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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 20:00 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
0 – 2
Final score
Ajax
#2 · 21 pts
20' (ast. M. Godts) O. Gloukh
41' (ast. W. Weghorst) M. Godts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 40% win probability (draw 32%, NAC Breda 27%). The final result was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, NAC Breda have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
6
1.45
Actual xG
2.43
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
11
Corners
2
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. M. Godts · O. Gloukh⚽
41'
ast. W. Weghorst · M. Godts⚽
↕ R. Paula / P. Reulen
56'
↕ C. Brym / B. Ghalidi
56'
↕ M. Soumano / A. Ayew
56'
56'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
↕ M. Balard / L. Holtby
71'
72'
K. Itakura / S. Berghuis ↕
72'
R. Bounida / Y. Regeer ↕
78'
K. Itakura
↕ C. Leemans / J. Talvitie
82'
82'
O. Edvardsen / M. Godts ↕
85'
W. Weghorst
Pre-match prediction
27.5%
NAC
32.27%
X
40.23%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 40.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NAC
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Ajax
1.04
2.43
+1.39
Ajax dominated by xG (2.43 vs 1.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-2-3-1
99 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 7.20
4
D 6.20
8 Clint Leemans Clint Leemans 82' D 7.00
20 F. Oldrup Jensen F. Oldrup Jensen D 6.50
3
D 7.30
14 Kamal Sowah Kamal Sowah M 7.00
16 Maximilien Balard Maximilien Balard 71' M 6.90
7 C. Brym C. Brym 56' M 6.30
10 M. Nassoh M. Nassoh M 7.60
11
Raul Paula 56' M 6.30
9 M. Soumano M. Soumano 56' F 6.50
Bench
19 Amine Salama Amine Salama F
24 André Ayew André Ayew 34' F 6.30
25 Cherrion Valerius Cherrion Valerius D
15
E. Mahmutović D
32 Juho Talvitie Juho Talvitie 8' F 6.30
90 L. Holtby L. Holtby 19' M 6.30
22 R. Hillen R. Hillen D
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.90
2
D 7.70
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei D 6.90
24
M 6.60
6 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 72' M 7.30
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.70
11 M. Godts M. Godts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' F 9.50
25 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst 1 👟 F 7.20
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 72' F 6.90
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu F
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg F
4 K. Itakura K. Itakura 18' D 6.90
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 8' F 6.30
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 34' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Godts
M. Godts
F · Ajax
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 30 pass
G · Ajax
7.90
· 31 pass
O. Gloukh
O. Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
D · Ajax
7.70
1 shots · 36 pass
M. Nassoh
M. Nassoh
M · NAC
7.60
1 shots · 52 pass
NAC Breda NAC Breda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Bielica G 90 7.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 46 38% 3 — —
Clint Leemans D 82 7.00 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
F. Oldrup Jensen D 90 6.50 — — — 82 68% 2 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 54 50% 3 — —
Kamal Sowah M 90 7.00 — — 3 50 48% 4 — —
Maximilien Balard M 71 6.90 — — 1 36 33% 2 — —
C. Brym M 56 6.30 — — 2 8 3% — — —
M. Nassoh M 90 7.60 — — 1 52 47% 2 — —
Raul Paula M 56 6.30 — — 1 20 14% — — —
M. Soumano F 56 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
André Ayew F 34 6.30 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Juho Talvitie F 8 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
L. Holtby M 19 6.30 — — 2 6 3% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 31 16% — — —
D 90 7.70 — — 1 36 31% 10 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 31 29% — — —
A. Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
M 90 6.60 — — 1 30 23% 3 — —
Y. Regeer M 72 7.30 — — — 34 30% 5 — —
O. Gloukh M 56 7.70 1 — 1 27 19% — — —
M. Godts F 82 9.50 1 1 2 29 26% 2 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 7.20 — 1 1 32 23% 2 1 —
S. Berghuis F 72 6.90 — — — 38 31% — — —
K. Itakura D 18 6.90 — — — 7 6% 1 1 —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 8 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sean Steur M 34 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The final score was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The model assigned 27% probability to a NAC Breda win, 32% to a draw, and 40% to an Ajax win.