Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 12, 2026 14:45 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

#16 · 5 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 3 pts

M. Ndiaye (ast. B. van Hoeven) 67'

(pen.) 90' J. Brunes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Raków Częstochowa 24%). The final result was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. In 2 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

10

4

Shots on target

5

1.12

Actual xG

2.15

4

Saves

3

51%

Possession

49%

7

Corners

4

10

Tackles

17

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

10'

O. Repka / K. Struski ↕

46'

J. C. Silva / M. Ameyaw ↕

↕ Fabio Ronaldo / B. van Hoeven

59'

59'

T. Pienko / M. Ilenic ↕

59'

I. Brusberg / L. Diaby-Fadiga ↕

⚽M. Ndiaye · ast. B. van Hoeven

67'

74'

L. Rocha / P. Makuch ↕

Bright Ede

75'

↕ K. Czubak / R. Dadashov

79'

↕ B. Ede / A. Najemski

79'

↕ B. Wolski / M. Scalet

79'

↕ P. Stolarski / F. Wojcik

85'

Jakub Łabojko

90'+1

Mbaye Ndiaye

90'+3

90'

90'

(pen.) J. Brunes⚽

Pre-match prediction

46.46%

Motor

29.2%

X ←

24.34%

Raków

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.2% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Motor

1.42

1.12

-0.29

Raków

0.82

2.15

+1.33

Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	7	18
2	Legia Warszawa	8	16
3	Lech Poznan	7	16
4	Wisla Krakow	8	14
5	Pogon Szczecin	7	12
6	Korona Kielce	7	12
7	Zaglebie Lubin	7	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	12
9	Piast Gliwice	7	10
10	GKS Katowice	7	9
11	Widzew Łódź	8	8
12	Cracovia Krakow	8	8
13	Wisla Plock	7	8
14	Radomiak Radom	7	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	5
17	Wieczysta Kraków	7	4
18	Raków Częstochowa	7	3

Lineups

Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1

1 I. Brkić G 6.90

24 F. Luberecki D 5.90

3 H. Matthys D 6.50

42 B. Ede 79' D 6.50

28 Paweł Stolarski 85' D 6.90

21 J. Łabojko M 7.00

11 Fábio Ronaldo 59' M 6.60

7 Ivo Rodrigues M 6.20

68 B. Wolski 79' M 6.90

30 M. Ndiaye 1 ⚽ M 7.90

9 K. Czubak 79' F 6.50

Bench

19

B. van Hoeven 1 👟 31' M 6.90

17 Filip Wójcik 11' D 6.20

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

48

G 7.30

4 S. Svarnas D 7.60

25

D 6.50

2

D 7.20

19 M. Ameyaw 45' M 7.20

5 M. Bulat M 7.20

23 K. Struski 10' M 6.70

35 M. Ilenič 59' M 7.00

9 P. Makuch 74' F 7.30

18 J. Braut Brunes 1 ⚽ F 7.90

80 L. Diaby-Fadiga 59' F 7.50

Bench

39 I. Brusberg 31' M 6.50

20 Jean Carlos 45' M 6.90

17 Leonardo Rocha 16' F 6.50

6 O. Repka 80' M 6.30

8 T. Pieńko 31' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

J. Braut Brunes

F · Raków

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 9 pass

M. Ndiaye

M · Motor

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

S. Svarnas

D · Raków

7.60

· 54 pass

L. Diaby-Fadiga

F · Raków

7.50

2 shots · 10 pass

P. Makuch

F · Raków

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

G · Raków

7.30

· 27 pass

Motor Lublin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Brkić	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	31	18%	—	—	—
F. Luberecki	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	42	34%	2	—	—
H. Matthys	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	56	49%	1	—	—
B. Ede	D	79	6.50	—	—	—	32	28%	1	1	—
Paweł Stolarski	D	85	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	3	—	—
J. Łabojko	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	49	40%	1	1	—
Fábio Ronaldo	M	59	6.60	—	—	—	18	12%	1	—	—
Ivo Rodrigues	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	50	36%	—	—	—
B. Wolski	M	79	6.90	—	—	2	34	27%	—	—	—
M. Ndiaye	M	90	7.90	1	—	1	12	8%	—	1	—
K. Czubak	F	79	6.50	—	—	—	7	2%	—	—	—
B. van Hoeven	M	31	6.90	—	1	—	9	5%	1	—	—
Filip Wójcik	D	11	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	14%	—	—	—
S. Svarnas	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	54	49%	4	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	19	18%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	26%	2	—	—
M. Ameyaw	M	45	7.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
M. Bulat	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	55	51%	1	—	—
K. Struski	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—
M. Ilenič	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
P. Makuch	F	74	7.30	—	—	1	23	12%	1	—	—
J. Braut Brunes	F	90	7.90	1	—	4	9	6%	3	—	—
L. Diaby-Fadiga	F	59	7.50	—	—	2	10	9%	2	—	—
I. Brusberg	M	31	6.50	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
Leonardo Rocha	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—
O. Repka	M	80	6.30	—	—	—	40	30%	—	—	—
T. Pieńko	M	31	6.30	—	—	—	13	8%	—	—	—