Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 12, 2026 14:45 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

#12 · 13 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 6 pts

M. Ndiaye (ast. B. van Hoeven) 67'

(pen.) 90' J. Brunes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Raków Częstochowa 24%). The final result was Motor Lublin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. In 2 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Raków Częstochowa.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

10

4

Shots on target

5

1.12

Actual xG

2.15

4

Saves

3

51%

Possession

49%

7

Corners

4

10

Tackles

17

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

10'

O. Repka / K. Struski ↕

46'

J. C. Silva / M. Ameyaw ↕

↕ Fabio Ronaldo / B. van Hoeven

59'

59'

T. Pienko / M. Ilenic ↕

59'

I. Brusberg / L. Diaby-Fadiga ↕

⚽M. Ndiaye · ast. B. van Hoeven

67'

74'

L. Rocha / P. Makuch ↕

Bright Ede

75'

↕ K. Czubak / R. Dadashov

79'

↕ B. Ede / A. Najemski

79'

↕ B. Wolski / M. Scalet

79'

↕ P. Stolarski / F. Wojcik

85'

Jakub Łabojko

90'+1

Mbaye Ndiaye

90'+3

90'

90'

(pen.) J. Brunes⚽

Pre-match prediction

46.46%

Motor

29.2%

X ←

24.34%

Raków

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.2% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Motor

1.42

1.12

-0.29

Raków

0.82

2.15

+1.33

Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1

1 I. Brkić G 6.90

24 F. Luberecki D 5.90

3 H. Matthys D 6.50

42 B. Ede 79' D 6.50

28 Paweł Stolarski 85' D 6.90

21 J. Łabojko M 7.00

11 Fábio Ronaldo 59' M 6.60

7 Ivo Rodrigues M 6.20

68 B. Wolski 79' M 6.90

30 M. Ndiaye 1 ⚽ M 7.90

9 K. Czubak 79' F 6.50

Bench

19

B. van Hoeven 1 👟 31' M 6.90

17 Filip Wójcik 11' D 6.20

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

48

G 7.30

4 S. Svarnas D 7.60

25

D 6.50

2

D 7.20

19 M. Ameyaw 45' M 7.20

5 M. Bulat M 7.20

23 K. Struski 10' M 6.70

35 M. Ilenič 59' M 7.00

9 P. Makuch 74' F 7.30

18 J. Braut Brunes 1 ⚽ F 7.90

80 L. Diaby-Fadiga 59' F 7.50

Bench

39 I. Brusberg 31' M 6.50

20 Jean Carlos 45' M 6.90

17 Leonardo Rocha 16' F 6.50

6 O. Repka 80' M 6.30

8 T. Pieńko 31' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

J. Braut Brunes

F · Raków

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 9 pass

M. Ndiaye

M · Motor

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

S. Svarnas

D · Raków

7.60

· 54 pass

L. Diaby-Fadiga

F · Raków

7.50

2 shots · 10 pass

P. Makuch

F · Raków

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

G · Raków

7.30

· 27 pass

Motor Lublin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Brkić	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	31	18%	—	—	—
F. Luberecki	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	42	34%	2	—	—
H. Matthys	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	56	49%	1	—	—
B. Ede	D	79	6.50	—	—	—	32	28%	1	1	—
Paweł Stolarski	D	85	6.90	—	—	1	22	17%	3	—	—
J. Łabojko	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	49	40%	1	1	—
Fábio Ronaldo	M	59	6.60	—	—	—	18	12%	1	—	—
Ivo Rodrigues	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	50	36%	—	—	—
B. Wolski	M	79	6.90	—	—	2	34	27%	—	—	—
M. Ndiaye	M	90	7.90	1	—	1	12	8%	—	1	—
K. Czubak	F	79	6.50	—	—	—	7	2%	—	—	—
B. van Hoeven	M	31	6.90	—	1	—	9	5%	1	—	—
Filip Wójcik	D	11	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	27	14%	—	—	—
S. Svarnas	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	54	49%	4	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	19	18%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	32	26%	2	—	—
M. Ameyaw	M	45	7.20	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
M. Bulat	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	55	51%	1	—	—
K. Struski	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	3	1%	1	—	—
M. Ilenič	M	59	7.00	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
P. Makuch	F	74	7.30	—	—	1	23	12%	1	—	—
J. Braut Brunes	F	90	7.90	1	—	4	9	6%	3	—	—
L. Diaby-Fadiga	F	59	7.50	—	—	2	10	9%	2	—	—
I. Brusberg	M	31	6.50	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
Leonardo Rocha	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	5	1%	—	—	—
O. Repka	M	80	6.30	—	—	—	40	30%	—	—	—
T. Pieńko	M	31	6.30	—	—	—	13	8%	—	—	—