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#12 · 3 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Model correct — prediction Napoli
S. McTominay (ast. K. De Bruyne) 3'
K. De Bruyne 45'+3
R. Hojlund (ast. M. Politano) 45'
Alisson Santos (ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic) 52'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cremonese 12%). The final result was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
4
2.86
Actual xG
0.27
5
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
5
14
Tackles
12
Match Events
S. McTominay · ast. K. De Bruyne
3'
K. De Bruyne
45'+3
R. Hojlund · ast. M. Politano
45'
46'
A. Grassi / W. Bondo
46'
J. Vandeputte / D. Okereke
46'
A. Zerbin / R. Floriani
Alisson Santos · ast. V. Milinkovic-Savic
52'
M. Politano / P. Mazzocchi
53'
M. Olivera / S. Beukema
53'
S. Lobotka / B. Gilmour
54'
61'
F. Folino / S. Luperto
R. Hojlund / Giovane
61'
K. De Bruyne / E. Elmas
75'
78'
T. Barbieri / Y. Maleh
S. McTominay (missed pen.)
83'
Pre-match prediction
61.47%
Napoli ←
25.87%
X
12.65%
Cremonese
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Napoli) 61.47% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Napoli
1.38
2.86
+1.48
Cremonese
0.51
0.27
-0.24
Napoli dominated by xG (2.86 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Napoli Napoli 3-4-2-1
32
1 👟 G 7.00
4 Alessandro Buongiorno Alessandro Buongiorno D 6.60
13 Amir Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani D 7.00
17 M. Olivera M. Olivera 53' D 6.90
3
M 7.50
8 S. McTominay S. McTominay 1 ⚽ M 8.00
68 S. Lobotka S. Lobotka 54' M 6.90
21 M. Politano M. Politano 1 👟 53' M 6.90
27 Alisson Santos Alisson Santos 1 ⚽ F 8.90
11 K. De Bruyne K. De Bruyne 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.20
19 R. Højlund R. Højlund 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.70
Bench
99 A. Zambo Anguissa A. Zambo Anguissa M
6 B. Gilmour B. Gilmour 37' M 6.70
20 E. Elmas E. Elmas 16' M 6.70
23 Giovane Giovane 30' F 6.30
5 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D
37 L. Spinazzola L. Spinazzola D
Cremonese Cremonese 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
3
D 5.50
5 S. Luperto S. Luperto 61' D 5.70
6 F. Baschirotto F. Baschirotto D 6.60
24 Filippo Terracciano Filippo Terracciano D 5.90
32 M. Payero M. Payero M 6.70
29 Y. Maleh Y. Maleh 78' M 5.90
38 Warren Bondo Warren Bondo 45' M 6.20
22 Romano Floriani Mussolini Romano Floriani Mussolini 45' M 6.60
90 F. Bonazzoli F. Bonazzoli F 6.20
77 D. Okereke D. Okereke 45' F 6.50
Bench
33 Alberto Grassi Alberto Grassi 46' M 6.50
7 Alessio Zerbin Alessio Zerbin 46' F 6.50
99 A. Sanabria A. Sanabria F
27 J. Vandeputte J. Vandeputte 46' M 6.70
9 M. Đurić M. Đurić F
2 M. Thorsby M. Thorsby M
4 Tommaso Barbieri Tommaso Barbieri 13' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
K. De Bruyne
K. De Bruyne
F · Napoli
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 39 pass
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos
F · Napoli
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
S. McTominay
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
8.00
1 ⚽
7 shots · 64 pass
R. Højlund
R. Højlund
F · Napoli
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
M · Napoli
7.50
2 shots · 51 pass
G · Cremonese
7.20
· 38 pass
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.00 1 32 27%
Alessandro Buongiorno D 91 6.60 60 50% 3
Amir Rrahmani D 91 7.00 2 64 62% 1
M. Olivera D 53 6.90 47 42% 3
M 91 7.50 2 51 49% 2
S. McTominay M 91 8.00 1 7 64 60% 1
S. Lobotka M 54 6.90 43 36%
M. Politano M 53 6.90 1 26 23% 1
Alisson Santos F 91 8.90 1 2 26 19% 1
K. De Bruyne F 75 9.20 1 1 2 39 35% 2
R. Højlund F 61 7.70 1 3 9 7%
B. Gilmour M 37 6.70 1 39 32%
E. Elmas M 16 6.70 3 3%
Giovane F 30 6.30 16 14%
Cremonese Cremonese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 7.20 38 24%
D 91 5.50 33 24%
S. Luperto D 61 5.70 45 42%
F. Baschirotto D 91 6.60 44 40%
Filippo Terracciano D 91 5.90 42 39% 2
M. Payero M 91 6.70 1 31 26% 1
Y. Maleh M 78 5.90 37 33% 1
Warren Bondo M 45 6.20 23 20%
Romano Floriani Mussolini M 45 6.60 13 8% 5
F. Bonazzoli F 91 6.20 2 35 32% 1
D. Okereke F 45 6.50 9 7% 1
Alberto Grassi M 46 6.50 29 23% 1
Alessio Zerbin F 46 6.50 11 11%
J. Vandeputte M 46 6.70 19 18%
Tommaso Barbieri D 13 6.30 1 2 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Cremonese?
The final score was Napoli 4–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Napoli win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cremonese win.