Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 15:00
Nantes
#17 · 23 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Marseille
#5 · 59 pts
I. Ganago (ast. M. Abline) 50'
R. Cabella (ast. I. Ganago) 54'
M. Abline (ast. M. Kaba) 58'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 24%). The final result was Nantes 3–0 Marseille. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Marseille.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
8
3.00
Actual xG
1.54
8
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
8
21
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Abline
18'
↕ D. Machado / M. Acapandie
26'
31'
Q. Timber
46'
E. Lago / P. Aubameyang ↕
46'
I. Paixao / Q. Timber ↕
49'
E. Lago
⚽I. Ganago · ast. M. Abline
50'
⚽R. Cabella · ast. I. Ganago
54'
⚽M. Abline · ast. M. Kaba
58'
65'
A. Gouiri / A. Vermeeren ↕
↕ R. Cabella / L. Leroux
69'
↕ M. Kaba / F. Coquelin
69'
↕ I. Sissoko / U. Radakovic
79'
↕ F. Guilbert / Ali Youssef
79'
81'
F. Medina
88'
H. Hamzaoui / L. Balerdi ↕
90'+4
U. Lamare El Kadmiri / H. J. Traore ↕
Pre-match prediction
24.17%
Nantes ←
28.25%
X
47.58%
Marseille
we assigned to the actual result (Nantes) 24.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nantes
1.15
3.00
+1.85
Marseille
1.74
1.54
-0.2
Nantes dominated by xG (3.00 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Nantes Nantes 4-2-3-1
30
G 9.30
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado 26' D 6.30
3
N. Cozza D 7.00
6
Chidozie Awaziem D 7.70
24
F. Guilbert 79' D 7.30
28
Ibrahima Sissoko 79' M 6.70
8
J. Lepenant M 6.60
20
R. Cabella 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.60
21
M. Kaba 1 👟 69' M 6.50
10 M. Abline M. Abline 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30
37
I. Ganago 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
2
Ali Youssef 17' D 6.70
13
F. Coquelin 27' M 6.90
66
L. Leroux 27' M 7.00
22 Mathieu Acapandié Mathieu Acapandié 70' D 6.30
31
Mostafa Mohamed F
26
U. Radakovic 17' D 6.30
19
Y. El Arabi F
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.50
33 Emerson Emerson D 6.20
32 Facundo Medina Facundo Medina D 6.90
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi 88' D 6.30
6 T. Nnadi T. Nnadi D 5.60
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 6.50
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren 65' M 6.20
20
Hamed Junior Traorè M 6.70
27 Q. Timber Q. Timber 45' M 6.50
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood M 6.20
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 45' F 6.20
Bench
9 Amine Gouiri Amine Gouiri 31' F 6.60
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago 51' F 7.20
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri M
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 51' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
G · Nantes
9.30
· 31 pass
M. Abline
M. Abline
M · Nantes
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
I. Ganago
F · Nantes
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Chidozie Awaziem
D · Nantes
7.70
· 32 pass
R. Cabella
M · Nantes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
F. Guilbert
D · Nantes
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 9.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
Deiver Machado D 26 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Cozza D 96 7.00 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 96 7.70 — — — 32 28% 3 — —
F. Guilbert D 79 7.30 — — 1 30 25% 5 — —
Ibrahima Sissoko M 79 6.70 — — 1 23 20% — — —
J. Lepenant M 96 6.60 — — — 35 22% 2 — —
R. Cabella M 69 7.60 1 — 3 33 29% 4 — —
M. Kaba M 69 6.50 — 1 1 26 23% — — —
M. Abline M 96 8.30 1 1 2 21 20% — 1 —
I. Ganago F 96 8.20 1 1 2 19 10% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 17 6.70 — — — — — — — —
F. Coquelin M 27 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
L. Leroux M 27 7.00 — — 1 6 6% 3 — —
Mathieu Acapandié D 70 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
U. Radakovic D 17 6.30 — — 1 — — 1 — —
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 25 24% — — —
Emerson D 96 6.20 — — — 49 40% 2 — —
Facundo Medina D 96 6.90 — — — 83 78% 1 1 —
Leonardo Balerdi D 88 6.30 — — — 53 45% 3 — —
T. Nnadi D 96 5.60 — — — 34 31% 4 — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 96 6.50 — — 1 56 45% — — —
Arthur Vermeeren M 65 6.20 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè M 94 6.70 — — 1 34 28% 2 — —
Q. Timber M 45 6.50 — — — 11 10% 3 1 —
M. Greenwood M 96 6.20 — — 4 33 23% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 45 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
Amine Gouiri F 31 6.60 — — 1 14 11% — — —
Ange Lago F 51 7.20 — — 2 10 9% 3 1 —
Igor Paixão F 51 6.60 — — 2 14 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nantes vs Marseille?
The final score was Nantes 3–0 Marseille.
What did the model predict before Nantes vs Marseille?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Nantes win, 28% to a draw, and 47% to an Marseille win.