Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:00
Nantes
3 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#11 · 3 pts
I. Ganago (ast. M. Abline) 50'
R. Cabella (ast. I. Ganago) 54'
M. Abline (ast. M. Kaba) 58'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 24%). The final result was Nantes 3–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
8
3.00
Actual xG
1.54
8
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Abline
18'
↕ D. Machado / M. Acapandie
26'
31'
Q. Timber
46'
E. Lago / P. Aubameyang ↕
46'
I. Paixao / Q. Timber ↕
49'
E. Lago
⚽I. Ganago · ast. M. Abline
50'
⚽R. Cabella · ast. I. Ganago
54'
⚽M. Abline · ast. M. Kaba
58'
65'
A. Gouiri / A. Vermeeren ↕
↕ R. Cabella / L. Leroux
69'
↕ M. Kaba / F. Coquelin
69'
↕ I. Sissoko / U. Radakovic
79'
↕ F. Guilbert / Ali Youssef
79'
81'
F. Medina
88'
H. Hamzaoui / L. Balerdi ↕
90'+4
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / H. J. Traore ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.17%
Nantes ←
28.25%
X
47.58%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Nantes) 24.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.15
3.00
+1.85
Marseille
1.74
1.54
-0.2
Nantes dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
30
G 9.30
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado 26' D 6.30
3 N. Cozza N. Cozza D 7.00
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem D 7.70
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert 79' D 7.30
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko 79' M 6.70
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant M 6.60
20
R. Cabella 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.60
21 Mohamed Kaba Mohamed Kaba 1 👟 69' M 6.50
10 M. Abline M. Abline 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
2
Ali Youssef 17' D 6.70
13 Francis Coquelin Francis Coquelin 27' M 6.90
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 27' M 7.00
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 70' D 6.30
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed F
26
U. Radakovic 17' D 6.30
19
Y. El Arabi F
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.50
33 Emerson Emerson D 6.20
32 F. Medina F. Medina D 6.90
5 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi 88' D 6.30
6 Tochukwu Nnadi Tochukwu Nnadi D 5.60
23 P. Højbjerg P. Højbjerg M 6.50
18 A. Vermeeren A. Vermeeren 65' M 6.20
20 Hamed Junior Traorè Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.70
27 Q. Timber Q. Timber 45' M 6.50
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood M 6.20
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 45' F 6.20
Bench
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 31' F 6.60
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago 51' F 7.20
11 E. Nwaneri E. Nwaneri M
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 51' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Nantes
9.30
· 31 pass
M. Abline
M. Abline
M · Nantes
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
I. Ganago
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Chidozie Awaziem
Chidozie Awaziem
D · Nantes
7.70
· 32 pass
R. Cabella
M · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
F. Guilbert
F. Guilbert
D · Nantes
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 9.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
Deiver Machado D 26 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Cozza D 96 7.00 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 96 7.70 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
F. Guilbert D 79 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 5 — —
I. Sissoko M 79 6.70 — — 1 23 20% — — —
J. Lepenant M 96 6.60 — — — 35 22% 2 — —
R. Cabella M 69 7.60 1 — 3 33 29% 4 — —
Mohamed Kaba M 69 6.50 — 1 1 26 23% — — —
M. Abline M 96 8.30 1 1 2 21 20% — 1 —
I. Ganago F 96 8.20 1 1 2 19 10% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 17 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Francis Coquelin M 27 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Louis Leroux M 27 7.00 — — 1 6 6% 3 — —
M. Acapandié D 70 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
U. Radakovic D 17 6.30 — — 1 — — 1 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 25 24% — — —
Emerson D 96 6.20 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
F. Medina D 96 6.90 — — — 83 78% 1 1 —
L. Balerdi D 88 6.30 — — — 53 45% 3 — —
Tochukwu Nnadi D 96 5.60 — — — 34 31% 4 — —
P. Højbjerg M 96 6.50 — — 1 56 45% — — —
A. Vermeeren M 65 6.20 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè M 94 6.70 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
Q. Timber M 45 6.50 — — — 11 10% 3 1 —
M. Greenwood M 96 6.20 — — 4 33 23% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 45 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
A. Gouiri F 31 6.60 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Ange Lago F 51 7.20 — — 2 10 9% 3 1 —
Igor Paixão F 51 6.60 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Marseille?
The final score was Nantes 3–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Marseille?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Nantes win, 28% to a draw, and 47% to an Marseille win.