Serie A
· Regular Season - 34
April 24, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Napoli
S. McTominay
(ast. K. De Bruyne)
3'
K. De Bruyne
45'+3
R. Hojlund
(ast. M. Politano)
45'
Alisson Santos
(ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic)
52'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cremonese 12%). The final result was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
4
2.86
Actual xG
0.27
5
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
5
14
Tackles
12
Match Events
⚽S. McTominay
· ast. K. De Bruyne
3'
⚽K. De Bruyne
45'+3
⚽R. Hojlund
· ast. M. Politano
45'
46'
A. Grassi
/
W. Bondo
46'
J. Vandeputte
/
D. Okereke
46'
A. Zerbin
/
R. Floriani
⚽Alisson Santos
· ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic
52'
M. Politano
/ P. Mazzocchi
53'
M. Olivera
/ S. Beukema
53'
S. Lobotka
/ B. Gilmour
54'
61'
F. Folino
/
S. Luperto
R. Hojlund
/ Giovane
61'
K. De Bruyne
/ E. Elmas
75'
78'
T. Barbieri
/
Y. Maleh
⚽S. McTominay
(missed pen.)
83'
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Napoli ←
25.87%
X
12.65%
Cremonese
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
61.47%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.86
+1.48
0.51
0.27
-0.24
Napoli dominated by xG (2.86 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
1 👟
G
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
17
Mathías Olivera
53'
D
Mathías Olivera
53'
D
3
M
8
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
S. McTominay
1 ⚽
M
68
S. Lobotka
54'
M
S. Lobotka
54'
M
21
M. Politano
1 👟
53'
M
M. Politano
1 👟
53'
M
27
Alisson Santos
1 ⚽
F
Alisson Santos
1 ⚽
F
11
Kevin De Bruyne
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
Kevin De Bruyne
1 ⚽
1 👟
75'
F
19
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
61'
F
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
6
Billy Gilmour
37'
M
Billy Gilmour
37'
M
20
E. Elmas
16'
M
E. Elmas
16'
M
99
Frank Anguissa
M
Frank Anguissa
M
23
Giovane
30'
F
Giovane
30'
F
5
Juan Jesus
D
Juan Jesus
D
37
L. Spinazzola
D
L. Spinazzola
D
1
G
3
D
5
Sebastiano Luperto
61'
D
Sebastiano Luperto
61'
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
D
Filippo Terracciano
D
32
M. Payero
M
M. Payero
M
29
Youssef Maleh
78'
M
Youssef Maleh
78'
M
38
Warren Bondo
45'
M
Warren Bondo
45'
M
22
Romano Floriani Mussolini
45'
M
Romano Floriani Mussolini
45'
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
F
F. Bonazzoli
F
77
David Okereke
45'
F
David Okereke
45'
F
Bench
33
Alberto Grassi
46'
M
Alberto Grassi
46'
M
7
Alessio Zerbin
46'
F
Alessio Zerbin
46'
F
99
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
27
Jari Vandeputte
46'
M
Jari Vandeputte
46'
M
9
Milan Đurić
F
Milan Đurić
F
2
Morten Thorsby
M
Morten Thorsby
M
4
Tommaso Barbieri
13'
D
Tommaso Barbieri
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Kevin De Bruyne
F · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 39 pass
Alisson Santos
F · Napoli
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.00
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 64 pass
R. Højlund
F · Napoli
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
M · Napoli
7.50
2 shots
· 51 pass
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 38 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 49% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. McTominay | M | 91 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 7 | 64 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| M. Politano | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 91 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | F | 75 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| E. Elmas | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| D | 91 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 61 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 78 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | 46 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Cremonese?
The final score was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Napoli win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cremonese win.