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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:00
Nantes
3 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#9 · 12 pts
I. Ganago (ast. M. Abline) 50'
R. Cabella (ast. I. Ganago) 54'
M. Abline (ast. M. Kaba) 58'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 24%). The final result was Nantes 3–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
8
3.00
Actual xG
1.54
8
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Abline
18'
↕ D. Machado / M. Acapandie
26'
31'
Q. Timber
46'
E. Lago / P. Aubameyang ↕
46'
I. Paixao / Q. Timber ↕
49'
E. Lago
⚽I. Ganago · ast. M. Abline
50'
⚽R. Cabella · ast. I. Ganago
54'
⚽M. Abline · ast. M. Kaba
58'
65'
A. Gouiri / A. Vermeeren ↕
↕ R. Cabella / L. Leroux
69'
↕ M. Kaba / F. Coquelin
69'
↕ I. Sissoko / U. Radakovic
79'
↕ F. Guilbert / Ali Youssef
79'
81'
F. Medina
88'
H. Hamzaoui / L. Balerdi ↕
90'+4
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / H. J. Traore ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.17%
Nantes ←
28.25%
X
47.58%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Nantes) 24.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.15
3.00
+1.85
Marseille
1.74
1.54
-0.2
Nantes dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 20
2 Lille Lille 9 18
3 Rennes Rennes 9 16
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Nice Nice 9 14
8 Lens Lens 9 13
9 Marseille Marseille 8 12
10 Lorient Lorient 8 12
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 9 2
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
30
G 9.30
27 D. Machado D. Machado 26' D 6.30
3 N. Cozza N. Cozza D 7.00
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem D 7.70
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert 79' D 7.30
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko 79' M 6.70
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant M 6.60
20 R. Cabella R. Cabella 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.60
21 M. Kaba M. Kaba 1 👟 69' M 6.50
10 M. Abline M. Abline 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
2
Ali Youssef 17' D 6.70
13 Francis Coquelin Francis Coquelin 27' M 6.90
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 27' M 7.00
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 70' D 6.30
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed F
26 Uroš Radaković Uroš Radaković 17' D 6.30
19
Y. El Arabi F
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.50
33 Emerson Emerson D 6.20
32 F. Medina F. Medina D 6.90
5 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi 88' D 6.30
6 T. Nnadi T. Nnadi D 5.60
23 P. Højbjerg P. Højbjerg M 6.50
18 A. Vermeeren A. Vermeeren 65' M 6.20
20 H. Traorè H. Traorè M 6.70
27 Q. Timber Q. Timber 45' M 6.50
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood M 6.20
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 45' F 6.20
Bench
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 31' F 6.60
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago 51' F 7.20
11 E. Nwaneri E. Nwaneri M
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 51' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Nantes
9.30
· 31 pass
M. Abline
M. Abline
M · Nantes
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
I. Ganago
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Chidozie Awaziem
Chidozie Awaziem
D · Nantes
7.70
· 32 pass
R. Cabella
R. Cabella
M · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
F. Guilbert
F. Guilbert
D · Nantes
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 9.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
D. Machado D 26 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Cozza D 96 7.00 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 96 7.70 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
F. Guilbert D 79 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 5 — —
I. Sissoko M 79 6.70 — — 1 23 20% — — —
J. Lepenant M 96 6.60 — — — 35 22% 2 — —
R. Cabella M 69 7.60 1 — 3 33 29% 4 — —
M. Kaba M 69 6.50 — 1 1 26 23% — — —
M. Abline M 96 8.30 1 1 2 21 20% — 1 —
I. Ganago F 96 8.20 1 1 2 19 10% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 17 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Francis Coquelin M 27 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Louis Leroux M 27 7.00 — — 1 6 6% 3 — —
M. Acapandié D 70 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
Uroš Radaković D 17 6.30 — — 1 — — 1 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 25 24% — — —
Emerson D 96 6.20 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
F. Medina D 96 6.90 — — — 83 78% 1 1 —
L. Balerdi D 88 6.30 — — — 53 45% 3 — —
T. Nnadi D 96 5.60 — — — 34 31% 4 — —
P. Højbjerg M 96 6.50 — — 1 56 45% — — —
A. Vermeeren M 65 6.20 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
H. Traorè M 94 6.70 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
Q. Timber M 45 6.50 — — — 11 10% 3 1 —
M. Greenwood M 96 6.20 — — 4 33 23% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 45 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
A. Gouiri F 31 6.60 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Ange Lago F 51 7.20 — — 2 10 9% 3 1 —
Igor Paixão F 51 6.60 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Marseille?
The final score was Nantes 3–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Marseille?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Nantes win, 28% to a draw, and 47% to an Marseille win.