← J1 League
#1 · 31 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 4–5
#7 · 23 pts
Model wrong — prediction Nagoya Grampus, result Pareggio
H. Koda 65'
S. Inagaki 120'+1 (pen.)
T. Takamine 120'+2 (pen.)
K. Mikuni 120'+3 (pen.)
Y. Kimura 120'+4 (pen.)
89' (ast. K. Ogura) D. Tagami
(pen.) 120'+1 Lucao
(pen.) 120'+2 T. Yamane
(pen.) 120'+3 D. Tagami
(pen.) 120'+4 K. Kawano
(pen.) 120'+6 K. Ogura

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 18%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. In 1 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fagiano Okayama.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
2
13
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Izumi / H. Koda
46'
46'
T. Yamane / N. Browne
46'
Lucao / Werik Popo
59'
J. Nishikawa / T. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi / S. Sugiura
59'
H. Koda
65'
67'
Leo Gaucho / M. Matsumoto
T. Morishima / K. Mikuni
70'
80'
K. Kawano / A. Esaka
Y. Asano / M. Ono
80'
83'
A. Esaka
85'
K. Ogura
89'
ast. K. Ogura · D. Tagami
S. Inagaki (pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.) Lucao
T. Takamine (pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.) T. Yamane
K. Mikuni (pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.) D. Tagami
Y. Kimura (pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.) K. Kawano
S. Sugiura (missed pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(missed pen.) Leo Gaucho
H. Koda (missed pen.)
120'+6
120'+6
(pen.) K. Ogura
Pre-match prediction
57.91%
Nagoya
23.19%
X ←
18.9%
Fagiano
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nagoya
2.37
Fagiano
0.94
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.20
31 Tomoki Takamine Tomoki Takamine 1 ⚽ D 7.00
13
D 6.30
70 Teruki Hara Teruki Hara D 6.30
27
M 6.70
15 Sho Inagaki Sho Inagaki 1 ⚽ M 8.50
14
T. Morishima 70' M 7.30
9 Yuya Asano Yuya Asano 80' M 6.30
22 Yudai Kimura Yudai Kimura 1 ⚽ F 6.20
7 Ryuji Izumi Ryuji Izumi 45' F 6.20
11 Yuya Yamagishi Yuya Yamagishi 59' F 6.20
Bench
19 Hidemasa Koda Hidemasa Koda 1 ⚽ 50' M 7.30
20 Kennedy Egbus Mikuni Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 1 ⚽ 25' D 6.70
18 Kensuke Nagai Kensuke Nagai F
55 Shuhei Tokumoto Shuhei Tokumoto D
30 Shungo Sugiura Shungo Sugiura 36' F 6.20
33 Taichi Kikuchi Taichi Kikuchi M
2 Yuki Nogami Yuki Nogami D
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
43
D 7.30
18
D. Tagami 2 ⚽ D 8.20
48
D 7.30
45 Noah Kenshin Browne Noah Kenshin Browne 45' M 7.70
5 Kosei Ogura Kosei Ogura 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 6.60
28 Masaya Matsumoto Masaya Matsumoto 67' M 6.30
51 Kosuke Shirai Kosuke Shirai M 7.00
8 Ataru Esaka Ataru Esaka 80' F 6.90
27 Takaya Kimura Takaya Kimura 59' F 6.90
98 Werik Popó Werik Popó 45' F 6.60
Bench
26
H. Motoyama D
40
K. Kawano 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.30
99 Lucão Lucão 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.50
7 Ryo Takeuchi Ryo Takeuchi M
88 Towa Yamane Towa Yamane 1 ⚽ 50' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
Sho Inagaki
Sho Inagaki
M · Nagoya
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 75 pass
D. Tagami
D · Fagiano
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
Noah Kenshin Browne
Noah Kenshin Browne
M · Fagiano
7.70
2 shots · 11 pass
Hidemasa Koda
Hidemasa Koda
M · Nagoya
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
D · Fagiano
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
D · Fagiano
7.30
· 35 pass
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 7.20 73 58%
Tomoki Takamine D 95 7.00 1 1 83 69%
D 95 6.30 91 80%
Teruki Hara D 95 6.30 49 43% 1
M 95 6.70 39 32% 1
Sho Inagaki M 95 8.50 1 1 75 69% 4
T. Morishima M 70 7.30 71 64% 3
Yuya Asano M 80 6.30 21 17%
Yudai Kimura F 95 6.20 1 2 20 18% 1
Ryuji Izumi F 45 6.20 1 20 16%
Yuya Yamagishi F 59 6.20 1 6 3%
Hidemasa Koda M 50 7.30 1 1 8 6%
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D 25 6.70 1 9 8% 2
Shungo Sugiura F 36 6.20 8 6% 1
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.90 19 9%
D 95 7.30 35 29% 2
D. Tagami D 95 8.20 2 2 30 28% 3
D 95 7.30 1 31 26% 2
Noah Kenshin Browne M 45 7.70 2 11 8% 4
Kosei Ogura M 95 6.60 1 1 1 50 39% 1 1
Masaya Matsumoto M 67 6.30 12 8%
Kosuke Shirai M 95 7.00 19 12% 1
Ataru Esaka F 80 6.90 3 32 20% 2 1
Takaya Kimura F 59 6.90 1 16 14% 2
Werik Popó F 45 6.60 1 8 5%
K. Kawano F 15 6.30 1 5 3%
Lucão F 50 6.50 1 1 9 4% 1
Towa Yamane M 50 6.60 1 15 10%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The final score was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama.
What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Fagiano Okayama win.