Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama — pre-match prediction — J1 League — April 29, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 13 April 29, 2026 08:00

Nagoya Grampus

#16 · 6 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 4–5

Fagiano Okayama

#9 · 10 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Nagoya Grampus, result Draw

H. Koda 65'

S. Inagaki 120'+1 (pen.)

T. Takamine 120'+2 (pen.)

K. Mikuni 120'+3 (pen.)

Y. Kimura 120'+4 (pen.)

89' (ast. K. Ogura) D. Tagami

(pen.) 120'+1 Lucao

(pen.) 120'+2 T. Yamane

(pen.) 120'+3 D. Tagami

(pen.) 120'+4 K. Kawano

(pen.) 120'+6 K. Ogura

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 18%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. In 2 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fagiano Okayama.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

65%

Possession

35%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ R. Izumi / H. Koda

46'

T. Yamane / N. Browne ↕

46'

Lucao / Werik Popo ↕

59'

J. Nishikawa / T. Kimura ↕

↕ Y. Yamagishi / S. Sugiura

59'

⚽H. Koda

65'

67'

Leo Gaucho / M. Matsumoto ↕

↕ T. Morishima / K. Mikuni

70'

80'

K. Kawano / A. Esaka ↕

↕ Y. Asano / M. Ono

80'

83'

A. Esaka

85'

K. Ogura

89'

ast. K. Ogura · D. Tagami⚽

⚽S. Inagaki (pen.)

120'+1

(pen.) Lucao⚽

⚽T. Takamine (pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) T. Yamane⚽

⚽K. Mikuni (pen.)

120'+3

(pen.) D. Tagami⚽

⚽Y. Kimura (pen.)

120'+4

(pen.) K. Kawano⚽

⚽S. Sugiura (missed pen.)

120'+5

(missed pen.) Leo Gaucho⚽

⚽H. Koda (missed pen.)

120'+6

(pen.) K. Ogura⚽

Pre-match prediction

57.91%

Nagoya

23.19%

X ←

18.9%

Fagiano

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.19% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Nagoya

2.37

—

Fagiano

0.94

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	7	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	14
6	Kawasaki Frontale	7	12
7	Kashima	7	12
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	11
9	Fagiano Okayama	6	10
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	9
12	Urawa	6	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	6	3
20	JEF United Chiba	6	3

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1

G 7.20

T. Takamine 1 ⚽ D 7.00

D 6.30

T. Hara D 6.30

M 6.70

S. Inagaki 1 ⚽ M 8.50

T. Morishima 70' M 7.30

Y. Asano 80' M 6.30

Y. Kimura 1 ⚽ F 6.20

R. Izumi 45' F 6.20

Y. Yamagishi 59' F 6.20

Bench

H. Koda 1 ⚽ 50' M 7.30

Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 1 ⚽ 25' D 6.70

K. Nagai F

Shungo Sugiura 36' F 6.20

S. Tokumoto D

T. Kikuchi M

Y. Nogami D

Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1

G 6.90

D 7.30

D. Tagami 2 ⚽ D 8.20

D 7.30

N. Browne 45' M 7.70

Kosei Ogura 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 6.60

Masaya Matsumoto 67' M 6.30

K. Shirai M 7.00

A. Esaka 80' F 6.90

Takaya Kimura 59' F 6.90

Werik Popó 45' F 6.60

Bench

H. Motoyama D

K. Kawano 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.30

Lucão 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.50

Ryo Takeuchi M

T. Yamane 1 ⚽ 50' M 6.60

Best on the pitch

S. Inagaki

M · Nagoya

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 75 pass

D. Tagami

D · Fagiano

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 30 pass

N. Browne

M · Fagiano

7.70

2 shots · 11 pass

H. Koda

M · Nagoya

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

D · Fagiano

7.30

1 shots · 31 pass

D · Fagiano

7.30

· 35 pass

Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	7.20	—	—	—	73	58%	—	—	—
T. Takamine	D	95	7.00	1	—	1	83	69%	—	—	—
	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	91	80%	—	—	—
T. Hara	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	49	43%	1	—	—
	M	95	6.70	—	—	—	39	32%	1	—	—
S. Inagaki	M	95	8.50	1	—	1	75	69%	4	—	—
T. Morishima	M	70	7.30	—	—	—	71	64%	3	—	—
Y. Asano	M	80	6.30	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
Y. Kimura	F	95	6.20	1	—	2	20	18%	1	—	—
R. Izumi	F	45	6.20	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	—
Y. Yamagishi	F	59	6.20	—	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—
H. Koda	M	50	7.30	1	—	1	8	6%	—	—	—
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni	D	25	6.70	1	—	—	9	8%	2	—	—
Shungo Sugiura	F	36	6.20	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—

Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	6.90	—	—	—	19	9%	—	—	—
	D	95	7.30	—	—	—	35	29%	2	—	—
D. Tagami	D	95	8.20	2	—	2	30	28%	3	—	—
	D	95	7.30	—	—	1	31	26%	2	—	—
N. Browne	M	45	7.70	—	—	2	11	8%	4	—	—
Kosei Ogura	M	95	6.60	1	1	1	50	39%	1	1	—
Masaya Matsumoto	M	67	6.30	—	—	—	12	8%	—	—	—
K. Shirai	M	95	7.00	—	—	—	19	12%	1	—	—
A. Esaka	F	80	6.90	—	—	3	32	20%	2	1	—
Takaya Kimura	F	59	6.90	—	—	1	16	14%	2	—	—
Werik Popó	F	45	6.60	—	—	1	8	5%	—	—	—
K. Kawano	F	15	6.30	1	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
Lucão	F	50	6.50	1	—	1	9	4%	1	—	—
T. Yamane	M	50	6.60	1	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

The final score was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama.

What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model assigned 57% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Fagiano Okayama win.