← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 22:00
NAC Breda
#17 · 28 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Ajax
#5 · 55 pts
20' (ast. M. Godts) O. Gloukh
41' (ast. W. Weghorst) M. Godts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 40% win probability (draw 32%, NAC Breda 27%). The final result was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, NAC Breda have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
6
1.45
Actual xG
2.43
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
11
Corners
2
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. M. Godts · O. Gloukh⚽
41'
ast. W. Weghorst · M. Godts⚽
↕ R. Paula / P. Reulen
56'
↕ C. Brym / B. Ghalidi
56'
↕ M. Soumano / A. Ayew
56'
56'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
↕ M. Balard / L. Holtby
71'
72'
K. Itakura / S. Berghuis ↕
72'
R. Bounida / Y. Regeer ↕
78'
K. Itakura
↕ C. Leemans / J. Talvitie
82'
82'
O. Edvardsen / M. Godts ↕
85'
W. Weghorst
Pre-match prediction
27.5%
NAC
32.27%
X
40.23%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 40.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NAC
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Ajax
1.04
2.43
+1.39
Ajax dominated by xG (2.43 vs 1.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Bielica Daniel Bielica G 7.20
4
D 6.20
8 Clint Leemans Clint Leemans 82' D 7.00
20 Fredrik Jensen Fredrik Jensen D 6.50
3
D 7.30
14 Kamal Sowah Kamal Sowah M 7.00
16 Maximilien Balard Maximilien Balard 71' M 6.90
7 Charles-Andreas Brym Charles-Andreas Brym 56' M 6.30
10
M. Nassoh M 7.60
11
Raul Paula 56' M 6.30
9 Moussa Soumano Moussa Soumano 56' F 6.50
Bench
19 Amine Salama Amine Salama F
24 André Ayew André Ayew 34' F 6.30
25 Cherrion Valerius Cherrion Valerius D
15 Enes Mahmutović Enes Mahmutović D
32 Juho Talvitie Juho Talvitie 8' F 6.30
90 Lewis Holtby Lewis Holtby 19' M 6.30
22 R. Hillen R. Hillen D
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.90
2
D 7.70
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 Anton Gaaei Anton Gaaei D 6.90
24
M 6.60
6 Youri Regeer Youri Regeer 72' M 7.30
10 Oscar Gloukh Oscar Gloukh 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.70
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' F 9.50
25 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst 1 👟 F 7.20
23 Steven Berghuis Steven Berghuis 72' F 6.90
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Konadu Don-Angelo Konadu F
9 Kasper Dolberg Kasper Dolberg F
4 Ko Itakura Ko Itakura 18' D 6.90
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 8' F 6.30
5
O. Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 34' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 30 pass
G · Ajax
7.90
· 31 pass
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
D · Ajax
7.70
1 shots · 36 pass
M. Nassoh
M · NAC
7.60
1 shots · 52 pass
NAC Breda NAC Breda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Bielica G 90 7.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 46 38% 3 — —
Clint Leemans D 82 7.00 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
Fredrik Jensen D 90 6.50 — — — 82 68% 2 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 54 50% 3 — —
Kamal Sowah M 90 7.00 — — 3 50 48% 4 — —
Maximilien Balard M 71 6.90 — — 1 36 33% 2 — —
Charles-Andreas Brym M 56 6.30 — — 2 8 3% — — —
M. Nassoh M 90 7.60 — — 1 52 47% 2 — —
Raul Paula M 56 6.30 — — 1 20 14% — — —
Moussa Soumano F 56 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
André Ayew F 34 6.30 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Juho Talvitie F 8 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Lewis Holtby M 19 6.30 — — 2 6 3% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 31 16% — — —
D 90 7.70 — — 1 36 31% 10 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 31 29% — — —
Anton Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
M 90 6.60 — — 1 30 23% 3 — —
Youri Regeer M 72 7.30 — — — 34 30% 5 — —
Oscar Gloukh M 56 7.70 1 — 1 27 19% — — —
M. Godts F 82 9.50 1 1 2 29 26% 2 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 7.20 — 1 1 32 23% 2 1 —
Steven Berghuis F 72 6.90 — — — 38 31% — — —
Ko Itakura D 18 6.90 — — — 7 6% 1 1 —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 8 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sean Steur M 34 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The final score was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The model assigned 27% probability to a NAC Breda win, 32% to a draw, and 40% to an Ajax win.