← Ekstraklasa
#10 · 42 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#4 · 49 pts
M. Ndiaye (ast. B. van Hoeven) 67'
(pen.) 90' J. Brunes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Raków Częstochowa 24%). The final result was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.12
Actual xG
2.15
4
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
10
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
10'
O. Repka / K. Struski
46'
J. C. Silva / M. Ameyaw
Fabio Ronaldo / B. van Hoeven
59'
59'
T. Pienko / M. Ilenic
59'
I. Brusberg / L. Diaby-Fadiga
M. Ndiaye · ast. B. van Hoeven
67'
74'
L. Rocha / P. Makuch
Bright Ede
75'
K. Czubak / R. Dadashov
79'
B. Ede / A. Najemski
79'
B. Wolski / M. Scalet
79'
P. Stolarski / F. Wojcik
85'
Jakub Łabojko
90'+1
Mbaye Ndiaye
90'+3
90'
90'
(pen.) J. Brunes
Pre-match prediction
46.46%
Motor
29.2%
X ←
24.34%
Raków
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Motor
1.42
1.12
-0.29
Raków
0.82
2.15
+1.33
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Lineups
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
1
I. Brkic G 6.90
24 Filip Luberecki Filip Luberecki D 5.90
3 Herve Matthys Herve Matthys D 6.50
42 Bright Ede Bright Ede 79' D 6.50
28 Paweł Stolarski Paweł Stolarski 85' D 6.90
21 Jakub Łabojko Jakub Łabojko M 7.00
11 Fábio Ronaldo Fábio Ronaldo 59' M 6.60
7 Ivo Rodrigues Ivo Rodrigues M 6.20
68 Bartosz Wolski Bartosz Wolski 79' M 6.90
30 Mbaye Ndiaye Mbaye Ndiaye 1 ⚽ M 7.90
9 Karol Czubak Karol Czubak 79' F 6.50
Bench
19 Bradly Van Hoeven Bradly Van Hoeven 1 👟 31' M 6.90
17 Filip Wójcik Filip Wójcik 11' D 6.20
48
G 7.30
4 Stratos Svarnas Stratos Svarnas D 7.60
25
D 6.50
2
D 7.20
19 Michael Ameyaw Michael Ameyaw 45' M 7.20
5 Marko Bulat Marko Bulat M 7.20
23
K. Struski 10' M 6.70
35 Mitja Ilenič Mitja Ilenič 59' M 7.00
9 Patryk Makuch Patryk Makuch 74' F 7.30
18 Jonatan Braut Brunes Jonatan Braut Brunes 1 ⚽ F 7.90
80 Mohamed Lamine Diaby Mohamed Lamine Diaby 59' F 7.50
Bench
39
I. Brusberg 31' M 6.50
20 Jean Carlos Silva Jean Carlos Silva 45' M 6.90
17 Leonardo Rocha Leonardo Rocha 16' F 6.50
6 Oskar Repka Oskar Repka 80' M 6.30
8 Tomasz Pieńko Tomasz Pieńko 31' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes
F · Raków
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye
M · Motor
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas
D · Raków
7.60
· 54 pass
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
F · Raków
7.50
2 shots · 10 pass
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch
F · Raków
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
G · Raków
7.30
· 27 pass
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Brkic G 90 6.90 31 18%
Filip Luberecki D 90 5.90 42 34% 2
Herve Matthys D 90 6.50 56 49% 1
Bright Ede D 79 6.50 32 28% 1 1
Paweł Stolarski D 85 6.90 1 22 17% 3
Jakub Łabojko M 90 7.00 1 49 40% 1 1
Fábio Ronaldo M 59 6.60 18 12% 1
Ivo Rodrigues M 90 6.20 1 50 36%
Bartosz Wolski M 79 6.90 2 34 27%
Mbaye Ndiaye M 90 7.90 1 1 12 8% 1
Karol Czubak F 79 6.50 7 2%
Bradly Van Hoeven M 31 6.90 1 9 5% 1
Filip Wójcik D 11 6.20 1 1%
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 27 14%
Stratos Svarnas D 90 7.60 54 49% 4
D 90 6.50 1 19 18%
D 90 7.20 32 26% 2
Michael Ameyaw M 45 7.20 16 12% 1
Marko Bulat M 90 7.20 1 55 51% 1
K. Struski M 10 6.70 3 1% 1
Mitja Ilenič M 59 7.00 17 13%
Patryk Makuch F 74 7.30 1 23 12% 1
Jonatan Braut Brunes F 90 7.90 1 4 9 6% 3
Mohamed Lamine Diaby F 59 7.50 2 10 9% 2
I. Brusberg M 31 6.50 1 8 4%
Jean Carlos Silva M 45 6.90 24 17% 2
Leonardo Rocha F 16 6.50 5 1%
Oskar Repka M 80 6.30 40 30%
Tomasz Pieńko M 31 6.30 13 8%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?
The final score was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Raków Częstochowa win.