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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 20:00 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
0 – 2
Final score
Ajax
#6 · 0 pts
20' (ast. M. Godts) O. Gloukh
41' (ast. W. Weghorst) M. Godts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 40% win probability (draw 32%, NAC Breda 27%). The final result was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax. In 1 previous meetings, NAC Breda have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
6
1.45
Actual xG
2.43
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
11
Corners
2
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. M. Godts · O. Gloukh⚽
41'
ast. W. Weghorst · M. Godts⚽
↕ R. Paula / P. Reulen
56'
↕ C. Brym / B. Ghalidi
56'
↕ M. Soumano / A. Ayew
56'
56'
S. Steur / O. Gloukh ↕
↕ M. Balard / L. Holtby
71'
72'
K. Itakura / S. Berghuis ↕
72'
R. Bounida / Y. Regeer ↕
78'
K. Itakura
↕ C. Leemans / J. Talvitie
82'
82'
O. Edvardsen / M. Godts ↕
85'
W. Weghorst
Pre-match prediction
27.5%
NAC
32.27%
X
40.23%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 40.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NAC
0.78
1.45
+0.67
Ajax
1.04
2.43
+1.39
Ajax dominated by xG (2.43 vs 1.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cambuur Cambuur 0 0
2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0 0
3 Telstar Telstar 0 0
4 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0 0
5 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0 0
6 Ajax Ajax 0 0
7 Twente Twente 0 0
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0 0
9 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0 0
10 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
11 Utrecht Utrecht 0 0
12 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
13 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
14 Willem II Willem II 0 0
15 Excelsior Excelsior 0 0
16 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0 0
17 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 0 0
18 Groningen Groningen 0 0
Lineups
NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Bielica Daniel Bielica G 7.20
4
D 6.20
8 Clint Leemans Clint Leemans 82' D 7.00
20 Fredrik Jensen Fredrik Jensen D 6.50
3
D 7.30
14 Kamal Sowah Kamal Sowah M 7.00
16 Maximilien Balard Maximilien Balard 71' M 6.90
7 Charles-Andreas Brym Charles-Andreas Brym 56' M 6.30
10 M. Nassoh M. Nassoh M 7.60
11
Raul Paula 56' M 6.30
9 Moussa Soumano Moussa Soumano 56' F 6.50
Bench
19 Amine Salama Amine Salama F
24 André Ayew André Ayew 34' F 6.30
25 Cherrion Valerius Cherrion Valerius D
15 E. Mahmutović E. Mahmutović D
32 Juho Talvitie Juho Talvitie 8' F 6.30
90 L. Holtby L. Holtby 19' M 6.30
22 R. Hillen R. Hillen D
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
26
G 7.90
2
D 7.70
15
D 7.90
37
D 7.20
3 Anton Gaaei Anton Gaaei D 6.90
24
M 6.60
6 Youri Regeer Youri Regeer 72' M 7.30
10 Oscar Gloukh Oscar Gloukh 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.70
11 Mika Godts Mika Godts 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' F 9.50
25 W. Weghorst W. Weghorst 1 👟 F 7.20
23 Steven Berghuis Steven Berghuis 72' F 6.90
Bench
19 Don-Angelo Konadu Don-Angelo Konadu F
9 Kasper Dolberg Kasper Dolberg F
4 Ko Itakura Ko Itakura 18' D 6.90
17 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 8' F 6.30
5 Owen Wijndal Owen Wijndal D
52 Paul Reverson Paul Reverson G
45 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert D
48 Sean Steur Sean Steur 34' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Mika Godts
Mika Godts
F · Ajax
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
D · Ajax
7.90
· 30 pass
G · Ajax
7.90
· 31 pass
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh
M · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
D · Ajax
7.70
1 shots · 36 pass
M. Nassoh
M. Nassoh
M · NAC
7.60
1 shots · 52 pass
NAC Breda NAC Breda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Bielica G 90 7.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 46 38% 3 — —
Clint Leemans D 82 7.00 — — — 83 77% 1 — —
Fredrik Jensen D 90 6.50 — — — 82 68% 2 — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 54 50% 3 — —
Kamal Sowah M 90 7.00 — — 3 50 48% 4 — —
Maximilien Balard M 71 6.90 — — 1 36 33% 2 — —
Charles-Andreas Brym M 56 6.30 — — 2 8 3% — — —
M. Nassoh M 90 7.60 — — 1 52 47% 2 — —
Raul Paula M 56 6.30 — — 1 20 14% — — —
Moussa Soumano F 56 6.50 — — — 11 9% — — —
André Ayew F 34 6.30 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Juho Talvitie F 8 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
L. Holtby M 19 6.30 — — 2 6 3% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 31 16% — — —
D 90 7.70 — — 1 36 31% 10 — —
D 90 7.90 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 31 29% — — —
Anton Gaaei D 90 6.90 — — — 38 34% 2 — —
M 90 6.60 — — 1 30 23% 3 — —
Youri Regeer M 72 7.30 — — — 34 30% 5 — —
Oscar Gloukh M 56 7.70 1 — 1 27 19% — — —
Mika Godts F 82 9.50 1 1 2 29 26% 2 — —
W. Weghorst F 90 7.20 — 1 1 32 23% 2 1 —
Steven Berghuis F 72 6.90 — — — 38 31% — — —
Ko Itakura D 18 6.90 — — — 7 6% 1 1 —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 8 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sean Steur M 34 6.90 — — — 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The final score was NAC Breda 0–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before NAC Breda vs Ajax?
The model assigned 27% probability to a NAC Breda win, 32% to a draw, and 40% to an Ajax win.