽
M
14
Pedro Obiang
1 ⚽
66'
M
Pedro Obiang
1 ⚽
66'
M
19
S. Birindelli
67'
M
S. Birindelli
67'
M
47
Dany Mota
67'
F
Dany Mota
67'
F
28
A. Colpani
F
A. Colpani
F
37
A. Petagna
1 👟
83'
F
A. Petagna
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
24
A. Bakoune
29'
D
A. Bakoune
29'
D
30
G. Caso
1 👟
29'
M
G. Caso
1 👟
29'
M
8
Hernani
M
Hernani
M
26
P. Ciurria
F
P. Ciurria
F
1
G
13
Valerio Mantovani
D
Valerio Mantovani
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
51
A. Cistana
D
28
K. Piscopo
82'
M
K. Piscopo
82'
M
80
F. Artioli
M
F. Artioli
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
66'
M
Giulio Maggiore
66'
M
30
Moussa Mane
66'
M
Moussa Mane
66'
M
17
F
19
Tomás Esteves
82'
F
Tomás Esteves
82'
F
11
G. Moncini
83'
F
G. Moncini
83'
F
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou
D
D. Nikolaou
D
66
D. Traoré
M
D. Traoré
M
90
Marvin Çuni
14'
F
Marvin Çuni
14'
F
29
Matthias Verreth
30'
M
Matthias Verreth
30'
M
27
M. Braunöder
M
M. Braunöder
M
93
M. Dorval
30'
D
M. Dorval
30'
D
8
R. Pagano
M
R. Pagano
M
Best on the pitch
Pedro Obiang
M · Monza
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
M. Pessina
M · Monza
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 77 pass
A. Colpani
F · Monza
7.90
2 shots
· 41 pass
S. Birindelli
M · Monza
7.70
2 shots
· 30 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
A. Bakoune
D · Monza
7.30
· 4 pass
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 74% | — | — | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Pessina | M | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 77 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 66 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 67 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bakoune | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 29 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Cistana | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Artioli | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Moussa Mane | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — | |
| Tomás Esteves | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Moncini | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Matthias Verreth | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorval | D | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Monza vs Bari?
The final score was Monza 2–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Monza vs Bari?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Monza win, 22% to a draw, and 11% to an Bari win.