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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 03:30
#5 · 18 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#9 · 15 pts
N. Mercau (ast. H. Wolf) 90'+3
54' I. Toklomati
90' K. A. Calderon Vargas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Charlotte 27%). The final result was New York City FC 1–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
5
1.47
Actual xG
0.93
2
Saves
7
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
3'
B. Bronico
Raul Gustavo
17'
46'
A. Privett / T. Ream
54'
I. Toklomati
A. Ojeda / Talles Magno
67'
68'
A. Privett
69'
K. A. Calderon Vargas / R. Aloko
77'
L. de la Torre / B. Bronico
77'
A. Goodwin / I. Toklomati
Raul Gustavo / K. Parks
77'
81'
N. Byrne
84'
K. Kahlina
K. Parks
85'
K. Trewin / S. Reid
86'
N. Mercau · ast. H. Wolf
90'+3
90'+3
D. Diani / P. Biel
90'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
Pre-match prediction
46.08%
New
26.46%
X
27.46%
Charlotte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte) 27.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.40
1.47
-0.93
Charlotte
1.37
0.93
-0.44
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
49
G 6.90
22
D 6.70
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 77' D 6.60
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.50
24 Tayvon Gray Tayvon Gray D 6.30
21
A. O'Neill M 7.00
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin 86' M 6.90
17 Hannes Wolf Hannes Wolf 1 👟 M 7.90
10 Maxi Moralez Maxi Moralez M 7.30
26 Agustin Ojeda Agustin Ojeda 67' M 6.60
7 Nicolás Fernández Nicolás Fernández 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 19' M 6.90
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid Seymour Garfield-Reid 10' F 6.30
19 Strahinja Tanasijević Strahinja Tanasijević D
11
Talles Magno 29' F 7.00
Charlotte Charlotte 4-2-3-1
1 Kristijan Kahlina Kristijan Kahlina G 9.70
15
H. Toffolo D 7.30
3 Tim Ream Tim Ream 45' D 7.20
44 Morrison Agyemang Morrison Agyemang D 6.90
14 Nathan Byrne Nathan Byrne D 6.30
13 Brandt Bronico Brandt Bronico 77' M 6.30
8 Ashley Westwood Ashley Westwood M 6.50
10 Wilfried Zaha Wilfried Zaha M 6.90
16 Pep Biel Pep Biel M 6.50
37 Rodolfo Aloko Rodolfo Aloko 69' M 6.30
9 Idan Toklomati Idan Toklomati 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
Bench
4 Andrew Privett Andrew Privett 51' D 6.50
7 Archie Goodwin Archie Goodwin 19' F 6.50
23 David Schnegg David Schnegg D
28 Djibril Diani Djibril Diani 3' M
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas Kerwin Calderón Vargas 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.60
11 Liel Abada Liel Abada F
17 Luca De La Torre Luca De La Torre 19' M 6.90
25 Tyger Smalls Tyger Smalls F
Best on the pitch
Kristijan Kahlina
Kristijan Kahlina
G · Charlotte
9.70
· 65 pass
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 47 pass
Hannes Wolf
Hannes Wolf
M · New
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
F · Charlotte
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 112 pass
Maxi Moralez
Maxi Moralez
M · New
7.30
1 shots · 55 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.90 18 17%
D 96 6.70 64 61% 1
Raul Gustavo D 77 6.60 2 93 80% 2 1
Thiago Martins D 96 7.50 112 101%
Tayvon Gray D 96 6.30 1 70 64% 1
A. O'Neill M 96 7.00 1 72 67% 4
Kai Trewin M 86 6.90 1 67 59% 3
Hannes Wolf M 96 7.90 1 2 42 36% 2
Maxi Moralez M 96 7.30 1 55 45% 1
Agustin Ojeda M 67 6.60 2 28 25% 1
Nicolás Fernández F 96 8.30 1 3 47 40% 1
Keaton Parks M 19 6.90 11 10% 1 1
Seymour Garfield-Reid F 10 6.30 1 1
Talles Magno F 29 7.00 2 13 9%
Charlotte Charlotte — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kristijan Kahlina G 96 9.70 65 50% 1
H. Toffolo D 96 7.30 26 21% 2
Tim Ream D 45 7.20 36 33%
Morrison Agyemang D 96 6.90 63 55% 1
Nathan Byrne D 96 6.30 28 22% 1
Brandt Bronico M 77 6.30 29 21% 1 1
Ashley Westwood M 96 6.50 47 40%
Wilfried Zaha M 96 6.90 1 32 24% 2
Pep Biel M 93 6.50 21 16%
Rodolfo Aloko M 69 6.30 1 11 7% 1
Idan Toklomati F 77 7.20 1 1 4 1%
Andrew Privett D 51 6.50 21 18% 1
Archie Goodwin F 19 6.50 2
Djibril Diani M 3
Kerwin Calderón Vargas F 27 7.60 1 1 9 6%
Luca De La Torre M 19 6.90 8 8% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Charlotte?
The final score was New York City FC 1–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 46% probability to a New York City FC win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Charlotte win.