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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 16:30
Moreirense
#7 · 42 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Estrela
#15 · 29 pts
Alanzinho 45'+1
L. Semedo (ast. Kiko) 73'
Maracas 90'+4
(pen.) 13' Jovane
(pen.) 36' I. Stoica

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Estrela a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Moreirense 32%). The final result was Moreirense 3–2 Estrela. In 1 previous meetings, Moreirense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estrela.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
2.75
1
Saves
2
66%
Possession
34%
1
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Caio
12'
13'
(pen.) Jovane⚽
25'
Rodrigo Pinho
31'
M. Scholze
36'
(pen.) I. Stoica⚽
Rodri
40'
⚽Alanzinho
45'+1
⚽Alanzinho (missed pen.)
45'
↕ A. Assis / Yan Maranhao
46'
↕ M. Stjepanovic / N. John
46'
Fabiano
50'
64'
S. van Hooijdonk / Rodrigo Pinho ↕
↕ Landerson / Kiko
68'
↕ Alanzinho / L. Semedo
68'
69'
J. Encada / B. Langa ↕
69'
K. Jansson / Jovane ↕
⚽L. Semedo · ast. Kiko
73'
↕ Fabiano / L. Santos
76'
77'
J. Encada
81'
J. Meireles / A. Sola ↕
81'
T. Moustier / A. Marcus ↕
G. Batista
90'+4
90'+4
Otavio
⚽Maracas
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
32.08%
Moreirense ←
33.82%
X
34.1%
Estrela
we assigned to the actual result (Moreirense) 32.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Moreirense
0.68
1.68
+1.0
Estrela
0.86
2.75
+1.89
Estrela dominated by xG (2.75 vs 1.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Moreirense Moreirense 4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco Caio Secco G 5.90
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos D 6.60
26 Maracás Maracás 1 ⚽ D 8.90
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D 6.70
70 Fabiano Souza Fabiano Souza 76' D 6.00
21
Rodri M 7.90
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis 45' M 6.60
78 Landerson Landerson 68' M 7.30
8 Mateja Stjepanović Mateja Stjepanović 45' M 6.50
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso M 6.90
11 Alan Alan 1 ⚽ 68' F 6.70
Bench
13
André Ferreira G
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia F
27 Kiko Kiko 1 👟 22' D 7.30
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.30
23 Nile John Nile John 45' M 6.60
99 Yan Maranhão Yan Maranhão 45' F 5.60
Estrela Estrela 4-2-3-1
40
G 6.30
24 Bruno Langa Bruno Langa 70' D 6.70
83
Otavio D 6.50
30 Luan Patrick Luan Patrick D 6.00
21 Max Scholze Max Scholze D 6.70
63 Alex Sola Alex Sola 81' M 6.90
19
M 6.30
10 Ianis Stoica Ianis Stoica 1 ⚽ M 7.00
11 Jovane Cabral Jovane Cabral 1 ⚽ 70' M 7.30
99 A. Marcus A. Marcus 81' M 6.20
9 Rodrigo Pinho Rodrigo Pinho 64' F 6.70
Bench
39 Eddy Doué Eddy Doué M
17 Jefferson Encada Jefferson Encada 20' D 7.30
18 Jorge Meireles Jorge Meireles 9' F 6.30
6 Kevin Höög Jansson Kevin Höög Jansson 20' M 6.70
20 Sydney van Hooijdonk Sydney van Hooijdonk 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Maracás
Maracás
D · Moreirense
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 79 pass
Rodri
M · Moreirense
7.90
1 shots · 60 pass
Luís Semedo
Luís Semedo
F · Moreirense
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral
M · Estrela
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada
D · Estrela
7.30
· 9 pass
Landerson
Landerson
M · Moreirense
7.30
· 28 pass
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Caio Secco G 90 5.90 — — — 26 24% — 1 —
Diogo Travassos D 90 6.60 — — 1 58 49% 4 — —
Maracás D 90 8.90 1 — 1 79 71% 3 — —
Gilberto Batista D 90 6.70 — — — 89 81% 2 1 —
Fabiano Souza D 76 6.00 — — — 47 40% — 1 —
Rodri M 90 7.90 — — 1 60 55% — 1 —
Afonso Assis M 45 6.60 — — — 37 32% — — —
Landerson M 68 7.30 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Mateja Stjepanović M 45 6.50 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Kiko Bondoso M 90 6.90 — — — 41 32% 2 — —
Alan F 68 6.70 1 — 2 39 34% — — —
Kiko D 22 7.30 — 1 — 7 6% 2 — —
Luís Semedo F 22 7.30 1 — 1 7 4% — — —
Nile John M 45 6.60 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Yan Maranhão F 45 5.60 — — 2 4 3% 1 — —
Estrela Estrela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 32 10% — — —
Bruno Langa D 70 6.70 — — — 19 11% — — —
Otavio D 90 6.50 — — — 29 22% — 1 —
Luan Patrick D 90 6.00 — — — 35 26% 2 — —
Max Scholze D 90 6.70 — — — 32 27% 5 1 —
Alex Sola M 81 6.90 — — — 19 16% 2 — —
M 90 6.30 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Ianis Stoica M 90 7.00 1 — 2 17 14% — — —
Jovane Cabral M 70 7.30 1 — 2 19 18% 2 — —
A. Marcus M 81 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
Rodrigo Pinho F 64 6.70 — — 1 10 6% 1 1 —
Jefferson Encada D 20 7.30 — — — 9 7% — 1 —
Jorge Meireles F 9 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Kevin Höög Jansson M 20 6.70 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Sydney van Hooijdonk F 26 6.30 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Estrela?
The final score was Moreirense 3–2 Estrela.
What did the model predict before Moreirense vs Estrela?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Moreirense win, 33% to a draw, and 34% to an Estrela win.