← Serie A
#2 · 70 pts
4 – 0
Final score
#18 · 31 pts
Model correct — prediction Napoli
S. McTominay (ast. K. De Bruyne) 3'
K. De Bruyne 45'+3
R. Hojlund (ast. M. Politano) 45'
Alisson Santos (ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic) 52'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cremonese 12%). The final result was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
4
2.86
Actual xG
0.27
5
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
5
14
Tackles
12
Match Events
S. McTominay · ast. K. De Bruyne
3'
K. De Bruyne
45'+3
R. Hojlund · ast. M. Politano
45'
46'
A. Grassi / W. Bondo
46'
J. Vandeputte / D. Okereke
46'
A. Zerbin / R. Floriani
Alisson Santos · ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic
52'
M. Politano / P. Mazzocchi
53'
M. Olivera / S. Beukema
53'
S. Lobotka / B. Gilmour
54'
61'
F. Folino / S. Luperto
R. Hojlund / Giovane
61'
K. De Bruyne / E. Elmas
75'
78'
T. Barbieri / Y. Maleh
S. McTominay (missed pen.)
83'
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Napoli ←
25.87%
X
12.65%
Cremonese
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 61.47% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Napoli
1.38
2.86
+1.48
Cremonese
0.51
0.27
-0.24
Napoli dominated by xG (2.86 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Napoli Napoli 3-4-2-1
32
1 👟 G 7.00
4 Alessandro Buongiorno Alessandro Buongiorno D 6.60
13 Amir Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani D 7.00
17 M. Olivera M. Olivera 53' D 6.90
3
M 7.50
8 Scott McTominay Scott McTominay 1 ⚽ M 8.00
68 Stanislav Lobotka Stanislav Lobotka 54' M 6.90
21 Matteo Politano Matteo Politano 1 👟 53' M 6.90
27 Alisson Santos Alisson Santos 1 ⚽ F 8.90
11 K. De Bruyne K. De Bruyne 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.20
19 Rasmus Højlund Rasmus Højlund 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.70
Bench
6 Billy Gilmour Billy Gilmour 37' M 6.70
20 Eljif Elmas Eljif Elmas 16' M 6.70
99 Frank Anguissa Frank Anguissa M
23 Giovane Giovane 30' F 6.30
5 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D
37 Leonardo Spinazzola Leonardo Spinazzola D
Cremonese Cremonese 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
3
D 5.50
5 Sebastiano Luperto Sebastiano Luperto 61' D 5.70
6
F. Baschirotto D 6.60
24 Filippo Terracciano Filippo Terracciano D 5.90
32 M. Payero M. Payero M 6.70
29 Youssef Maleh Youssef Maleh 78' M 5.90
38 Warren Bondo Warren Bondo 45' M 6.20
22
R. Floriani 45' M 6.60
90 F. Bonazzoli F. Bonazzoli F 6.20
77 David Okereke David Okereke 45' F 6.50
Bench
33 Alberto Grassi Alberto Grassi 46' M 6.50
7 Alessio Zerbin Alessio Zerbin 46' F 6.50
99 A. Sanabria A. Sanabria F
27 Jari Vandeputte Jari Vandeputte 46' M 6.70
9 Milan Đurić Milan Đurić F
2 Morten Thorsby Morten Thorsby M
4 Tommaso Barbieri Tommaso Barbieri 13' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
K. De Bruyne
K. De Bruyne
F · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos
F · Napoli
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay
M · Napoli
8.00
1 ⚽
7 shots · 64 pass
Rasmus Højlund
Rasmus Højlund
F · Napoli
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
M · Napoli
7.50
2 shots · 51 pass
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 38 pass
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.00 1 32 27%
Alessandro Buongiorno D 91 6.60 60 50% 3
Amir Rrahmani D 91 7.00 2 64 62% 1
M. Olivera D 53 6.90 47 42% 3
M 91 7.50 2 51 49% 2
Scott McTominay M 91 8.00 1 7 64 60% 1
Stanislav Lobotka M 54 6.90 43 36%
Matteo Politano M 53 6.90 1 26 23% 1
Alisson Santos F 91 8.90 1 2 26 19% 1
K. De Bruyne F 75 9.20 1 1 2 39 35% 2
Rasmus Højlund F 61 7.70 1 3 9 7%
Billy Gilmour M 37 6.70 1 39 32%
Eljif Elmas M 16 6.70 3 3%
Giovane F 30 6.30 16 14%
Cremonese Cremonese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.20 38 24%
D 91 5.50 33 24%
Sebastiano Luperto D 61 5.70 45 42%
F. Baschirotto D 91 6.60 44 40%
Filippo Terracciano D 91 5.90 42 39% 2
M. Payero M 91 6.70 1 31 26% 1
Youssef Maleh M 78 5.90 37 33% 1
Warren Bondo M 45 6.20 23 20%
R. Floriani M 45 6.60 13 8% 5
F. Bonazzoli F 91 6.20 2 35 32% 1
David Okereke F 45 6.50 9 7% 1
Alberto Grassi M 46 6.50 29 23% 1
Alessio Zerbin F 46 6.50 11 11%
Jari Vandeputte M 46 6.70 19 18%
Tommaso Barbieri D 13 6.30 1 2 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Cremonese?
The final score was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Napoli win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cremonese win.