Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 28
April 12, 2026 16:45
M. Ndiaye
(ast. B. van Hoeven)
67'
(pen.)
90'
J. Brunes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Raków Częstochowa 24%). The final result was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Raków Częstochowa.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.12
Actual xG
2.15
4
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
10
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
10'
O. Repka
/
K. Struski
46'
J. C. Silva
/
M. Ameyaw
Fabio Ronaldo
/ B. van Hoeven
59'
59'
T. Pienko
/
M. Ilenic
59'
I. Brusberg
/
L. Diaby-Fadiga
⚽M. Ndiaye
· ast. B. van Hoeven
67'
74'
L. Rocha
/
P. Makuch
Bright Ede
75'
K. Czubak
/ R. Dadashov
79'
B. Ede
/ A. Najemski
79'
B. Wolski
/ M. Scalet
79'
P. Stolarski
/ F. Wojcik
85'
Jakub Łabojko
90'+1
Mbaye Ndiaye
90'+3
90'
90'
(pen.)
J. Brunes⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.46%
Motor
29.2%
X ←
24.34%
Raków
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.12
-0.29
0.82
2.15
+1.33
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
I. Brkic
G
24
Filip Luberecki
D
Filip Luberecki
D
3
Herve Matthys
D
Herve Matthys
D
42
Bright Ede
79'
D
Bright Ede
79'
D
28
Paweł Stolarski
85'
D
Paweł Stolarski
85'
D
21
Jakub Łabojko
M
Jakub Łabojko
M
11
Fábio Ronaldo
59'
M
Fábio Ronaldo
59'
M
7
Ivo Rodrigues
M
Ivo Rodrigues
M
68
Bartosz Wolski
79'
M
Bartosz Wolski
79'
M
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
1 ⚽
M
Mbaye Ndiaye
1 ⚽
M
9
Karol Czubak
79'
F
Karol Czubak
79'
F
Bench
19
Bradly Van Hoeven
1 👟
31'
M
Bradly Van Hoeven
1 👟
31'
M
17
Filip Wójcik
11'
D
Filip Wójcik
11'
D
48
G
4
Stratos Svarnas
D
Stratos Svarnas
D
25
D
2
D
19
Michael Ameyaw
45'
M
Michael Ameyaw
45'
M
5
Marko Bulat
M
Marko Bulat
M
23
K. Struski
10'
M
35
Mitja Ilenič
59'
M
Mitja Ilenič
59'
M
9
Patryk Makuch
74'
F
Patryk Makuch
74'
F
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
1 ⚽
F
Jonatan Braut Brunes
1 ⚽
F
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
59'
F
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
59'
F
Bench
39
I. Brusberg
31'
M
20
Jean Carlos Silva
45'
M
Jean Carlos Silva
45'
M
17
Leonardo Rocha
16'
F
Leonardo Rocha
16'
F
6
Oskar Repka
80'
M
Oskar Repka
80'
M
8
Tomasz Pieńko
31'
M
Tomasz Pieńko
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Jonatan Braut Brunes
F · Raków
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 9 pass
Mbaye Ndiaye
M · Motor
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Stratos Svarnas
D · Raków
7.60
· 54 pass
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
F · Raków
7.50
2 shots
· 10 pass
Patryk Makuch
F · Raków
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
G · Raków
7.30
· 27 pass
Motor Lublin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Brkic | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Filip Luberecki | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Herve Matthys | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Bright Ede | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paweł Stolarski | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Jakub Łabojko | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fábio Ronaldo | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivo Rodrigues | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Wolski | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Mbaye Ndiaye | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Karol Czubak | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Bradly Van Hoeven | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Wójcik | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Stratos Svarnas | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Michael Ameyaw | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Marko Bulat | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Struski | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Mitja Ilenič | M | 59 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Lamine Diaby | F | 59 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Brusberg | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Silva | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonardo Rocha | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Repka | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?
The final score was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Raków Częstochowa win.