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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:00
Nantes
#17 · 23 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#6 · 56 pts
I. Ganago (ast. M. Abline) 50'
R. Cabella (ast. I. Ganago) 54'
M. Abline (ast. M. Kaba) 58'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 24%). The final result was Nantes 3–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
8
3.00
Actual xG
1.54
8
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Abline
18'
↕ D. Machado / M. Acapandie
26'
31'
Q. Timber
46'
E. Lago / P. Aubameyang ↕
46'
I. Paixao / Q. Timber ↕
49'
E. Lago
⚽I. Ganago · ast. M. Abline
50'
⚽R. Cabella · ast. I. Ganago
54'
⚽M. Abline · ast. M. Kaba
58'
65'
A. Gouiri / A. Vermeeren ↕
↕ R. Cabella / L. Leroux
69'
↕ M. Kaba / F. Coquelin
69'
↕ I. Sissoko / U. Radakovic
79'
↕ F. Guilbert / Ali Youssef
79'
81'
F. Medina
88'
H. Hamzaoui / L. Balerdi ↕
90'+4
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / H. J. Traore ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.17%
Nantes ←
28.25%
X
47.58%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Nantes) 24.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.15
3.00
+1.85
Marseille
1.74
1.54
-0.2
Nantes dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
30
G 9.30
27
D. Machado 26' D 6.30
3
N. Cozza D 7.00
6
Chidozie Awaziem D 7.70
24
F. Guilbert 79' D 7.30
28
Ibrahima Sissoko 79' M 6.70
8
J. Lepenant M 6.60
20
R. Cabella 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.60
21
M. Kaba 1 👟 69' M 6.50
10 M. Abline M. Abline 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30
37
I. Ganago 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
2
Ali Youssef 17' D 6.70
13
F. Coquelin 27' M 6.90
66
L. Leroux 27' M 7.00
22
M. Acapandie 70' D 6.30
31
Mostafa Mohamed F
26
U. Radakovic 17' D 6.30
19
Y. El Arabi F
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.50
33 Emerson Emerson D 6.20
32 Facundo Medina Facundo Medina D 6.90
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi 88' D 6.30
6 Tochukwu Nnadi Tochukwu Nnadi D 5.60
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 6.50
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren 65' M 6.20
20
Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.70
27 Quinten Timber Quinten Timber 45' M 6.50
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood M 6.20
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 45' F 6.20
Bench
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 31' F 6.60
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago 51' F 7.20
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri M
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 51' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Nantes
9.30
· 31 pass
M. Abline
M. Abline
M · Nantes
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Chidozie Awaziem
D · Nantes
7.70
· 32 pass
R. Cabella
M · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
F. Guilbert
D · Nantes
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 9.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
D. Machado D 26 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Cozza D 96 7.00 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 96 7.70 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
F. Guilbert D 79 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 5 — —
Ibrahima Sissoko M 79 6.70 — — 1 23 20% — — —
J. Lepenant M 96 6.60 — — — 35 22% 2 — —
R. Cabella M 69 7.60 1 — 3 33 29% 4 — —
M. Kaba M 69 6.50 — 1 1 26 23% — — —
M. Abline M 96 8.30 1 1 2 21 20% — 1 —
I. Ganago F 96 8.20 1 1 2 19 10% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 17 6.70 — — — — — — — —
F. Coquelin M 27 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
L. Leroux M 27 7.00 — — 1 6 6% 3 — —
M. Acapandie D 70 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
U. Radakovic D 17 6.30 — — 1 — — 1 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 25 24% — — —
Emerson D 96 6.20 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
Facundo Medina D 96 6.90 — — — 83 78% 1 1 —
Leonardo Balerdi D 88 6.30 — — — 53 45% 3 — —
Tochukwu Nnadi D 96 5.60 — — — 34 31% 4 — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 96 6.50 — — 1 56 45% — — —
Arthur Vermeeren M 65 6.20 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè M 94 6.70 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
Quinten Timber M 45 6.50 — — — 11 10% 3 1 —
M. Greenwood M 96 6.20 — — 4 33 23% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 45 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
A. Gouiri F 31 6.60 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Ange Lago F 51 7.20 — — 2 10 9% 3 1 —
Igor Paixão F 51 6.60 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Marseille?
The final score was Nantes 3–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Marseille?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Nantes win, 28% to a draw, and 47% to an Marseille win.